Viktor Vilotijevic
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Posts posted by Viktor Vilotijevic
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I think theaters will start opening in June, and will be at almost full capacity by
August/September.
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I'm expecting 40-50 million opening this time around max. But let's say if they put "Mulan" or even "A Quiet Place Part II", I think both films could claim victory over "Halloween". Any news on when will the trailer drop? Btw, shooting of "Halloween Ends" is pushed for Summer 2020.
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Well, I guess this will keep the original release date, but I am scared what they may add for October 16th, now that so many films got delayed.
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Ok, this is going to be scary prediction.
MARCH 20-22:
1. "I Still Believe" - 4.3 / 15.9
2. "Onward" - 4.0 / 66.7
3. "Bloodshot" - 3.1 / 15.5
4. "The Invisible Man" - 2.5 / 68.4
5. "The Hunt" - 1.8 / 8.7
6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 0.9 / 147.5
7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 63.4
8. "The Way Back" - 0.7 / 14.7
9. "Emma" - 0.5 / 10.9
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.4 / 205.0
11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.2 / 317.1
12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.2 / 84.4
Top 10 should be 19 million $. If I am not mistaken that hasn't happened since early 80's.
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I am scared to predict how will next 4 weekends look like. Just look at them pushing back “Trolls” and “Black Widow”.
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NEW PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT 4 WEEKS:
MARCH 13-15:
1. "Onward" - 22.3/ 72.2
2. "I Still Believe" - 13.4
3. "The Invisible Man" - 9.0 / 67.4
4. "Bloodshot" - 8.6
5. "The Hunt" - 7.2
6. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 4.6 / 147.8
7. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6
8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.7 / 63.6
9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2
11. "Birds of Prey" - 0.9 / 84.5
12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 10.7
MARCH 20-22:
1. "Onward" - 13.8 / 93.4
2. "I Still Believe" - 8.0 / 25.3
3. "The Invisible Man" - 5.3 / 75.7
4. "Bloodshot" - 3.6 / 14.5
5. "The Hunt" - 3.1 / 12.5
6. "The Way Back" - 2.9 / 20.1
7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 2.8 / 152.1
8. "Emma" - 2.1 / 15.1
9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.9 / 66.8
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.2 / 207.1
11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.5 / 318.1
12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.3 / 85.1
MARCH 27-29:
1. "Onward" - 8.9 / 106.8
2. "I Still Believe" - 5.2 / 32.9
3. "The Invisible Man" - 3.2 / 80.9
4. "The Way Back" - 1.9 / 23.1
5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.8 / 155.0
6. "Bloodshot" - 1.6 / 17.4
7. "Emma" - 1.5 / 17.4
8. "The Hunt" - 1.3 / 14.8
9. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.2 / 68.7
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.8 / 208.3
11. "Jumanji 2" - 0.3 / 318.6
12. "1917" - 0.2 / 160.3
APRIL 3-5:
1. "Onward" - 5.7 / 115.8
2. "I Still Believe" - 3.4 / 38.0
3. "The Invisible Man" - 2.1 / 84.2
4. "The Way Back" - 1.2 / 25.0
5. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.2 / 156.9
6. "Emma" - 1.0 / 18.9
7. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.8 / 70.0
8. "Bloodshot" - 0.7 / 18.7
9. "The Hunt" - 0.5 / 15.8
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.5 / 209.1
11. "Never Rarely Sometimes Always" - 0.3
12. "First Cow" - 0.2
I really have no idea if they are going to expand these platform films, and how will the audience embrace them. But it will be the most tragic box office in a long time. April 3-5 will possibly fall short of 20 million $ in top 12, and that didn't happen in last 25+ years.
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Seems like “Onward” will spend 5 weekends at #1.
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Parasite Worldwide: $290.0mn+ (estimate trough 3/19/20)
Asia & Oceania : $141.3mn
South Korea: $73.2mn
Japan: $41.0 mn
Taiwan: $5.0 mn
Vietnam: $3.2mn
Australia & NZ: $4.2mn
Hong Kong: $2.2mn
Russia: $3.1 mn
Indonesia: $1.5mn
Thailand: $1.5mn
Singapore: $0.8mn
India: $0.6mn
South East Asia: $5.0mn
Europe : $76.3mn
France: $15.5mn
UK: $15.7mn
Germany: $9.4mn
Spain: $9.1mn
Italy: $6.3mn
Netherlands: $4.1mn
Switzerland: $1.7mn
Norway: $2.1mn
Denmark: $1.3mn
Finland: $1.1mn
Belgium: $1.1mn
Greece: $0.8mn
Turkey: $1.1mn
Others: $7.0mn
Latin America : $17.2mn
Mexico: $7.8mn
Brazil: $4.1mn
Colombia: $1.6mn
Argentina: $1.3mn
Chile: $0.7mn
Central American: $0.7mn
Others: $1.0mn
North America : $53.5mn
Others: $2.0mn
Top 5 markets:
1. South Korea
2. USA
3. Japan
4. UK
5. France
Projected worldwide total: 293-5 million $
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MARCH 13-15:
1. "Onward" - 22.0 / 72.7
2. "I Still Believe" - 12.6
3. "The Hunt" - 9.1
4. "Bloodshot" - 8.5
5. "The Invisible Man" - 8.1 / 68.0
6. "The Way Back" - 4.5 / 15.6
7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 3.9 / 147.2
8. "Call Of the Wild" - 3.5 / 63.3
9. "Emma" - 3.1 / 11.8
10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.9 / 205.2
11. "Birds of Prey" - 1.0 / 84.5
12. "Impractical Jokers" - 0.9 / 11.1
Is there anything going wide from the current limited releases in the next 3 weeks?
SpoilerMARCH 20-22:
1. "A Quiet Place II" - 63.8
2. "Onward" - 14.2 / 96.3
3. "I Still Believe" - 7.7 / 24.4
4. "The Invisible Man" - 4.4 / 73.1
5. "The Hunt" - 3.8 / 15.4
6. "Bloodshot" - 3.5 / 14.1
7. "The Way Back" - 2.6 / 20.0
8. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 2.0 / 151.1
9. "Emma" - 2.0 / 14.9
10. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.9 / 66.7
11. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.2 / 206.9
12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.6 / 85.4
MARCH 27-29:
1. "Mulan" - 87.3
2. "A Quiet Place II" - 32.1 / 115.5
3. "Onward" - 9.0 / 110.5
4. "I Still Believe" - 4.3 / 31.2
5. "The Invisible Man" - 2.6 / 77.2
6. "The Hunt" - 1.8 / 18.6
7. "Bloodshot" - 1.4 / 16.7
8. "The Way Back" - 1.4 / 22.2
9. "Emma" - 1.3 / 16.9
10. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 1.1 / 152.9
11. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.0 / 68.4
12. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.7 / 208.0
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I'm wondering, will they maybe have another Bond song by then?
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Well, the film can only benefit from that. Q4 release will guarantee China release and will by default make more money.
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Parasite Worldwide: $272mn + (estimate trough 3/5/20)
Asia & Oceania : $132.8mn
South Korea: $73.2 mn
Japan: $35.5 mn
Taiwan: $5.0 mn
Vietnam: $3.0mn
Australia: $3.5 mn
Hong Kong: $2mn
Russia: $1.6 mn
Indonesia: $1.5mn
Thailand: $1.5mn
Singapore: $0.8mn
India: $0.6mn
South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more)
Europe : $69.1mn
France: $14.9mn
UK: $13.9mn
Germany: $8.6mn
Spain: $8.0mn
Italy: $6.1mn
Netherlands: $3.3mn
Switzerland: $1.7mn
Norway: $1.8mn
Denmark: $1.3mn
Finland: $1.1mn
Belgium: $1.1mn
Greece: $0.8mn
Turkey: $1.0mn
Others: $5.5mn
Latin America : $16.0mn
Mexico: $7.5 mn
Brazil: $4.0mn
Colombia: $1.6mn
Argentina: $1.1mn
Chile: $0.7mn
Central American: $0.55mn
Others: $0.6mn
North America : $52.0mn
Others: $2.0mn
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MARCH 6-8:
1. "Onward" - 58.6
2. "The Invisible Man" - 15.4 / 53.0
3. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 9.1 / 141.7
4. "Call Of the Wild" - 7.0 / 58.1
5. "The Way Back" - 6.7
6. "Emma" - 4.8 / 6.8
7. "Bad Boys 3" - 2.8 / 201.7
8. "Birds of Prey" - 2.3 / 82.6
9. "My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising" - 1.8 / 12.1
10. "1917" - 1.6 / 158.4
11. "Impractical Jokers" - 1.5 / 9.1
12. "Jumanji 2" - 1.3 / 315.7
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I don't think it will pass "Life Is Beautiful". Should end it's run between 54 and 55 million $.
Parasite Worldwide: $259mn + (couldn't find updates for some countries)
Asia & Oceania : $129.0mn
South Korea: $73.4 mn
Japan: $31.8 mn
Taiwan: $5.0 mn
Vietnam: $3.0mn
Australia: $3.2 mn
Hong Kong: $2mn
Russia: $1.7 mn
Indonesia: $1.5mn
Thailand: $1.5mn
Singapore: $0.8mn
India: $0.6mn
South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more)
Europe : $63.7mn
France: $14.4mn
UK: $11.8mn
Germany: $7.4mn
Spain: $6.9mn
Italy: $6.0mn
Netherlands: $3.3mn
Switzerland: $1.7mn
Norway: $1.6mn
Denmark: $1.3mn
Finland: $1.1mn
Belgium: $1.1mn
Greece: $0.8mn
Turkey: $0.8mn
Others: $5.5mn
Latin America : $14.9mn
Mexico: $7.3 mn
Brazil: $3.1mn
Colombia: $1.6mn
Argentina: $1.1mn
Chile: $0.7mn
Central American: $0.55mn
Others: $0.6mn
North America : $50.0mn
Others: $2.0mn
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FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 1:
1. "The Invisible Man" - 27.2
2. "Call Of the Wild" - 13.3 / 46.0
3. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 12.8 / 125.1
4. "My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising" - 4.8 / 8.2
5. "Bad Boys 3" - 3.9 / 197.0
6. "Birds of Prey" - 3.5 / 78.2
7. "Impractical Jokers" - 2.7 / 5.8
8. "1917" - 2.5 / 155.7
9. "Brahms: The Boy II" - 2.4 / 9.6
10. "Fantasy Island" - 2.2 / 23.9
11. "Jumanji 2" - 1.9 / 313.5
12. "Parasite" - 1.5 / 51.5
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So, I guess this will open between 30 and 35 million $.
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Parasite Worldwide: $253mn + (couldn't find updates for some countries)
Asia & Oceania : $126.4mn
South Korea: $73.3 mn
Japan: $30.5 mn
Taiwan: $5.0 mn
Vietnam: $3.0mn
Australia: $3.0 mn
Hong Kong: $2mn
Russia: $1.7 mn
Indonesia: $1.5mn
Thailand: $1.5mn
Singapore: $0.8mn
India: $0.6mn
South East Asia: $4.5mn (could be more)
Europe : $61.2mn
France: $14.2mn
UK: $10.9mn
Germany: $6.2mn
Spain: $6.9mn
Italy: $6.4mn
Netherlands: $3.0mn
Switzerland: $1.7mn
Norway: $1.3mn
Denmark: $1.3mn
Finland: $1.1mn
Belgium: $1.1mn
Greece: $0.8mn
Turkey: $0.8mn
Others: $5.5mn
Latin America : $14.8mn
Mexico: $7.1 mn
Brazil: $3.1mn
Colombia: $1.6mn
Argentina: $1.1mn
Chile: $0.7mn
Central American: $0.55mn
Others: $0.6mn
North America : $48.8mn
Others: $2.0mn
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Update as of 02/21/2020
- The numbers on this chart refer to Global Box Office (theatrical runs only).
- Film titles in Italics have not been nominated for Best Foreign Language Film, but in other categories (Animated Feature, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Directing, etc.)
- “Spirited Away” (2001) - Japan - $347,800,000 (1 Oscar)
- “Parasite” (2019) - South Korea - $241,300,000* (4 Oscars)
- “How’s Mowing Castle” (2004) - Japan - $236,200,000 (1 Nomination)
- “Life Is beautiful” (1998) - Italy - $230,100,000 (3 Oscars)
- “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon” (2000) - Taiwan - $213,500,000 (4 Oscars)
- “Hero” (2002) - China - $177,400,000 (1 Nomination)
- “Amelie” (2001) - France - $174,200,000 (5 Nominations)
- “The Wind Rises” (2013) - Japan - $136,500,000 (1 Nomination)
- “Downfall” (2004) - Germany - $93,600,000 (1 Oscar)
- “House Of Flying Daggers” (2004) - China - $92,900,000 (1 Nomination)
- “The Chorus” (2004) - France - $88,400,000 (2 Nominations)
- "Volver" (2006) - Spain - $87,200,000 (1 Nomination)
- “La Vie En Rose” (2007) - France - $86,300,000 (2 Oscars)
- “Das Boot” (1981) - Germany - $84,900,000 (6 Nominations)
- “Pan’s Labyrinth” (2006) - Mexico - $83,900,000 (3 Oscars)
- “Curse of the Golden Flower” (2006) - China - $78,600,000 (1 Nomination)
- “The Lives Of Others” (2006) - Germany - $77,400,000 (1 Oscar)
- “A Very Long Engagement” (2004) - France - $76,600,000 (2 Nominations)
- “The Grandmaster” (2013) - China - $73,900,000 (2 Nominations)
- “Departures” (2008) - Japan - $70,500,000 (1 Oscar)
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Parasite Worldwide: $240.1
Asia & Oceania : $122.5mn
South Korea: $73.3mn
Japan: $26.5mn
Taiwan: $4.9mn
Vietnam: $3mn
Australia: $2.8mn
Hong Kong: $2mn
Russia: $1.6mn
Indonesia: $1.5mn
Thailand: $1.5mn
Singapore: $0.8mn
India: $0.6mn
South East Asia: $4mn (could be more)
Europe : $56.5mn
France: $14.2 mn
UK: $9.1 mn
Germany: $6.3 mn
Spain: $5.8 mn
Italy: $5.5 mn
Netherlands: $2.8mn
Switzerland: $1.9 mn
Norway: $1.2 mn
Denmark: $1.3mn
Finland: $1.1mn
Belgium: $0.9mn
Greece: $0.8mn
Turkey: $0.6mn
Others: $5.0 mn
Latin America : $13.7mn
Mexico: $6.7 mn
Brazil: $2.8 mn
Colombia: $1.5mn
Argentina: $1mn
Chile: $0.6mn
Central American: $0.55mn
Others: $0.45mn
North America : $45.8mn
Others: $1.6mn
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Isn't 240 million $ a bit too high? I mean I know it will go past 250-260 million, but that was fast.
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I don’t know why isn’t Box Office Mojo updating “Parasite’s” numbers. On their page it’s showing around 198 million $. I’m sure we’re closer to 210-215 million $ by now.
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I think this one will open close or with a bit more than 100 million $ in US and if it shows legs and good word of mouth, 1 billion is achievable. "Spectre" was a bad film overall.
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I’m more interested in seeing what will “Parasite” do in the end
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So by tomorrow morning, the total should be around 214 million $, which makes it second highest grossing Foreign Language Oscar film (that's not animated), right behind "Life Is Beautiful", which grossed 230.1 million $. So, I guess it will surpass that one too, within next 10-ish days. And then the only two other foreign films that were nominated/won Oscar are: "Spirited Away" (347.8 million $) and "Howl's Moving Castle" (236.2 million $). The second one also shouldn't be hard to surpass.
Based on Summer Tentpole's estimates, this is how I think the theatrical run worldwide will end:
Parasite Worldwide: $264.3 million
Asia & Oceania : $138.9mn
South Korea: $74.5 million (unless it picks up again)
Japan: $40 million
Taiwan: $5.5 million
Vietnam: $3million
Australia: $3.5 million
Hong Kong: $2.2 million
Russia: $2 million
Indonesia: $1.7 million
India: $0.8 million
South East Asia: $5.5 million
Europe : $57.5 million
France: $14.5 million
UK: $14 million
Germany: $5.4 million
Spain: $6.8 million
Italy: $8 million
Netherlands: $2.8 million
Others: $6 million
Latin America : $10.7 million
Mexico: $6.0 million
Brazil: $2.4mn
Argentina: $1.3mn
Others: $1.0mn
North America : $55 million
Others: $2.2 million
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Halloween Kills | October 15, 2021 | Uni/Blumhouse | Releases day-and-date in theaters and Peacock | 35% on RT
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
I don’t even know where to start with predictions. Who knows if there will
be a theatrical release if the second wave of COVID-19 happens. Even if it doesn’t what number of theaters will we be operating with and how much will people still be scared from going to theatres.