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Old Spice

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  1. Old Spice
    Lion King report for Salt Lake City. Cinemark Sugarhouse Luxury 10, 14 showings, 1 3D. 4:40 PM Local time. 6:00 PM 97/107 6:30 PM 56/62 7:00 PM 50/62 7:15 PM 0/47 7:30 PM 41/48 8:00 PM 56/63 8:50 PM 27/104 (3D) 9:20 PM 44/62 9:50 PM 37/62 10:05 PM 0/46 10:30 PM 23/48 10:50 PM 26/62 11:15 PM 0/47 11:40 PM 29/104 Total 486/922 52.7% 261% of Det Pika = $142.4 189% of Aladdin = $173.7 481% of SLOP = $224.6 Lion King is on fire in SLC. Wish I had kept CM and EG comps because nothing else I've tracked in 2019 even comes close. What a historic year Disney is having.
  2. Old Spice
    Wednesday Spidey Update, Salt Lake City, Sugarhouse Cinemark. 4:55 PM 53/62 6:00 PM 39/62 7:00 PM 88/107 9:10 PM 46/62 10:10 PM 39/106 11:10 PM 3/62 Total 268/461 =58.1% Yesterday at this time FFH had sold 353 tix for the late afternoon/evening shows; today it's 268, so a drop of only 24%. Seems like a strong hold to me.
  3. Old Spice
    Spidey killin' it in Salt Lake. Sugarhouse Luxury Cinemark, 17 showtimes. Late afternoon/evening shows are basically sold out, with the later shows between 50-75% sold. Total 353/434 81%. I wasn't tracking EG or CM, so I don't have any comparisons for them, but this is definitely bigger locally than anything else that has come out so far in 2019.
  4. Old Spice
    Dark days with no Akvalley (how is it that we can track real-time sales in China, for Christsakes, but not in the U.S.?! 😡) but here's what's going on in Salt Lake City at the Cinemark Sugarhouse with the two newbies and it's a bit of a surprise. Annabelle 5:20 PM 4/62 8:00 PM 31/62 9:40 PM 2/44 10:40 PM 0/62 Total 37/230 = 16.1% Yesterday 4:20 PM 48/62 7:10 PM 52/62 10:00 PM 28/62 10:45 PM 0/48 Total 128/234 = 53.7% Even with Annabelle having burned off some of it's demand the previous two days, it's still shocking that it's getting trounced this badly by Yesterday. Maybe the late shows will save it, but right now I'd put my money on Yesterday finishing ahead of it FSS, especially since YD's word of mouth seems so much stronger.
  5. Old Spice
    I originally had no plans to see this movie, feeling as I did that the series ended perfectly with TS3. Then I saw the reviews and decided to give it a chance. And I'm so glad that I did because its freaking amazing. Next level animation, hilarious (sometimes in a weirdly dark way), and builds to such an emotional crescendo that I was teary-eyed at the end. 4.5 Woodys out of 5 for me.
  6. Old Spice
    I think it's a great premise, and when I saw that first trailer I was beyond excited, so it's been a disappointment to see so many reviews talk about the veer into limp rom-com territory in the film's second half. Still, I like Curtis's work, and I love The Beatles (still remember the thrill of watching them as a kid when they made their American debut on the Ed Sullivan show. My whole family was gathered around a black and white Philco tv set not much bigger than an I-Pad, and even my perennially square dad registered his approval afterwards 😂) so I will probably enjoy it, but I am definitely going in with lowered expectations.
  7. Old Spice
    I actually agree with both of you. April turned out to be an impossible month for any cbm trying to compete with the one-two punch of CM and EG. There are only so many $$ to go around and Shazam would have been much better served as a holiday release anyway with its Christmas themes. But the marketing also came up short. The second trailer should have come sooner, and then the final push, tv and print, should have focused on all the critical acclaim the film was getting. Those giant posters in NYC filled with white space could have been much more effectively used had they been plastered with quotes from critics. Hopefully a whole new audience will see it on streaming and HV, and if so, the sequel could really pop, but yeah, Shazam was a missed opportunity.
  8. Old Spice
    Salt Lake City report for X-Men and SLOP, 4:15 local time. Dark Phoenix 7:00 37/62 7:30 26/62 9:55 (3D) 12/62 10:25 5/62 Total 80/248 32.3% 79.2% of Godzilla = 37.8 70.2% of John Wick = 40.2 (JW tally was taken two hours earlier) DP IMAX Jordan Commons Fan Event 49/426 The District 38/530 Legacy Crossing Fan Event 32/616 Total 123/1572 7.8% 28.5% of Godzilla = 13.6 😩 SLOP 99/408 24.3% 53.2% of Pika = 28.99 98% of Godzilla = 46.9 38.6% of Aladdin = 35.4 Yikes. The regular DP figures are bad enough, but man, those IMAX counts... just brutal. Of course it won't open in the teens, but the total disinterest by the base is alarming. Unless WOM surprises, I would peg this in the mid to high 30's, tops. As for SLOP, I still think walkups Sat and Sunday will push this past Godzilla into the high 40's-low 50's when all is said and done. Aladdin and Rocketman (which is getting insane WOM out here) look to rule the weekend among holdovers, as Godzilla has already lost most of its PLFs.
  9. Old Spice
    That is mind boggling.
  10. Old Spice
    My God, those Dark Phoenix numbers are beyond dismal. The buzz around the movie is so bad I wonder if even just middling reviews (45-55%) might give it a bump. Good reviews would be an earthquake.
  11. Old Spice
    Just to flesh out my Salt Lake report a little more, I checked out the three IMAX screens in the suburbs of SLC to see if perhaps a disproportionate amount of sales were going to the large screens for preview night and this is what I got, all about 90 minutes before showtime: Jordan Commons 191/426 The District 128/530 Legacy Crossing 113/616 Total 432/1572 27.5% (compared to 24.8% in my previous report.) So a little better, but not much. To Minnale's point about the NBA finals though, Salt Lake is a rabid pro basketball town and that could be having a dampening effect, at least at the margins. The sports bars will all be doing bang up biz tonight.
  12. Old Spice
    Godzilla and Elton preview night report from Salt Lake City. One hour before first 'Zilla screening, 4 hours before Rocket. KOTM: 4:00 PM 32/104 7:10 55/104 7:50 5/48 10:15 (3D) 8/104 10:55 1/48 Total 101/408 24.8% 54% of Pika = 29.4 91% of John Wick = 51.7 40% of Aladdin = 36.6 Rocketman 7:00 PM 42/62 7:00 (just added moments ago) 0/47 10:00 12/62 Total 54/171 31.6% Really surprised at how weak Godzilla looks. Rocketman is making the most of its limited screens. Two weeks ago I would have thought 40s for Godzilla would be crazy talk, but then I also thought the RT score would be similar to Skull Island, so... 😣
  13. Old Spice
    Aladdin preview night report for Salt Lake City. Cinemark Sugarhouse Luxury 10, eight showings, all 2D. Posted 15 minutes before first showtime. 6:00 PM 88/104 6:30 28/47 7:00 50/62 7:50 29/48 9:05 49/104 9:40 0/47 10:05 6/62 10:55 6/48 Total 256/522 49% 138% of Pika at the same time = 75.2 OW Utahans love their Disney, so it's no surprise that Aladdin is over-indexing out here. The only comp I have is Pika and that leads to 75.2 without even accounting for the expected much stronger Sunday hold. Assuming at least decent WOM, I can't see how this opens below 70M 3-day.
  14. Old Spice
    I thought BR was just alright (music A+, drama C-), but it definitely struck a chord with a lot of folks, including huge numbers of people who weren't even alive when the band was at their peak. I don't think Rocketman is going to cut nearly as wide a swath, unless it gets A Star is Born level reviews and becomes something like an event. And even then, I think it would still be sub 500M WW. But right now, I'm not hearing anyone under 30 talking about the film AT ALL. Rocket 125M dom, 225-250M OS, 350-375M total. The King 150-175M dom, 400M OS, 550-575M total. (But I wouldn't be surprised to see it hit 650M+ if it really is the crowd pleaser that people are saying.)
  15. Old Spice
    Salt Lake City update for John Wick, Cinemark Sugarhouse 10, 3:20 EST. Thursday 7:00 PM 57/104 7:40 30/47 10:05 13/104 10:45 11/47 Total 111/302 36.7% Friday Seven showings, 124/610, 20.3%. Two prime evening slots are a combined 45%, all the other screenings are generally between 10-20% Salt Lake Trib gives it 3/4 stars. Unless this is super walkup-heavy, I see it having an opening comparable to Pokemon, maybe a little below, although the PLF screens might ultimately give it the edge.
  16. Old Spice
    Pika preview night update, Salt Lake City, Cinemark Sugarhouse 10, 3:45 PM local. Ten screenings, all 2d. 186/561 33.1% Afternoon/evening screenings are all between 50-65%, shows after 9:30 are dead. Salt Lake Trib gave it 3/4 stars, the other main paper in town, The Deseret News, hasn't weighed in yet. Seems pretty solid, if not spectacular. I'll go with an OW of $63-68.
  17. Old Spice
    Same. Over the past 24 hours, my theater has gone from 16% capacity for the 4PM to 47% currently. The evening screenings are at 66%, 17% and 8% (the latter two were just added.)
  18. Old Spice
    Andrew, it's not all the theaters in the Salt Lake urban area that I track, just one theater on the east side of the valley, a Cinemark luxury not far from the U of Utah. It's pretty representative, though. Unfortunately, I haven't been tracking for very long, so I don't have any comps, but I will start keeping a record for future comparisons. I would guesstimate it's at least 15-20% ahead of Shazam! at the same point in time.
  19. Old Spice
    Pika has exploded in Salt Lake since last Friday's report. Showtimes for Thursday and Friday have more than doubled; from 9 to 21, and the total amount of tickets sold has increased by 66%, from 145 to 240. The new showings were just added today, I believe, so virtually all the increase comes from the previous showings. EG still has a larger screen count for Thursday and Friday, 26 to 21, but the gap has significantly narrowed in the past 24 hours.
  20. Old Spice
    Godzilla tix up for sale at Cinemark Salt Lake City!
  21. Old Spice
    Pika Salt Lake update, 7:30 PM EST. Cinemark Sugarhouse luxury, all shows 2D. Thursday May 9th 4:00 PM 9/62 6:40 PM 23/62 (up from 14 three days ago) 9:20 PM 10/62 Total 42/186 22.6% Friday May 10th 9:00 AM 2/104 11:35 6/104 2:10 14/104 4:45 17/104 7:20 60/104 (up from 46 three days ago) 10:00 4/104 Total 103/624 16.5% Slow but steady she goes. Those mid-evening shows both nights will undoubtedly get additional screens, but every movie here is still operating in the shadow of the Deathstar known as EG. I know multiple people who have already seen it two or more times with plans to go back for more. (I'll be going back for a second viewing this weekend as well.)
  22. Old Spice
    8:00 PM EST Pika update for Sugarhouse Cinemark 10 Luxury Theater in Salt Lake City. All screenings 2d. Thursday May 9th 4:00 PM 7/62 6:40 PM 14/62 9:20 PM 2/62 Total 23/186 12.3% Fri May 10th 9:00 AM 0/104 11:35 AM 0/104 2:10 PM 10/104 4:45 PM 17/104 7:20 PM 46/104 10:00 PM 4/104 Total 77/624 12.3% Overall totals aren't hugely impressive but there has definitely been an uptick over the past 24 hours. I could see some additional showings being added for the prime evening slots both nights. Will update again on Friday.
  23. Old Spice
    Bellweather Cinemark I follow in Salt Lake has two Aladdin showtimes up for Thursday and 5 (1 3d, 4 regular) for Friday. The preview night 6:00 PM has 2/104 sold currently, all the other showtimes have yet to sell any tickets.
  24. Old Spice
    A quick look at the math shows that China and S. Korea accounted for over a third of the OW international total, and the weekend to weekend drops there were indeed dreadful at 85% (!) and 75%, respectively. But their % of the intl pie is now much smaller, so going forward it will be more about Latin America, Australia, and Europe where it's holding up better.
  25. Old Spice
    Or if Suicide Squad is really shooting from Sept-Feb, I could see them moving that from it's August slot to a spring of '21 date, opening up August for Black Adam, New Gods, Supergirl, or maybe even the urban legend known as The Flash Movie.
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