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Reddroast

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Posts posted by Reddroast

  1. 49 minutes ago, dudalb said:

    If there is one unwritten rule in the Film Industry it is that even the really big stars....I mean Tom Cruise level..show up to the set on time and ready to shoot. Not to do guarantees cost overruns. It;s also a matter of basic professional behavior.

    Coming atop the Black Adam Fiasco..particualry Johnson's pathetic attempts to show it made a profit....I now think The Rock has don't permanent damage to his image both within the industry and to the general public.

    I just cannot see how Amazon manages to make a profit with this one.

    A man said wise words back in 2011: there is no bigger asskisser than The Rock.

     

     

  2. 23 minutes ago, Porthos said:

     

    No?

     

    Disney would be in a much worse position if it didn't have Disney Plus right now.  Look over at, say, Paramount and how it's trying to scramble with its much lower tier streaming platform.  Or how Comcast is doing with Peacock.  Or, hell, Sony which has practically nothing.

     

    What they might regret is how they tried to chase after Netflix and commit too many resources to going "all in".   But then again the entire industry fucked up by trying to copy Netflix, leading to — or at least accelerating — the shift from one of the most profitable business models the US entertainment system ever had (the multichannel bundle) to a very much less profitable one. 

     

    The fallout from the shift from where 85% of all households in the US had some form of multichannel bundle to the massive market fragmentation where everyone is fending for themselves (even with an occasional superbundle like the Disney/Max one thrown in) is gonna be felt for a looooooooong time.

     

    Anyway, Disney Plus's undeniable strength is in its legacy programming/library.  Where it is falling down is getting a reliable set of *NEW* programming on a regular basis.

    In defense of Sony their streaming strategy is smart.

     

    Sell the films for to various services. Get money. Then target various niches by buying streaming services within them

    Crunchyroll and FUNimation before it  (r.i.p.) have proven this method successful 

  3. 30 minutes ago, WittyUsername said:

    Has Marvel Studios’ security just gotten worse in the 2020s? Last year there was that whole thing with the Ant-Man 3 script getting released online, and even before that there were those leaked pics from NWH that I believe John Campea accidentally shared because he thought it was fake. 

    Scoopers have always been around. Could be that with marvel making so many movies they may have made connections with people working on them.

     

  4. 3 hours ago, YM! said:

    Going to also guess what rounds up the potential scale of what could make the top ten:

    • Captain America: Brave New World - Feels like a number between Cap1 (~175m) and Shang-Chi (~225m) is right for it providing solid reception. Think the angle of Hulk shenanigans is an interesting sell but whilst Falcon doesn’t get same level of fandom vitriol from bigots (I mean it’ll still be there but probably more subdued) like when a girl enters the MCU, I don’t think he’s a kickstarter. There’s another potential issue but I want to wait a few months when the trailer drops to see if it pans out.
    • Coogler’s new movie. Feels more like a Creed at the box office than a Black Panther but I think it could really surprise us.
    • Snow White - The Snow White IP though belonging to a big name doesn’t feel much like a kickstarter and feels like it’ll end up on lower Disney remakes but I think mid 100s can happen due to lack of female appealing films Q1.
    • Thunderbolts* - Personally feels like the weakest of the Marvel projects this year but has a pretty decent thirst for action films during the lead up. Feeling mid 100s again for it, but if The Bear crew manages to make something great - I’ll go a bit higher.
    • Elio - Though I think IO2 will be a hit and Pixar has the least hurdles of all the Disney brands, I hate the spot for it as it’ll face competition it’s not ready to handle especially as sci-fi animation but can work as there’s lack of family films this summer until Bad Guys 2.
    • Kendrick Musical - I think the pitch on paper sounds funny and Kendrick is a huge star, think it could be a potential sweeper given the dearth of comedies (Naked Gun remake too but I feel a bit more optimistic on Kendrick)
    • The Bad Guys 2 - Though I don’t think it’ll break records with Universal’s strong marketing department and a beloved first, I could see a decent sized jump for this one.
    • FNAF2 - Dislike the first one with a passion, it worked with its target audience as video game movies are the new live action remakes, copy the source fill with references watch box office explode. 
    • The Bride - Think the concept itself feels of interest and could be surprise.
    • Wicked Part 2 - I said my piece on reception to Wicked 1 will determine this one’s performance as most of the good stuff in the musical happens in the first act.
    • Did not include Fast Eleven and Blade because I think those movies are 2026.

    I think the Kendrick/Parker & Stone project is going to have a lot more people noticing it due to a certain feud that's ongoing 

     

    Hell I wouldn't be surprised if Trey and Matt  got in on taking shots at a certain Canadian. 

  5. Some broad predictions:

    This is going off of current dates and is not a say on quality.

     

    The Wolfman breaks out while M3GAN 2 gets crushed in May.

    Cap BMW is positioned in a smart place but controversies and potholes surround it. If the reshoots work It will  be a decent success.

     

    I don't think passion 2 does as big as the 1st. 

     

    I think micheal is the ultimate wildcard it could be a massive hit or a massive bomb that finally kills Lionsgate 

     

    From what I've heard plot-wise paramount has made a perfect counter-programming play with what Trey Parker, Matt Stone and Kendrick Lamar are doing. But they're screwing over the naked gun remake by putting that in the same month.

     

    Marvel can really pull off a strong marketing campaign for FF. ESPECIALLY if the last of us season 2 comes out in early 2025 ( THAT MOMENT is happening in the show)

     

    The duel between FF and Superman will be the most talked about duel on the forms.

     

    Angel studios does well for the year. But take their first big L with David.

     

    Avatar 3 suffers another drop. Not enough to cancel the franchise or be a bomb. But enough that Disney starts to reign James Cameron and his vision in.

     

     

  6. 25 minutes ago, Morieris said:

    I appreciate this but at the end of the day, Disney has to make this - and most  of - their movies palatable to the largest audience.

     

    I will give them a sliver of credit that they haven't really sanitized TLK retroactively and still keep the slightly more serious tone.

     

    (Haven't seen 2019 but did watch a fair bit of Lion Guard)

    We have never seen director(s) who come from a more prestige background stand up for when they work on a bigger film like this. Especially at Disney.

  7. 44 minutes ago, Porthos said:

    Someone has no time of day for the haters, it would seem:

     

    (whole buncha video links follow which I won't repeat)

     

     

    Do have to agree with Jenkins that people projecting their distaste over Disney on to him by saying "he's too good for this" ain't exactly a good look and saying "The Barry Jenkins I interviewed years ago wouldn't have said that [about Disney]" is an extremely bad look.

     

    Doesn't mean that this will actually be good, mind.  But does seem to be a project he's really invested in and that ought to count for something.

    Good that he stood up for his work here. I never liked the lion king or the remake. But I always thought Jenkins was a cool choice and I think the angle he found ( inspired by Godfather 2) shows he's trying here. Unlike the remake that Disney put out

     

  8. 44 minutes ago, Shawn Robbins said:

     

    forum_logo_new(small).png

    Hi Everyone,

     

    I'm back in the game.

     

    Box Office Theory's front-end has relaunched and we're continuing forecasts there and through my new Substack. 

     

    boxofficetheory.com

    boxofficetheory.substack.com

     

    This weekend's forecast: https://boxofficetheory.com/weekend-forecast-the-fall-guy-eyes-25-30m-summer-start-star-wars-the-phantom-menace-re-issue-could-surprise-ahead-of-tarot/

     

    We're also up on a few social channels, though those are works-in-progress:

     

    X/Twitter

    LinkedIn

    Instagram

    Facebook

     

    I'll probably be paywalling some things after a brief free/intro period where certain tracking and forecasts will be both on the website and in the Substack newsletter. After that free period (likely a week or two?), some of that information will only be available through Substack.

     

    I know paywalls aren't the most popular thing, but there will be a free tier and I'm aiming to keep the paid tier reasonable. After all, I've got a family to support! :)

     

    For those wondering, the forums aren't impacted negatively by this. In fact, I'm hoping this venture helps further strengthen the ability to continue supporting our hosting needs.

     

    Any future and ongoing support you can provide is hugely appreciated, whether its through a free or paid subscription, and I can't thank you all enough for the support you've already shown in recent times and over these many years.

     

    More to come.

     

    Shawn

    Love the new logo

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  9. 2 hours ago, dudalb said:

    We have a  problem ion htis site is the vast majority of posters are probably in the 16 to 25 SINGLE age group and don't get how expensive an outing to the movies can be for a family. And it the last couple of years Inflation has cut deeply into a lot of people's entertaiment budget.

    Streaming has changed the whole dynamics of the film industry in a way not seen since the advent of Television in the l late 40's and early 50's , where it cut movie attendence by 40%,

    As for this specific movie, I think how it is received will be important. If it comes off like a weak sequel.prequel to a classic, it will not do nearly as well as some people there think.

    When I was a kid  ( a part of a family of 6 people.) going to the movies was expensive. 

    Im terrified of what the price would be today 

  10. 8 minutes ago, MightyDargon said:

    Not gonna be too judgmental based on the trailer visuals but the story sounds pretty stupid.

    "Taka" (a name that means "trash") was somehow the chosen one? Mufasa was somehow from the lion equivalent of poverty row (which doesn't exist for lions)? Even Scar's speech from Lion King always made it sound like MUFASA was always viewed as "above Scar" his entire life. An actual villain origin for Scar where HE had a life of misery and resentment he had secretly concealed from Mufasa sounds much more like the actual backstory of Scar than "Dusty Rhodes lion ruined my life, the movie".

    Would that make Simba Cody?

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