Legion Again
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Posts posted by Legion Again
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14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Holy shit Mexico $6.3M, that's $5M more than what I had for it. Rest is all fine. WB has reported Thailand a bit low, shall be corrected later on, unless film didn't do well after opening day of $1.5M.
Isn’t Thailand one of those where studios report capital only instead of full country for some reason? Or an I thinking of a different SEA territory?
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DS finally drops down... to be about even with three weekends ago. With 1.48M off a 130k week, it needs 20% drops to hit 2M. Think it’s favored.
GvK with a 325k 4day. Very unlikely to hit 1M, but it could have been worse. That Sat boost was huge.
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WW84 is a joke target, it will beat that with OS alone by the 2nd weekend. Tenet is a natural target.
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2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:Spoiler
It’s interesting, show is setting up a lot of antagonists:
Flag Smashers
Power Broker
Zemo
Walker
Can only assume that by the end some will have worked with the heroes, some will have worked with each other, and some will have fought against each other. Could be nice and compels, or kind of messy and unfocused. Fingers crossed.
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20 minutes ago, Rthtr said:
GvK could be looking 7-8m wkend (exclu previews)
Bah gawd it’s a Rth sighting.
BO really is recovering.
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200M was perfectly reasonable for BW at the time they decided to spend it, a large profit was likely.
It will still probably make money, just not very much.
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Good. Twice the comp, double the crumble.
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On 3/23/2021 at 10:53 AM, WandaLegion said:
Would be surprised for 4day to go over 300k I guess.
39k OD, Fri looking ~35k, indeed it will be so.
Neen kind of a bummer market recently, don’t expect much until like July 9 except possible locals.
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8 minutes ago, nick64 said:
To be fair, that could come down to simply precedent. There aren’t many examples of successful non-Rated R films released in early September, but there also aren’t that many examples of unsuccessful non-Rated R films released in early September. There are flops, but those are typically movies that were dumped. They wouldn’t have done well anywhere. Dolphin Tale 2 and the 3D re-releases of The Lion King and Finding Nemo pulled solid numbers in mid-September.
I really can’t think of an example of a tentpole movie actually being failed by any release spot (other than being released with competition). It’s a new Marvel movie, and if enough people want to see it, there’s really nothing to suggest Labor Day weekend would stop them.
Yes, thank you, this x100!
The idea of a “bad release date” is mostly self-reinforcing superstition at this point. There’s some received industry wisdom about “so and so date is bad” so studios put their movies that would do bad anywhere on those dates and their movies that would do good anywhere on the so-called “good dates.” But we see time and again that when studios put blockbusters in new areas, they can do just fine, as well as in a classical blockbuster date. GotG proved that for early August. Deadpool and then Black Panther proved it for Feb. It, Venom, Joker proved it for Sep/Oct. January is the remaining month with the most stigma I guess, but the truth is that Marvel could put DS2 there if they wanted and it would do the same 300-400ish that it will in March. BB4L might have already started to dispel the Jan myth for studios.
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5 hours ago, Porthos said:
ALTOGETHER NOW:
CRUMBLING!!!!!!!!!!!!
Damn, $1M OD it is then.
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The domestic box office will be booming by June if there’s product as people celebrate the pandemic being over. Perhaps stronger than (adjusted for product) than in 2019.
It is conceivable however that studios will continue to delay product because of Europe and LATAM. We’ll have huge logjam in Q3&4 if nobody wants to release anything before July, but I can see how studios might individually prefer a huge logjam and global openess over less competition and some markets closed. Bit of a collective action problem.
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Not many, just 5% or so. Will probably lose more screens today with GvK.
Speaking of GvK it ended up 35k KOBIS, 8.2k CGV. Could be like 32-40k day if PSm’s haven’t improved recently.
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They absolutely would out an Iron Man or Cap movie here in similar circumstances. They’re probably going to have a movie in this slot for quite a few years moving forward. It’s a perfectly fine slot.
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24 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I meant
Spider-Man: Far from Home - theaters
Widow, Shang & Eternals - D+
Spider-Man: No Way Home - theaters
Ah, most recent two theatrical exclusives will be Spider-man.
Yeah, possible. I’m quite skeptical as you already know.
I will say, if PA is doing decent for them, the lack of experimentation with different windows will eventually be a little strange. Shang-Chi could be a good place to experiment with some kind of “PA on 3rd/4th/5th weekend” kind of deal.
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Today doesn't prove that this did great.
But I would say yeah, it does prove that it didn’t do bad. If they just made Cruella PA, or kept BW in May/June and made them both PA, I’d say “maybe it sucked but they’re still experimenting, hard choices when releasing in a pandemic.” But when you take one of your biggest movies of the year, and then go PA rather than pure theatrical in freaking July — well, they’re still experimenting, but if Raya had gone terrible for them they probably wouldn’t be running it back exactly the same.
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12 minutes ago, juni78ukr said:
Piracy didnt kill Soul in Russia either, But Wonder Woman 1984 was dead on arrival.
Suggests it’s more of a WW84 problem than a piracy problem, no?
14 minutes ago, juni78ukr said:You dont realize how much is $30 for an average guy. It's about the same you pay for Netflix, Amazon Prime and HBO Max put together. And dont underestimare piracy. With such hybrid releases you can watch a movie for free the same day.
No matter how rich or poor you are, the ticket equivalence will be the same. $30 is bad compared to one ticket. It’s pretty good compared to 3 tickets.
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1 minute ago, SchumacherFTW said:
That's Sony though, not Disney
Sure, for that particular movie. But Disney has also gone a week early in some OS territories on many many MCU solos.
It’s hardly outside the norm, is my point.
What would be outside the norm, and a good idea imo, but I don't thinks they will do, is going 2-3 weeks early in China.
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6 minutes ago, Eric #TeamKong said:
You know they won’t release it early
Eh, they released FFH a week early in China+HK+Japan and they didn’t even have any reason to. They haven’t been as attached to total global simultaneity on smaller movies where there isn’t a global spoiler concern.
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Pretty curious about how this does box office now. If they’re smart they’ll release early in key OS markets with piracy (China). Could see something like 200 DOM, 200 China, 300 rest.
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12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I won't be surprised if last two theater exclusive MCU films at end of 2021 are Spider-man movies.
There aren’t even two Spider-man MCU films this year, so count me skeptical 😛
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5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
At this point I think they should increase the price or introduce a premium tier of $15 a month instead of charging $30 a film. $30 a film is simply a bad marketing pitch.
Two tiers:
regular
premium (more monthly, get all PA with no additional charge)
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Yeah this is extremely dumb. To echo what others are saying, if they wanted to be caution hybrid in May/June would make sense. Or moving to July and keeping release options open.
Moving to July and committing to PA is just wild.
Gotta be a combination of 2 things —
didn’t like the spring wave in Europe/LATAM, still highly value globally synchronized releasePA results have been inconclusive enough to try it with a true blockbuster while they still have the pandemic as cover
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1 minute ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:
Now that's a weird release date. I wonder the reasoning for September?
It’s evenly spaced between their July release and November release, where else would you put it?
Incidentally this is also why I expect the 5th 2022 release to be Sep.
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
in China At The Box Office
Posted
It is exactly what it seems like then 😛