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maxalcamo

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Posts posted by maxalcamo

  1. I'm expecting huge numbers here in Italy, tonight i will go in my  multiplex and it's almost sold out for 3 shows (more than 300 seats).

    Americans are underestimating  the WW numbers of this so much only because old stuff like dumbo and mary poppins didn't make 5 times their budget (and because it doesn't look white and neither black). This a remake of a 90's classic (not boring old movies like DUMBo) loved in all the world. And there is a fuck..ng disney princess in it. 

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  2. Amazing first reactions from the Cannes premiere. 

     

     indie Wire

     

    Dexter Fletcher’s sexy dramatic and poignant Rocketman is an ambitious full-on bio musical with 20 songs—This Is Your Song got applause— sung by star Taron Egerton in a breakout performance. Watch for it to follow boffo global box office with a run on a roadway!
     
     
    “Rocketman” is fantastic, a musical drama that hits all the right notes, especially the sad ones. #Cannes19

     

    Hot damn, Taron Egerton is the real deal. #Rocketman is a musical about picking yourself up off your ass and Taron delivers the sweat, grit and vulnerability it needs.
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  3. So much negativity around this movie, or at least around the box office numbers.

    It will make great numbers everywhere.  In this forum It's like if something doesn't make 8x times its budget is a flop. Boooring. Cinderella has been on air in my country on national tv in prime time every year since 2015. Disney makes money for decades with those movies. 

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  4. 3 minutes ago, AJG said:

     

    “Yeah, the Avengers could never be as popular as the Xmen. It’s just impossible”.

    - most people in 2010

     

    Digimon has the potential to be gigantic. Some people here are thinking too small.

    Both have potential but Pokemon is Star Wars, Digimon is star trek. If even star wars will do 400M on a 150M budget who will produce a star trek movie?. 

  5. 19 minutes ago, Avatree said:

    i think you misunderstood my snarky comment, I just saying that comparing a film thats a 22nd sequel in franchise is nothing like an original film that reaches #1.

     

    and obviously ava2 is going $2B. i already said some time ago i'll delete my account if avatar 2 goes under 2 billies.

    infinity war it's not a 22nd sequel

     

    anyway avenger 1 did 1.5 B and avangers 2 1.4B

    just 100 M less after 3 years, that's because the first one did 86M in china and the second 3 years after 240M 😂

    So comparing the market today with the 80's movies market, a very  static WW market has no much sense for me. 

  6. 1 hour ago, Avatree said:

    biggest film ever -> sequel to biggest film ever

     

    seems like a quite reasonable comparison. 

    a sequel 3 years after, the market was quite similar, now the world is changing with some markets there are becaming bigger than the american market. From 2009 to now the world is so different. Avengers was one of the biggest film ever and well...infinity war (the third chapter of the saga) was a looooot bigger. And endgame will be probably again....bigger. 

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  7. 7 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said:

    I think unfortunately those of you expecting an increase here are being naive. This is going to be huge, but 1.5bn huge, not biggest of all time huge. 

    Exchange Rates are weaker than they were in 2009, people are less likely to go back to a sequel like they did for the original, and the discovery factor will be lower. 

    In no way will this movie fail, but it is never going to live up to the numbers you guys are suggesting. Star Wars genuinely gives you the blueprint for how this is going to behave. 

    In the christmas season  aquaman did 1.2B dollars.

    Avatar 2 in the worst scenario will do 1 B dollars only between Us and China. Do you really think during christmas holiday it will do only 500M Os (- China) when aquaman did Os (- China) 514 m dollars?. No way  😝

     

     

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  8. 11 years after the first movie Avatar 2 will be nothing less then the movie everyone want to see in the christmas holidays. The fact there are already 3 more sequels year by year it's something will move even more the audience now people are obsessed with movie universes and serialized movie chapters. 

    Things like "some people were disappointed by Avatar" would be true maybe with a sequel 3 years after, 

     

     

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  9. Ready player one has a similar first weekend (one day more but not previews) and

    first monday 5.2 M

    tuesday 5.4

    wednesday 4M

    thursday 3.5 M

     

    second weekend

     

    24.6 M (similar prediction for Shazam)

     

    Ready player one total was 137.7. I think shazam can do a little better from the third weekend but with weakest weekdays it will do a similar total and not more than 145-150 M. 

     

  10. 1 hour ago, Elessar said:

    DOM and China around $500m both, OS (-China) around $1b.

    my conservative prediction 

    600 dom

    500 china 

    1.2 B OS (- china)

     

    2.3 B total

     

    Are we really talking like in december 2020 Avatar 2 won't be the movie everyone want to see it like Star Wars episode 7 or Endgame?  With the difference outside the Us Cameronn has an appeal not only for people under 50. 

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  11. I don't know nothing about comics or super hero movies, I'm italian and they are not part of the so called pop culture here. As someone who just watch trailers Acquaman seems like a big kolossal movie, Shazam really seems a basic super hero movie, there is no "wow effect", no "gosh this movie is all under the sea, cool", even Ant Man has is "wow effect". He seems a basilar version of a super hero so  i can understand why it doesn't get so much hype outside the Us. This is what it seems to an ignorant people like me, something like kick-ass. 

     

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  12. For what i heard people went to see BR also 3-4 times. A lot of my friends (I live in a little city with only 1 screen) want to see it again. If fox can keep the movie in at least 200-250 theaters untill the end of january and with some redistibution (it has the biggest average after a month, they can!) it has chances to overtake Star Wars 7.

  13. Just saw the list of  biggest "MOVIES THAT NEVER HIT #1 and all the christmas musicals of this decade are in the top 100 plus Chicago (christmas 2002). So the long run more than a trend is like a rule.

     

    14  The  Greatest Showman

    16 Chicago

    29 La La Land

    33 Les Miserables (2012)

    64 Into the Woods

     

     

    and there are a lot of  musical-music dramas  so the genre itself seems made for a "low start" and a long run

     

     

    7 A Star is Born (2018)

    40 Mamma Mia!

    45 Sister Act

    78 The Bodyguard

    80 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

    83 Walk the Line 

    84 Hairspray (2007)

    127 Dreamgirls

     

     

     

     

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