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Inceptionzq

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Everything posted by Inceptionzq

  1. Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 137/217(+19) 10:15 PM – 13/217 2D: 7 PM – 19/158(+5) 7:30 PM – 13/56(+4) 10:45 PM – 0/56 11:15 PM – 2/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 7 PM – 79/159(+9) 7:30 PM – 3/52(+1) 10:15 PM – 5/159(+2) Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 544(+90)/4923 (11.1%) TLK comp: 3.4M OUATIH comp: 5.66M The Sunday to Monday increase in tickets sold is about the same as TLK in terms of percentage. But it’s not very encouraging that it is falling behind OUATIH.
  2. Considering over a fourth of the sales are Dolby right now, I should be adjusting the OUATIH comp up. Not sure by how much though, maybe up to somewhere around 7M?
  3. Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 118/217(+18) 10:15 PM – 13/217 2D: 7 PM – 14/158(+3) 7:30 PM – 9/56 10:45 PM – 0/56 11:15 PM – 2/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 7 PM – 70/159(+9) 7:30 PM – 2/52(+1) 10:15 PM – 3/159 Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 454(+59)/4923 (9.2%) TLK comp: 3.13M I don’t have an exact comp for OUATIH because I never posted or saved Sunday numbers, but I do remember that it sold around 120 tickets on Monday. So, I’ll make a rough comp from that. OUATIH comp: 6.03M
  4. TRoS has 12 days in 2019, I could see it doing around 1B(assuming around 1.5B overall). Frozen 2 has a bit of a staggered release. Christmas time for Australia, Sweden, Norway. 2020 for Argentina, Brazil, and China. Maybe even more countries in 2020. Frozen 2 will definitely make hundreds of millions in 2020. I don’t think it’ll be enough though.
  5. Wait, I think that Disney record is only money earned in 2019. So, that’s money off the table from Frozen 2 and TRoS. But I think it includes Fox movies too... hmm maybe 12B is still possible...
  6. Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 100/217(+8) 10:15 PM – 13/217 2D: 7 PM – 11/158 7:30 PM – 9/56 10:45 PM – 0/56 11:15 PM – 2/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 7 PM – 61/159(+6) 7:30 PM – 1/52 10:15 PM – 3/159 Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 395(+50)/4923 (8%) TLK comp: 2.96M Just to note, TLK comp went down because I had added two more theaters for it. Otherwise, it would have gone up.
  7. 1. The Rise of Skywalker 2. IT: Chapter 2 3. Ad Astra 4. Frozen 2 5. Knives Out 6. Tenet 7. Wonder Woman 1984 8. Godzilla vs Kong 9. Black Widow 10. Doctor Sleep
  8. Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 92/217(+52) 10:15 PM – 13/217(+11) 2D: 7 PM – 11/158(+11) 7:30 PM – 9/56(+7) 10:45 PM – 0/56 11:15 PM – 2/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 7 PM – 55/159(+34) 7:30 PM – 1/52(+1) 10:15 PM – 3/159(+1) Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 345(+182)/4923(+680) (7%) These jumps are from the course of 10 days, so don’t get too excited. TLK comp: 3.52M OUATIH comp: 6.08M It’s barely above OUATIH in tickets sold right now, so that’ll be interesting to see. Unfortunately, I don’t have comps for Saturday or Sunday.
  9. Wow, even with the way presales exploded across the board, I did not expect it to get close to 6M. Hopefully the IM is good too
  10. No. Hopefully the amount of children tickets that were sold evens out the playing field.
  11. OUATIH Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: 2D: 4 PM – 83/158(+32) 4:30 PM – 39/94(+15) 7:45 PM – 128/158(+10) 8:15 PM – 71/94(+16) 11:20 PM – 21/158(+10) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 4 PM – 68/159(+46) 5 PM – 67/159(+29) 6:15 PM – 57/85(+8) 7:45 PM – 111/159(+33) 8:45 PM – 76/159(+40) 9:45 PM – 29/85(+13) Total from 8 theaters (35 showings): 1695(+765)/4090 (41.4%) Quite the jump, almost half of all tickets were sold in the past 24 hours. TLK comp now suggests 5.14M. Seems to be within range of what everyone else is saying with their comps. So, what the heck, maybe TLK was somehow a good comp. Let’s go with that.
  12. OUATIH Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: 2D: 4 PM – 51/158(+9) 4:30 PM – 24/94(+2) 7:45 PM – 118/158(+12) 8:15 PM – 55/94(+7) 11:20 PM – 11/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 4 PM – 22/159(+8) 5 PM – 38/159(+5) 6:15 PM – 49/85(+8) 7:45 PM – 78/159(+33) 8:45 PM – 36/159(+17) 9:45 PM – 16/85 Total from 8 theaters (35 showings): 930(+219)/4090(+45) (22.7%) TLK comp jumps up to 4.2M.
  13. I would say pretty likely, and with 4M it could get 44M+. This isn’t a film that people will rush out to see, except for QT fans maybe. And if audiences generally agree with what critics say, then FSS should look good. I’ve been looking at Rocketman as a comparison, though it’s not the perfect one. Heck, maybe this just won’t be a good comparison. Nevertheless, Rocketman’s previews started at 7, and OUATIH’s is starting at 4. If we include the Fandango preview numbers from 2 weeks prior to release, Rocketman scored 2.3M with an IM of 11.2. So, around 11x is what I’ve been thinking for the IM.
  14. Also, I did do the Alamo Drafthouse showings numbers. Total from 3 theaters (15 showings): 719/2136 (33.7%)
  15. OUATIH Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: 2D: 4 PM – 42/158(+6) 4:30 PM – 22/94(+7) 7:45 PM – 106/158(+12) 8:15 PM – 48/94(+11) 11:20 PM – 11/158(+1) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 4 PM – 14/159 5 PM – 33/159(+6) 6:15 PM – 41/85(+8) 7:45 PM – 45/159(+15) 8:45 PM – 19/159(+3) 9:45 PM – 16/85(+4) Total from 8 theaters (34 showings): 711(+154)/4045(+300) (17.8%) I don’t know what it did yesterday, but I think it was an increase. It did over two-thirds of what it did over those three days that I posted yesterday. I’m pretty sure that’s good. I forgot to mention that yesterday TLK comp pointed towards a 3.4M Thursday Night. Today it is 3.75M. Unsurprisingly, that leads me to believe it isn’t a good comp. So, don’t take it seriously.
  16. Wouldn’t less IMAX 3D mean more IMAX 2D? IMAX 2D is only $1 less. So I doubt there’s a noticeable effect.
  17. I probably could include it with bigger movies. I just think that it’s skewed more towards niche audiences with movies like this. I’ll keep an eye on it though, maybe do some numbers separate from the theaters I’m currently tracking.
  18. Alamo Drafthouse theaters are selling very well for OUATIH. They seem to target a more niche audience with their experience. There are a few near sellouts. One of them even is showing it with 35MM film, and all those showings are selling very well. Now, I’m not gonna track these theaters because they would most likely skew the numbers away from the GA. I just thought it was pretty cool.
  19. OUATIH Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro AMC Westminster Promenade 24: 2D: 4 PM – 36/158(+10) 4:30 PM – 15/94(+15) 7:45 PM – 94/158(+31) 8:15 PM – 37/94(+29) 11:20 PM – 10/158 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 2D: 4 PM – 14/159(+5) 5 PM – 27/159(+2) 6:15 PM – 33/85(+20) 7:45 PM – 30/159(+12) 8:45 PM – 16/159(+5) 9:45 PM – 12/85(+9) Total from 8 theaters (29 showings): 557(+228)/3745 (14.9%) Over the course of 3 days, this actually seems pretty good.
  20. They don’t lose anything though.... BOM still gets the reported total WW gross. So the numbers aren’t off by 20-30M. As for Avatar, these numbers were reported by Fox. They just never updated them. http://dwc.cnbc.com/B310K/?fs=1&utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app (Credit to Charlie for this link on Reddit)
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