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Doctor Stark

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Everything posted by Doctor Stark

  1. I am dying on this hill. I agree it is not likely to beat Avatar, but I am on the beat Avatar train until it is out of theaters. So many things like a Disney boost that can get it over, not like it’s $100 million away. I guess I just like to be optimistic like ZattMurdock.
  2. Pretty doable. What if it somehow made the projected $11.2 million? That would be quite the twist, if very unlikely.
  3. The arguments are not strong at all, and some of the math is very fishy, like someone just quickly googled the data and came to quick conclusions. The only way Endgame fell short of expectation sort of is when they were raised greatly by the opening weekend and spillover weekdays. We thought with an A+ CinemaScore it would follow normal trends, so we predicted higher numbers. However, Endgame is uncharted territory and really has no comparisons, so it bucking those trends is not shocking and can hardly be viewed as a disappointment. Honestly, looking at raw money made after opening weekend you can see the A+ CinemaScore in effect, it did not crash. What Endgame did not match was the mutiplier/percentage usually made after opening weekend by A+ films. Being a bit underwhelmed by the drops makes sense, but saying it feel short of overall expectations is ridiculous. Like I said, it will only fall short of the absolutely wild and hyped filled post-opening weekend predicitons (I will admit I got caught up in this too, but it was reasonable at the time based on the data we had). Everything else, such as pre-release expectations, it absolutely demolished. Tell someone these numbers a month ago and you were called a delusional fanboy. Seeing anyone trying to spin this as bad is a joke. The Cameron stans bragging that if it does beat Avatar it will not be by much are being ridiculous. A month ago they were saying that Avatar was impossible and that even Titanic was not super likely. But clearly not meeting the most wild predictions is falling below expectations, makes sense.
  4. Do you think $700 million (obviously on the high end) is possible due to these recent overpeformances?
  5. Yeah, very slightly annoying, but I’d rather keep the 7 tradition alive than get EXACTLY $100 million over IW (especially because it looks so good written out). To do that, it would need to make like 357.9, very narrow window. Crazy that other than Age of Ultron, these movies all make multiples of 50 that end in 7 in their opening weekends.
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