Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Did Chapek put his foot in his mouth… or is he playing 12D backgammon 👀
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Baller move would be for a studio to announce a sequel Wed night, explicitly credit strong presales
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Some publicity is bad publicity… but this ain’t it.
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Free Guy | 20th Century | August 13 2021
Legion Again replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
Pretty unclear what to do with a sequel. I suspect I won’t watch it but there are directions that I would enjoy so we’ll see. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Folks… summer is over. -
I’m fine with a mandate as long as the vaccines are actually OK, which they are. I do not appreciate the FDA heel dragging though. Mercifully, it should be over quite soon, within a month or so.
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Not to sound rude, but this is absolutely despicable. Voluntarily taking the vaccine is good, forcing others to take it is also good, and suggesting otherwise is absolutely disgusting though.
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Free Guy | 20th Century | August 13 2021
Legion Again replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
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Free Guy | 20th Century | August 13 2021
Legion Again replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
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Free Guy | 20th Century | August 13 2021
Legion Again replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
A 185M DC movie which missed OW expectations hard, where the reception doesn’t quite match pre-release buzz and it will total below the previous movie’s OD? Vs a ~100M movie which is hitting OW expectations with a good chance to leg past 100M? -
Ant-man and the Wasp perhaps.
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Hopefully 👀
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It is obviously an experiment, but it’s also arguably a little impolite for the CEO to describe it that way in public.
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F9 doesn’t quite belong in the same category as BW imo. Its 2nd weekend was depressed by the calendar, adjusting appropriately for the holiday it would just be like a 64% drop. Which might not sound like much, but when you have a 36% hold it’s actually 20% bigger than a 30% hold!
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Glad that it has one but could you tell us what it is?
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Expecting Free Guy to win the weekend with like 12M. Would be only the 2nd movie of summer to top its 2nd weekend after F9
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Question is whether PA depressed previews also. Difficult to prove but I think a “PA after a month” sort of model might have gone more like 14.5x20ish
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BW headed for a final gross around 14x previews. Looks like TSS could be on the same track (finishing below SS’s OD). Being a superhero or R rated action movie with a 0 day window is some bad times for legs — really think WB should reconsider with Matrix.
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TSS is a free streaming movie with Thursday previews, in summer. And the reception isn’t as strong as it seemed like to might be pre-release. A true plummet would not be too shocking given these factors.
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Taking the 2.6 Mon 2.8 Tues from Forbes this would imply like… 1.9 Wed 1.6 Th or something? Matches with empirecity’s comments on how the weekend is looking 👀
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Not so confident it will be behind DB2, which could drop like 65% coming off of Friday the 13th
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So I guess Black Widow 2 should be announced any day now
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Yeah I mean… on the one hand, obvious TSS ended up quite far from their initial range. But it was also an outlier — generally they have been hitting fairly well under the conditions. But also, obviously any 3 week out forecast in this climate with no sales to go on will be a rough estimate at best.
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This is the actual “covid denial”
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BOP starting conservative, makes sense after BW. I think the lack of PA here will lead to a more favorable final result vs their initial range — but fwiw the initial BW range of 65-90 means that SC would get a mid 40s OW if it had the same initial tracking:real OW ratio. That would be unfortunate but not cataclysmic.
