[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

I guess, 55 million in the US is somewhat a guarantee. So I assume the ww total will be 240-250 million $ when it’s all said and done.

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

FEBRUARY 21-23:

 

1. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 30.6 / 112.0

2. "Call Of the Wild" - 12.5

3. "Birds Of Prey" - 9.0 / 74.8

4. "Bad Boys 3" - 7.3 / 192.6

5. "1917" - 5.4 / 152.9

6. "Brahms: The Boy 2" - 4.2

7. "The Photograph" - 4.0 / 19.1

8. "Fantasy Island" - 3.9 / 19.8

9.  "Jumanji 2" - 3.5 / 311.5

10. "Parasite" - 3.3 / 49.1

11. "Dolittle" - 2.7 / 75.4

12. "Downhill" - 1.8 / 7.7

 

Spoiler

 

FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 1:

 

1. "The Invisible Man" - 28.4

2. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 16.7 / 137.8

3. "Call Of the Wild" - 7.0 / 23.7

4. "Bad Boys 3" - 4.3 / 199.7

5. "Birds of Prey" - 4.2 / 82.3

6. "1917" - 3.4 / 158.3

7. "Jumanji 2" - 2.2 / 315.1

8. "Parasite" - 2.0 / 52.4

9. "Brahms: The Boy 2" - 1.7 / 7.3

10. "Fantasy Island" - 1.6 / 22.9

11. "The Photograph" - 1.6 / 22.1

12. "Dolittle" - 1.4 / 77.8

 

MARCH 6-8:

 

1. "Onward" - 63.5

2. "The Invisible Man" - 13.1 / 51.2

3. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 10.2 / 154.3

4. "The Way Back" - 8.6

5. "Call Of The Wild" - 4.1 / 30.5

6. "Bad Boys 3" - 2.8 / 204.1

7. "1917" - 2.3 / 161.8

8. "Birds Of Prey" - 2.0 / 85.9

9. "Jumanji 2" - 1.3 / 317.2

10. "Parasite" - 1.1 / 54.3

11. "Brahms: The Boy 2" - 0.7 / 8.6

12. "Dolittle" - 0.7 / 79.0

 

MARCH 13-15:

 

1. "Onward" - 36.7 / 122.1

2. "I Still Believe" - 13.8

3. "The Hunt" - 12.2

4. "Bloodshot" - 9.2

5. "My Spy" - 7.8

6. "The Invisible Man" - 6.8 / 63.1

7. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 6.0 / 163.7

8. "The Way Back" - 4.6 / 16.7

9. "Call Of The Wild" - 2.1 / 34.2

10. "Bad Boys 3" - 1.5 / 206.7

11. "1917" - 1.4 / 164.1

12. "Birds Of Prey" - 0.8 / 87.5

 

MARCH 20-22:

 

1. "A Quiet Place Part II" - 64.8

2. "Onward" - 23.9 / 159.7

3. "I Still Believe" - 8.3 / 27.2

4. "The Hunt" - 6.6 / 23.1

5. "Bloodshot" - 4.0 / 16.3

6. "The Invisible Man" - 3.9 / 69.5

7. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 3.7 / 169.4

8. "My Spy" - 3.6 / 13.7

9. "The Way Back" - 2.4 / 20.9

10. "Call Of The Wild" - 1.2 / 36.1

11. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.9 / 208.2

12. "1917" - 0.8 / 165.5

 

MARCH 27-29:

 

1. "Mulan" - 44.9

2. "A Quiet Place Part II" - 30.3 / 117.8

3. "Onward" - 14.7 / 183.6

4. "I Still Believe" - 4.7 / 35.1

5. "The Hunt" - 3.6 / 29.2

6. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 2.2 / 173.0

7. "The Invisible Man" - 2.1 / 73.0

8. "Bloodshot" - 1.8 / 19.6

9. "My Spy" - 1.7 / 16.8

10. "The Way Back" - 1.4 / 23.2

11. "Call Of The Wild" - 0.6 / 37.1

12. "Bad Boys 3" - 0.5 / 209.1

 

APRIL 3-5:

 

1. "Mulan" - 26.5 / 89.3

2. "Peter Rabbit 2" - 18.1

3. "A Quiet Place Part II" - 17.8 / 146.1

4. "The New Mutants" - 15.6

5. "The Lovebirds" - 10.8

6. "Onward" - 9.3 / 199.0

7. "I Still Believe" - 2.7 / 39.4

8. "The Hunt" - 1.9 / 32.4

9. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 1.3 / 175.1

10. "The Invisible Man" - 1.1 / 74.8

11. "Bloodshot" - 0.7 / 21.0

12. "My Spy" - 0.7 / 18.1

 

APRIL 10-12:

 

1. "No Time To Die" - 93.4

2. "Mulan" - 16.3 / 115.4

3. "Peter Rabbit 2" - 11.5 / 35.6

4. "A Quiet Place Part II" - 9.3 / 161.2

5. "The New Mutants" - 7.1 / 28.3

6. "The Lovebirds" - 7.0 / 22.3

7. "Onward" - 6.2 / 208.8

8. "I Still Believe" - 1.6 / 41.9

9. "The Hunt" - 1.0 / 34.1

10. "Sonic The Hedgehog" - 0.8 / 176.4

11. "The Invisible Man" - 0.6 / 75.8

12. "My Spy" - 0.4 / 18.8

 

 

 

 

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

Where did you get that info? Seems a bit high.

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$200,000,000 : ✔️

It passed 200 million this weekend?

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

7 hours ago, Joel M said:

You missed Volver. It did 85 mil WW. Almodovar's biggest hit.

Thank you, just corrected it. I'm double checking others too.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

Wow, wondering could "Parasite" stretch to 40 million?

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

I just made a list of top 20 Highest Grossing Foreign Films that were nominated in any of the Academy Award categories. I put my own estimate for "Parasite" as of this sunday. I checked multiple sources, went year by year, all categories. If I made any mistakes, and someone sees them, please let me know. Hope you like it.

 

• The numbers on this chart refer to Global Box Office (theatrical runs only).
• Film titles in Italics have not been nominated for Best Foreign Language Film, but in other categories (Animated Feature, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Directing, etc.)

1. “Spirited Away” (2001) - Japan - 347,800,000 (1 Oscar)
2. “How’s Mowing Castle” (2004) - Japan - 236,200,000 (1 Nomination)
3. “Life Is beautiful” (1998) - Italy - 230,100,000 (3 Oscars)
4. “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon” (2000) - Taiwan - 213,500,000 (4 Oscars)
5. “Parasite” (2019) - South Korea - 205,000,000* (4 Oscars)
6. “Hero” (2002) - China - 177,400,000 (1 Nomination)
7. “Amelie” (2001) - France - 174,200,000 (5 Nominations)
8. “The Wind Rises” (2013) - Japan - 136,500,000 (1 Nomination)
9. “Downfall” (2004) - Germany - 93,600,000 (1 Oscar)
10. “House Of Flying Daggers” (2004) - China - 92,900,000 (1 Nomination)
11. “The Chorus” (2004) - France - 88,400,000 (2 Nominations)
12. "Volver" (2006) - Spain - 87,200,000 (1 Nomination)
13. “La Vie En Rose” (2007) - France - 86,300,000 (2 Oscars)
14. “Das Boot” (1981) - Germany - 84,900,000 (6 Nominations)
15. “Pan’s Labyrinth” (2006) - Mexico - 83,900,000 (3 Oscars)
16. “Curse of the Golden Flower” (2006) - China - 78,600,000 (1 Nomination)
17. “The Lives Of Others” (2006) - Germany - 77,400,000 (1 Oscar)
18. “A Very Long Engagement” (2004) - France - 76,600,000 (2 Nominations)
19. “The Grandmaster” (2013) - China - 73,900,000 (2 Nominations)
20. “Departures” (2008) - Japan - 70,500,000 (1 Oscar)

[No Time To Die | October 8 2021 | 82% on RT | RIP Sean Connery]

It's a good song, guys. Come on now. I was really pissed when they announced her as a singer of the next Bond theme but this is way better than Sam Smith's, and pretty much everything else besides "Skyfall" from last 20 years.

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

Increasing number of theaters doesn't guarantee the same average it had while it was playing on 1060. I would love to see those numbers, but until then I'm staying with my 3-4 million $ 3 day weekend. I want this film to have even more success, but I always think about the factor that it's out on DVD/BluRey as well.

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

10 hours ago, cJS said:

The official worldwide numbers on comScore are $175.4mn. I suppose that's till Sunday. If so, it has crossed $180mn easily. Though let's see if that is updated next Sunday.

 

Edit: Yes that's official update. Expecting $182mn by Thursday globally.

 

Best case scenario, USA $6.5-7mn weekend, Japan could bring $3mn FSS, UK and Europe most likely $3.5mn and Rest of World bringing $3-4mn. $200mn by Sunday is possibility.

6.5-7 million $ weekend in US is out of reach. Anywhere between 3 and 4 million 3 day, and 3.5-4.8 4 day is maximum, and it's still great. I would say 185-190 million $ ww by monday would be realistic.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

What happened to Hustlers?

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

The film is getting expanded to 2,300+ theaters next weekend.

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

I would love for Americans to keep on watching it in theaters, but I have a feeling it’s going to be a short lived Oscar effect. Hoping for top 10 next weekend with 2-3 million and after that 30-40% weekend drops, because the film is already out everywhere. But when it’s all said and done in the States, 44-45 million $ should be realistic.

 

So, with Japan still going strong and hopefully UK, now that I put the numbers together, 200 million globally shouldn’t be that hard to achieve. 

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

I would like to think that 50 million in US is locked, but remember, film is already out on DVD/BluRey and all digital platforms. I can see it grossing 2-3 million next weekend, depending on expansion and then dropping slowly. My predicted US total is around 44 million $. WW... Hmmm... Japan seems to be helping a lot, and UK - I have no idea how will it play there. It shouldn’t gross under 185-190 million $ internationally. 

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

FEBRUARY 14-17:

 

1. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 47.2 / 56.9

2. "Birds Of Prey" - 17.1 / 62.1

3. "The Photograph" - 14.8 / 17.7

3. "Fantasy Island" - 10.4 / 12.2

5. "Bad Boys 3" - 9.6 / 181.4

6. "1917" - 7.4 / 145.2

7. "Jumanji 2" - 4.9 / 306.1

8. "Dolittle" - 4.0 / 70.1

9. "Parasite" - 3.6 / 41.9

10. "The Gentlemen" - 3.0 / 32.1

11. "Downhill" - 2.4 / 2.9

12. "Little Women" - 1.9 / 106.0

 

 

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

5 hours ago, Impact said:

Yeah looks like one spoke too soon, I almost said under its opening weekend.

I'm never responding to similar posts again, I think this is like 3rd film I jinxed by being "sure" 😛

[Best Picture Winner Parasite l October 11, 2019 (limited) l Neon l Palme d'Or winner from Bong Joon-ho]

Hopefully film will enter top 10 on Box Office next weekend!

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

Total definitely over "Joker's" opening. I don't think it will blow us away but 120-140 million total is realistic.

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

My final projections. I hate when I'm off, like with "The Parasite".

 

FEBRUARY 7-9:

 

1. "Birds Of Prey" - 46.6

2. "Bad Boys For Life" - 9.4 / 164.1

3. "1917" - 6.8 / 129.9

4. "Dolittle" - 4.7 / 61.6

5. "Jumanji 2" - 4.2 / 297.0

6. "The Gentlemen" - 3.4 / 25.9

7. "Gretel & Hensel" - 2.8 / 11.0

8. "Little Women" - 2.2 / 102.2

9. "Knives Out" - 1.9 / 158.4

10. "Star Wars 9" - 1.8 / 510.1

11. "Parasite" - 1.7 / 35.6

12. "Jojo Rabbit" - 1.2 / 29.9

 

Spoiler

 

FEBRUARY 14-17:

 

1. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 40.9 / 47.2

2. "Birds Of Prey" - 23.9 / 95.2

3. "Fantasy Island" - 13.8 / 16.1

4. "The Photograph" - 12.2 / 14.1

5. "1917" - 4.6 / 139.3

6. "Dolittle" - 2.6 / 66.2

7. "Jumanji 2" - 2.5 / 301.6

8. "The Gentlemen" - 2.1 / 29.8

9. "Little Women" - 1.7 / 105.5

10. "Gretel & Hensel" - 1.5 / 14.0

11. "Knives Out" - 1.4 / 160.9

12. "Parasite" - 1.3 / 38.1

 

 

[Halloween Kills | October 15, 2021 | Uni/Blumhouse | Releases day-and-date in theaters and Peacock | 35% on RT]

Thank you for respecting Universal/Blumhouse, but also giving us some insight.

 

My question would just be - did Jamie Lee deliver a great role once again or is her timing less in this one? 

[Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby]

FEBRUARY 7-9:

 

1. "Birds Of Prey" - 58.8

2. "Bad Boys For Life" - 10.1 / 163.4

3. "1917" - 7.7 / 130.2

4. "Dolittle" - 4.9 / 63.2

5. "Jumanji 2" - 4.2 / 297.5

6. "The Gentlemen" - 3.4 / 26.0

7. "Gretel & Hensel" - 2.6 / 10.4

8. "Little Women" - 2.2 / 102.1

9. "Knives Out" - 2.1 / 158.9

10. "Parasite" - 1.9 / 36.3

11. "Star Wars 9" - 1.8 / 510.0

12. "Just Mercy" - 1.4 / 33.4

 

Spoiler

 

FEBRUARY 14-17:

 

1. "Sonic the Hedgehog" - 40.9 / 47.2

2. "Birds Of Prey" - 26.5 / 105.1

3. "Fantasy Island" - 13.8 / 16.1

4. "The Photograph" - 12.2 / 14.1

5. "1917" - 5.4 / 141.3

6. "Jumanji 2" - 2.9 / 302.3

7. "Dolittle" - 2.7 / 67.8

8. "The Gentlemen" - 2.0 / 29.6

9. "Little Women" - 1.9 / 105.3

10. "Knives Out" - 1.5 / 161.8

11. "Parasite" - 1.2 / 39.0

12. "Gretel & Hensel" - 1.2 / 12.6

 

 

[Halloween Kills | October 15, 2021 | Uni/Blumhouse | Releases day-and-date in theaters and Peacock | 35% on RT]

I am going to say that this one will open with 40-50 million $, depending on reviews and the promo.

[Weekend Thread - Odin Jr Sat #s - Bad Boys 10, 1917 5.4, Dolittle 4.2, Jumanji 3.2, Gretel 2.5, Rhythm 1.05]

I knew Rhythm Section is going to bomb but not as hard as this...

[Weekend Thread - Odin Jr Sat #s - Bad Boys 10, 1917 5.4, Dolittle 4.2, Jumanji 3.2, Gretel 2.5, Rhythm 1.05]

I think that Parasite should make anywhere between 1.5-2 million $ this weekend.

[Weekend Thread - Odin Jr Sat #s - Bad Boys 10, 1917 5.4, Dolittle 4.2, Jumanji 3.2, Gretel 2.5, Rhythm 1.05]

I think 46 million opening for Mulan is a bit low.