Inceptionzq

Maleficent and Charlie’s Angels are now officially on sale. I guess Joker is gonna start next week? Only 2-2.5 weeks of presales. Should be fun to track

1. The Rise of Skywalker 2. Knives Out 3. Ad Astra 4. Joker 5. Tenet 6. Wonder Woman 1984 7. Black Widow 8. Frozen 2 9. Jumanji: The Next Level 10: Jojo Rabbit

Look at page 1565, they go on sale tomorrow

I’ve been thinking about the same as Good Boys, which had a 10.2x multiplier.

Showtimes for Charlie’s Angels are popping up here in Denver. Looks like a 4:30 start time for previews.

Hustlers Thursday Night Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 10:30 PM – 26/217(+24) 2D: 7 PM – 68/92(+9) 8 PM – 22/36(+18) 10 PM – 21/92(+4) 10:45 PM – 4/36(+4) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 7 PM – 24/37(+10) 9:15 PM – 10/41(+8) Total from 9 theaters(26 showings): 845(+513)/2662(+191) (31.7%) Adjusted OUATiH comp: 2.62M Adjusted Good Boys comp: 2.24M Hobbs comp: 2.39M Lion King comp: 2.56M IT 2 comp: 2.28M As typical of Denver, it exploded on the last day. I think it’ll come up on the higher end of this range, maybe even surpassing it. I did a last minute sweep of the 7PM showings after my initial count, and some of those showings sold a good amount in probably just 15-20 minutes. Looking at Eric’s numbers, I wonder if this will play better on the East Coast. So, I’ll go a little bold here, at least for my numbers, and go with 2.85M

Downtown Abbey Thursday Night(12th) Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 139/217(+8) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 145/210(+14) Total from 9 theaters(13 showings): 809(+133)/1753(+201)(43.6%) Adjusted OUATiH comp: 2.43M Hobbs comp: 2.29M Adjusted Good Boys comp: 2.07M I don’t think it’ll actually get this much. The theater count is probably a decent chunk lower than these comps, and the number of showings is small. Nonetheless, this is looking pretty good. It should make a good amount. Not really sure how much though, advanced screenings is not something I’ve predicted before.

Hustlers Thursday Night Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: NEW 10:30 PM – 2/217(+2) 2D: 7 PM – 59/92(+3) NEW 8 PM – 4/36(+4) 10 PM – 17/92(+4) NEW 10:45 PM – 0/36 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: 7 PM – 14/37(+8) 9:15 PM – 2/41(+2) Total from 9 theaters(23 showings): 332(+95)/2471(+551) (13.4%) Adjusted OUATiH comp: 2.04M Hobbs comp: 2.14M Lion King comp: 1.49M Adjusted IT 2 comp: 1.43M

Downtown Abbey Thursday Night(12th) Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 131/217(+13) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 131/210(+7) Total from 9 theaters(11 showings): 676(+46)/1552(+202)(43.6%)

Hustlers Thursday Night Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: 7 PM – 56/92(+18) 10 PM – 13/92(+9) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: NEW 7 PM – 6/37(+6) NEW 9:15 PM – 0/41 Total from 8 theaters(17 showings): 237(+85)/1920(+136) (12.3%) OUATiH comp: 1.93M Hobbs comp: 2.19M Lion King comp: 1.25M IT 2: 1.3M I don’t really have any good comps for this, so take all of these with a grain of salt. I’d say the OUATiH comp is the best one out of these, but even then, OUATiH’s previews started at 4.

Downtown Abbey Thursday Night(12th) Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 118/217(+12) AMC Highlands Ranch 24: Dolby: 7 PM – 124/210(+8) Total from 9 theaters(9 showings): 630(+14)/1350(-57)(46.7%) A showing was taken off, and it was at 45/57. Kinda weird, but this was the only theater with 2 showings. Maybe they’re only supposed to have one? So, the tickets sold today were actually 59.

Probably just fans frontloading it. But FWIW, it’s also doing really well in Denver. As of yesterday: 616/1407 with 10 showings for Sept 12th 173/1867 with 14 showings for Sept 19th

I’m 99.9% sure this week. I’d be really surprised otherwise. Tomorrow makes sense because of the TIFF showing tonight

I’ve been tracking it. I’ll post numbers and comps on the day of previews

Kids

Yeah Knives Out will probably do better with young adults, but they’ll fight over the older adults. But honestly, there’s enough room for both movies to do very well. So I don’t think competition will really be a problem for either one.

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood is probably the most direct competition

They both start with Jo

92/1784 in 7 theaters yesterday. Don’t have any good comps for it, but I’ll post the count on Thursday with a Good Boys comp

Denver is also looking amazing for the late night showings. The walkups are huge.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-terminator-dark-fate-plus-a-big-joker-update/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app 10/4/2019 Joker $85,000,000 – $105,000,000 $103,000,000 27% $210,000,000 17% Warner Bros.

1. The Rise of Skywalker 2. Ad Astra 3. Joker 4. Knives Out 5. Tenet 6. Frozen 2 7. Wonder Woman 1984 8. Black Widow 9. Jumanji: The Next Level 10: Godzilla v Kong

Deadline was smarter this time. With Hobbs, they did the early report before showings on the West Coast even started. But we’re well into the showings for IT 2 at this point, so I think they’ll be a lot more accurate

https://deadline.com/2019/09/it-chapter-two-opening-weekend-box-office-birds-of-prey-teaser-1202713529/

IT: Chapter 2 Thursday Night Showings Denver AMC Westminster Promenade 24: IMAX: 7 PM – 108/411(+37) 10:45 PM – 14/411(+10) Prime: 7 PM – 108/187(+33) 10:45 PM – 20/187(+5) Dolby: 7 PM – 159/217(+27) 10:45 PM – 55/217(+22) 2D: 5 PM – 23/56(+6) 5:15 PM – 14/38(+7) 5:30 PM – 9/38(+3) 5:45 PM – 2/48(+2) 6 PM – 21/48(+2) 6:15 PM – 8/44(+5) 6:30 PM – 3/44(+3) 7 PM – 16/158(+8) 7 PM – 4/92 7:15 PM – 14/92(+8) 7:30 PM – 20/94(+10) 8 PM – 21/48(+10) 8:15 PM – 9/48(+6) 8:30 PM – 7/44 8:45 PM – 17/56(+15) 9 PM – 7/38(+2) 9:15 PM – 1/38(+1) 9:30 PM – 0/48 9:45 PM – 0/48 10 PM – 4/44(+4) 10:15 PM – 2/44(+2) 10:30 PM – 9/44(+9) 10:40 PM – 3/94(+3) 10:45 PM – 29/158(+29) 10:45 PM – 0/92 AMC Highlands Ranch 24: IMAX: 7 PM – 46/384(+12) 10:45 PM – 6/384 Dolby: 7 PM – 150/210(+11) 10:45 PM – 65/210(+15) 2D: 5 PM – 37/85(+12) 5:30 PM – 13/52(+6) 6 PM – 14/52(+11) 6:30 PM – 17/52(+2) 7 PM – 67/159(+9) 7:30 PM – 19/85(+15) 7:45 PM – 18/85(+8) 8:45 PM – 24/85(+8) 9:15 PM – 4/52 9:30 PM – 5/45(+5) 9:45 PM – 2/52(+2) 10 PM – 0/40 10:15 PM – 7/52 10:15 PM – 0/39 10:30 PM – 6/159(+5) Total from 9 theaters(127 showings): 3883(+1606)/18051(-183) (21.5%) TLK comp: 11.77M Hobbs comp: 10.97M Adjusted OUATiH comp: 11.73M Again, Denver explodes on the day of previews. It’s really satisfying to see all these comps come to a general agreement. I’m gonna go with the average of these three, 11.5M.