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Joyous Legion

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    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Eternal Legion

    Endgame had pretty nutty first3 days iirc. Day4 might fall off a cliff relatively speaking, like+14k mtc2 previews or something. If it actually hits 22k then we are going comfortably past 50M in my view as well.    

     

     

    There is a line of thought that if endgame basically did max capacity Th anyway -- the real Th demand could have been like 90M+ worth. Then if NWH has 25% lower Th demand on admits it could actually... Beat Endgame previews... by also effectivity maxing out Th (with less unmet demand because hype is less) but with 3 extra hours and a smidge of inflation.

     

    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Some legs thoughts using true fss:

    TFA 4.55x (using 54m prev est)

    RO 4x

    TLJ 3.3x

    TROS 3.45x 

     

    Assuming a 5 IM for NWH, these are the overall legs that those true fss legs translate too:

    TFA 3.84x

    RO 3.4x

    TLJ 2.84x

    TROS 2.96x

     

    Personally I think it will need bad reception to reach those tlj nums, and I do not expect bad reception. But just in case, a true disaster scenario could be like 3x true fss legs (this is adding 2x instead of TLJ 2.3x, so about 13% worse) for 2.6x overall legs. That would still take 250 to 650.

    UK Box Office Thread

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, XO21 said:

    "In the United Kingdom, Holland’s birthplace, “Spider-Man: No Way Home” is experiencing some of that sky-high interest. Theatre chain Vue says it sold more than 150,000 tickets to “No Way Home” on Monday alone, setting a company record for the highest volume on launch day in history. Sales were double that of pre-orders for Vue’s previous record-holder “Avengers: Endgame” (which opened to $55 million in the U.K.) and four times as much as “Star Wars: The Last Jedi” (which opened to $37 million in the U.K.)."

     

     

    https://variety.com/2021/film/news/spider-man-no-way-home-record-ticket-sales-omicron-1235123000/

    What in the ever loving what

    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, eddyxx said:

    If James Gunn was the director of this, we would know 100% without a doubt whether REDACTED are in this or not.  Anytime some one reports something case about his movies he shoots it down with no hesitation. James Gunn, the rumor slayer.

     

    Sony could’ve squashed this story from day one but they chose not to.

    Nah. Gunn squashes false rumors, so he wouldn’t have commented on this because they are in it.

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Eternal Legion

    9 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

    Why is the Endgame adjustment so dramatic today vs day 2?

    Wait, it makes sense with the difference in total seats sold. I think the seats sold today got an extra leading 1 as a typo?   
     

    the ratio of total seats sold doesn’t make sense with growth in final comps, so I have no idea what’s going on and will just wait 😆

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

    I remember at one time there was a list of all the MCU previews floating around this forum. Anyone have that on hand?

    Courtesy @charlie Jatinder:

    Spoiler
    Film Previews Friday % Share
    Iron Man $3.50 $35.23 9.93%
    Incredible Hulk $1.60 $21.47 7.45%
    Iron Man 2 $7.50 $51.24 14.64%
    Captain America $4.00 $25.70 15.56%
    Thor $3.25 $25.48 12.75%
    The Avengers $18.70 $80.81 23.14%
     
    Iron Man 3 $15.60 $68.86 22.66%
    Thor 2 $7.10 $31.90 22.26%
    Captain America: Winter Soldier $10.30 $36.93 27.89%
    GOTG $11.20 $37.85 29.59%
    Avengers: Age of Ultron $27.60 $84.42 32.69%
     
    Ant-Man $6.40 $22.65 28.26%
    Captain America: Civil War $25.00 $75.50 33.11%
    Doctor Strange $9.40 $32.59 28.85%
    GOTG 2 $17.00 $56.08 30.31%
    Spider-Man: Homecoming $15.40 $50.78 30.33%
    Thor: Ragnarok $14.50 $46.47 31.20%
    Black Panther $24.25 $75.94 31.93%
    Avengers: Infinity War $39.00 $106.33 36.68%
     
    Ant-Man and The Wasp $11.50 $33.73 34.10%
    Captain Marvel $20.70 $61.70 33.55%
    Avengers: Endgame $60.00 $157.46 38.10%
     
    Spider-man: Far From Home $3.00 $36.25 8.28%
    Black Widow $13.20 $39.50 33.42%
    Shang Chi $8.80 $29.50 29.83%
    Eternals $9.50 $30.84 30.80%

     

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