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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. That is also up from last week for SOF. 20+ wknd a go
  2. I mean if it does like 8.8 wed or whatever then like 40M FSS into losing all PLF... 🤷‍♂️
  3. I haven’t done the math but presumably Ava weekend can’t catch Aeg even on admits and ends up #2?
  4. Very unlikely. Last weekend was 130, say holdovers to 75 and MI 65 is 140, then holdovers to 60+Oppenheimer 60+Barbie 150 is still a miss: 1 Apr 26, 2019 $401,994,732 Avengers: Endgame $357,115,007 2 Dec 18, 2015 $313,076,133 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $247,966,675 3 Apr 27, 2018 $312,340,779 Avengers: Infinity War $257,698,183 4 Dec 25, 2015 $296,418,979 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $149,202,860 5 Feb 16, 2018 $286,496,153 Black Panther $202,003,951 6 Dec 17, 2021 $281,591,442 Spider-Man: No Way Home $260,138,569 7 Dec 15, 2017 $277,940,566 Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi $220,009,584 8 Jun 22, 2018 $277,076,918 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $148,024,610 9 Jun 12, 2015 $273,849,469 Jurassic World $208,806,270 10 Jun 15, 2018 $270,884,807 Incredibles 2 $182,687,905
  5. The 7day MA on log should be pretty smooth
  6. No one WATERS DOWN my 100m admit prediction
  7. Updated https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart
  8. Jesus, let’s crank that SOF 2nd weekend to like… 14-17? Over flash DOM ? 👀
  9. Looks like day 21 will be a nailbiter but I’m keeping hope alive
  10. A recent history of 2nd weekends for A+ faith community adjacent movies (true FSS drop to be more apples to apples): Jesus Revolution -32.5% American underdog excluded for Xmas sat opening Overcomer -23% (~ -32% adjusting for labor sun) Unplanned -33% I can Only Imagine -14% The Case for Christ -30% (can’t find any preview fig) Miracles from Heaven -35% (midweek open) Woodlawn -36% (can’t find previews) War Room -12% (~ -24% adjusting for Labor sun) Overall I would guess perhaps 13-15M for SOF
  11. FWIW: Movie Shows Change Gross PSA Indiana Jones 5 68,347 -31.15% $27,000,000 $395 Insidious 6 63,877 $33,000,000 $517 Joy Ride 46,097 $5,850,000 $127 Elemental 36,597 -14.92% $9,600,000 $262 Ruby Gillman 31,974 -28.67% $2,800,000 $88 Sound of Freedom 31,280 $19,000,000 $607 Spider-Verse 2 30,229 -20.12% $8,000,000 $265 No Hard Feelings 27,981 -25.94% $5,250,000 $188 Transformers 6 23,616 -21.56% $5,000,000 $212 The Little Mermaid 17,956 -27.01% $3,500,000 $195 The Flash 12,416 -56.39% $2,215,000 $178 Asteroid City 12,045 -51.42% $2,240,000 $186 Past Lives 5,026 -55.09% $1,000,000 $199 Guardians Vol. 3 4,723 -45.08% $1,000,000 $212 Showcounts sourced from @katnisscinnaplex, an incomplete but substantial coverage. Ruby will get pasted, Joy Ride may have some 2 wk contract protection but it’s gone on barbieheimer wknd, and then there is a lot of 200ish stuff which can give up screens to provide some protection for Elemental/SV2/Indy. SOF may expand? The Sunday from marks suggests a great 2nd weekend imo retaining 2nd place PSA after MI and maybe even 2nd place gross if things get funky.
  12. This thread moves a little faster than I read it nowadays, has anyone taken a peek at Psycho-pass? I’m guessing like a 1M OW but I think some people might have anime comps in ~that around ( @katnisscinnaplex ?)
  13. Indy will lose all it’s screens to Psycho-Pass 😤
  14. Barely on page 4? Disappointing. Seems like (some of) the people behind the movie are nutjobs with insulting and dangerous beliefs… but the movie itself is basically pretty good and not peddling that stuff? It’s having an impressive run in part by catering to an audience that feels excluding by modern HW which is a path that I’m sure we’ll see repeated and I’m pretty interesting to see the legs play out.
  15. If we restrict to movies without *any* weekends over 30M, Sixth Sense got 26 days off a 27M open 😎 Into the Spiderverse matched 24 with a 35M open and Ocean’s 11 did 27 days off of 38M. Wedding Crashers got 31 days(!) off a 34M open.
  16. I thought 14 movies over 1M might be a post-pandemic record but looks like we already did it on April 28. Getting 15 might be pretty elusive.
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