Joyous Legion
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Everything posted by Joyous Legion
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Okay, this is very important -- how flat is your chest?
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Option A: a good thurs for NWH Option B: a savage burn on the whole forum
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The website says it doesn't close for another 10 hour? 5:59AM Pacific?
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To be clear -- flat from 20.5 right? Or actual looks flat from Sony 20.2 so maybe they'll report 19.9
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@iHeartJames, confirm or deny?
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Ah, yeah, they were talking about the 3rd and 4th in different parts, my bad. I think lplc was commenting on Jat having 45-50 3rd+33 4th as weird, which I kind of agree. Personally on 50-55
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They said 4th weekend, not 3rd Edit: nvm, see below
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Think we’re gonna crack the DOM top 10 with wknd actuals here. That will give us the first time in history that a 4000+ wide A+ whose run has ended is not in the top 10.
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Australia Australian Box Office | ....
Joyous Legion replied to JJ-8's topic in International Box Office
Looks like both will exceed by teen %? Maybe 20s if Jan holds well? -
I’ve been staying pretty sharp over the pandemic with fantasy movie league, hoping to get that expert cred pretty soon 😈 😛
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I was gonna start playing this the week covid shut us down, guess I’ll give it a spin now instead.
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Disaster averted
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I’d be fine with the long movie vibe if only it was paced better.
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Looks like maybe 7.5 to me, but it’s hard to tell how well it will hold first few weeks of Jan, which is the decisive question.
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Easily JW WW. It’s just a question of O/U 910 OS
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Legend
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Looks like meltdown is back on the menu I would definitely comp to Mon instead of today, not sure if you’re already doing that.
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It’s a bit lower Tues than I wanted but discounts make it hard to interpret. As long as Wed increases from this I’m okay.
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They’ll adjust to $5 soon
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One factor is the returning cast and the other is that “dinos are out in the world now” is a stronger hook than “back to the island v4.0”
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Jurassic world will perform closer to JW1 adjusted (like mid 700s) than JW2 adjusted (mid 400s) imo. Call it 750, 450, geomean’d be… 581M
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The 2022 DOM race has like 3 movies taking a crack a 600+, Spiderverse won’t be 50% of the champion even if it does gangbusters.
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Part of this might be that GvK performed exactly in line with my expectations from like, February. I was tracking covid recovery quite closely and it was apparent that the end March market was going to be stronger than people expected.
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“Always going to hit” kind of elides then difference between 450M and 750M, which is a pretty big difference. For instance, a difference of 3 GvKs. If NWH was just puttering to like 625 from a weekend around TLJ perhaps there would be a serious argument here.
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I agree that expectations/surprise play an important role, but NWH is absolutely crushing those in addition to being in a different stratosphere of raw nums. Until PS started nobody thought it had a snowball’s chance in hell to beat TFA and IW openings with omicron on the rise, and thanks to @Cap we have the receipts on that. Obviously NWH is more of a preordained hit, but not to a 7x DOM gross degree.
