NWH seems terrible in the opposite direction, whereas BW/sc/Eternals are a bit too small. I will probably want to look at some 2019s as annoying as that is.
Is this really true, or do we just see examples where negative news catches more attention than positive news catch more attention than examples where positive news catches more attention than negative news
Seems to me like NWH vs Moonfall vs Jackass OD could end up in any permutation this weekend,
Fwiw, the fact that it looks like it should be a 5M Dom total movie to me makes the sales seem more impressive, not less. I am definitely following the sales closely and it will probably be one of the top openers this Feb, so that's something. I think the main issue here is condescendingly implying that true box office followers should be familiar with this franchise, which at the end of the day is still small potatoes with a fairly specific audience appeal and has been long dormant.
You seem to think following box office means needing to care about every movie, even ones basically making pennies. I assure you, this is very much not the case.
Also, 150M is puny. 3D was the highest performing one at what, like barely top 25 of the year or so? It's not like the movies are big enough that you would should just know them by their box office legend or something.
Gotta say, did not see this of all things becoming a points of contention 😂
The last entry was 12 years ago. Many board members were literal middle schoolers at the time and not following BO. Now in one sense that's the exact jackass target demo, but on the other hand almost all of these people were middle school nerds which is like the antithesis of the target demo. If you weren't following BO in 2010 and aren't a stunt comedy fan there's really no reason why you would ever have heard of it.
I agree that the info is still valuable if you know whether someone is a pessimistic and you should adjust their nums up or an optimist and you should adjust their nums down -- but newer people aren't going to know and ideally shouldn't have to try to keep track of those idiosyncratic prediction tendencies of long time members. Really it is best to always aim for pure accuracy rather than either conservative or aggressiveness.
Yeah, to be a little more serious I'm familiar with plenty of movies, but jackass is a nice low profile franchise. It's not exactly odd to have been unfamiliar with it.
Right now I’m working with:
2.75 tues-Th
9.35 wknd
3.1 next weekdays
7.2 SB wknd (759 cume)
So quite close to what you just said. Same legs as TFA from the M-Sun week give 790 from there but I expect better legs for NWH.
Quebec showing up could be worth like $3 or 4, and no Deadpool or Black Panther level competition (until March). Omicron receding may continue to help legs at the margin.
However I think that TFA weekend is the SB? Probably better to line things up with the SB and Pres at this point when comparing.