Legion Again

The incredibly well reviewed and hyped movie from the next superstar MCU director -- Bassam Tariq

Free Guy could be the only summer movie to rack up 3 #1s if Candyman comes in on the soft side.

How about JC?

Post is a common prefix from latin, meaning "after."

Tired: Free Guy will be the first post-pandemic wide A+ Wired: Paw Patrol will be the first post-pandemic wide A+

I think it’s safe to assume every MCU movie is a theatrical exclusive unless they ever start having bad ROI. It’s clearly what Kevin prefers and it has worked great financially for over 20 movies now. This thing has a rumored summer 2022 production start, I actually believe we’ll get FF in July, Blade Oct, and this Nov, with DP3 either going 2024 or taking a Fox date as a 6th 2023 release.

Well considering all of the children are unvaccinated I guess we can put to rest Shang-Chi occupancy being too high for delta fears

Somehow I doubt IM1 got an Avengers bump

This feels at odds with the success of Iron Man 1 and The Winter Soldier, but otherwise seems to mostly check out.

It will be a good weekend for Free Guy and Jungle Cruise, also Paw Patrol (vs expectations from a few weeks ago, going to underperform hopes from like 5 days ago). The rest is absolutely carnage, but looks like pretty normal August product doldrums with a dash of streaming. I don’t know that I’d expect these to be much higher with the same release dates and distribution models even if covid had never happened to begin with.

Instead of the pile of cash being too large to count, it was too small to find

Some strong holds today (thanks to Paw and Reminiscence not doing previews). 1 (1) Free Guy 20th Century… $2,583,234 -2% 4,165 $620 $40,022,975 7 2 (2) Jungle Cruise Walt Disney $916,870 -2% -42% 3,900 $235 $86,313,828 21 3 (3) Don’t Breathe 2 Sony Pictures $833,524 -9% 3,005 $277 $14,622,202 7 4 (4) Respect United Artists $665,849 -7% 3,207 $208 $11,968,712 7 - (-) Old Universal $239,935 -14% -37% 2,631 $91 $44,042,650 28 - (-) Black Widow Walt Disney $215,347 -5% -49% 2,060 $105 $179,054,043 42 - (-) The Green Knight A24 $150,312 -7% -48% 1,784 $84 $15,372,131 21 - (-) Stillwater Focus Features $129,750 -13% -47% 2,179 $60 $13,125,325 21 - (-) Escape Room: Tournament o… Sony Pictures $90,603 -4% -25% 776 $117 $24,888,811 35 - (-) Snake Eyes: G.I. Joe Origins Paramount Pi… $60,604 -15% -59% 1,035 $59 $27,829,255 28 - (-) The Boss Baby: Family Bus… Universal $52,490 -23% -46% 1,184 $44 $56,314,165 49 - (-) F9: The Fast Saga Universal $49,205 -16% -47% 1,160 $42 $172,301,435 56

Getting a little on a tangent here for this thread… … the right place to take this to would be my new 100M club, which has very detailed breakdown of what to expect from various days based on calendar and history, summer vs fall considerations, how that feeds into true IM/full IM, etc

Getting to 80M 3day from 10 is the easy part. Getting to 10 in the first place… not easy. Despite certain hopes, I will be perfectly content with just 7.2

Folks… it’s time.

On the one hand, I don’t want to get people overhyped and disappointed with an objectively-great-but-lower-than-my-dreams kind of number. On the other hand… watch out for the club section in an hour or two 👀

Yup, I would expect maybe Denver T-3 2.4x and T-1 1.7x from that data. Definitely not expecting 10 atm (or even 9), but if it keeps having solid days…. who knows

Man I know that comps this early are pretty “take it with a grain of salt”, but I’m not sure if people have processed that 10M is like O/U BW 3-day O/U 100M 4day kind of numbers.

Seems like Matthew Ball is pretty out of touch with the China situation tbh. We here on the forum basically have best idea in the western world of anyone who isn’t directly involved — if you follow Gavin closely.

Yeah, yeah, usually have some more prominent ensemble members. I’m just saying I dunno if this is a double header in that regard, might be just Sersi.

Based on the poster I’d say Black Knight is definitely a minor character here. I’m sure we’ll see him with a more starring role in some property soon enough. Though I’m not sure if it’s Sersi and Ikaris either, per se. Seems like they’re really going full ensemble, maybe with Sersi as lead.

It will be Pg-13 just like everything else from them, no problem.

Her name probably wouldn’t be plastered all over the trailer if something hadn’t been worked out. Of course, something can always go wrong or some official change their mind over a minor perceived slight at the last moment, but for now I’m optimistic.

As long as the Zhao cut does good streaming numbers, everybody’s happy…