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Shanks

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Everything posted by Shanks

  1. I never added Vietnam to the total as I wasn't sure of ATP. So, what is the ATP then? Will the number of admission increase or decrease? Ok, got the answer. So, It is still above 4.5M admissions. I took 67.5K ATP & 310B VND is that right?
  2. Region Avatar EndGame Australia 9.6 5.72 Europe 89.9 40.8 (IW) USA 97.8 92.3 SK 13.3 13.9 China 27.6 86.61 Japan 10.1 4.01 India 5.8 23.2 Indonesia 2.7 11.1 256.8 277.64 Not a single Latin country was taken. Adding any other country (Latin or Asian) would only widen the GAP between EG and Avatar. As simple as it sounds, Just China and India completely close the gains Avatar has in Europe, Australia or the US over the admission of EndGame. This above is an admission, I have searched from each country's own databases or sources from here BOT. The sources can be clicked on the name of the country. Europe Admission----> The source Lumiere has Normal Ticket sold at 75M & 30M but OBS Ticket sold is 89.9M for Avatar & 40M for Avengers: Infinity War respectively. EG has sold a lot more than that but I took only 40M. @Charlie Jatinder I remember him saying Lumiere calculates it little wrong but whatever. Also, I know Mojo has a similar problem, but I will give Avatar any advantage it wants. I took a higher one, 89.9M for Avatar. USA Admission----> Mojo has the admissions at 97.8M for the USA adjusted for Avatar and 93.2M for EG, but just so that no one complains I wanted to take the highest admission, I could found on the Internet. So, nobody complains. www.ultimatemovierankings.com<--- This site says Avatar has 99.6M admissions but it has Endgame at 98.3m too. INDIA Admission------> Simply ask @Charlie Jatinder China Admission ------> BOT China Record Forum. SK Admission -------> http://www.koreanfilm.or.kr/eng/news/boxOffice_Yearly.jsp?mode=BOXOFFICE_YEAR Japan --------> Checked out records forum in WoKj. Indonesia-----> 11M for Endgame Admission was reported on the news. Also, I checked the top 40 movies for Indonesia and Avatar was not in that list, the movie on 40th had 2.7M admission and I gave it to Avatar. Australia Admission --> In 2009, In a total of 90.7M admission accounted for AU$ 1085m. Average Ticket prices were AU$ 11.99 in 2009 to AU$13.86 in 2018. So, Avatar which had earned AU$115M ----> 9.6M tickets. Now, EG has earned AUD 80M, so with 14 AUD average price this year-----> 5.72M tickets. Few other Countries, Admissions- EDIT: Thailand - EG made 1080M Bahkt, Avg Ticket Price in Thailand is 210 for EG, but let's take 220 Bahkt. that gives 4.9M Tickets. EDIT: Vietnam- EG made around 310B VND, the ATP is around 67.5k VND. So we get around 4.5M tickets. EDIT: Philipines - EG earned 1.5 Billion Pesos, the Average ticket price is 300 pesos i.e 5M tickets.
  3. Ever thought, these things may come back to bite you in the ass in 2021 when Avatar 2 or later when Avatar 3 won't be able to pass the expectations?
  4. I commented on your so 1100% increase in theatre count increase. The increase in theatre count facilitates multiple movies running at the same time. The problem arises: When theatres completely put away other movies and put in a single movie on all screens giving rise to those huge ODs and Weekends. Endgame, with how much hype it had even if there were fewer numbers of screens in China, the earning would have in Local currency almost same. The Very steep drop that came in later weeks would have become normal and then it would translate to great legs. Aladdin is having great legs nowadays because it didn't have hype. Everybody would be able to see it whoever wanted to see it and anyone else who will go due to great WoM before it ends its run. With Hype and the right marketing, Aladdin would have done BaTB numbers above or below. Take the USA for example, If those night premieres and early morning shows would not have been added and they would have left some screen to Shazam, The OW for Endgame would have at most reached 300M. Do you think it would have lost 50M extra that came in OW? No, That 50M would have come in Weekdays or 2nd Weekend & 3rd weekend then and the whole run would have looked much much cooler with higher F-S-S each week.
  5. You don't know what's the real situation of the Chinese market, do you? Have you played any strategy game? What about City Builder or old Caeser Titles or Rome ones? Once upon a time, Town 'A' has 5000 people and only 3000 could afford to watch entertainment. A single theatre was built and it entertained 30 people at once a day, the show "Bla Bla 1' ran for 100 days and a few more with people rewatching it again. So, Town A Mayor got excited and built 10 Theatre within a decade, also increasing each theatres capacity to 40. The Population only rose a little bit to 6000 people, they became rich too, so now 4000 people could afford to watch entertainment. This decade, Another 'Bla Bla 2' movie came. Now the 4000 people that could afford watched the movie filling all 10 theatres, with 400 people watching it in a day, the Movie could only run for 10-15 days with some people going for the 2nd and 3rd show. So, The Mayor blamed 'The movie' and the Era. Poor Theatre chains blamed the people getting lazy and not coming to theatres. And there was another party who kept insisting the Movie 'Bla Bla 1' was superior and would have done 10 times better because 10 more theatres are there now.
  6. 832.7m if 4.8m comes total. 832.6m if 4.7m comes. (Most probable) I took lowest 4.6m for this week ----> so, 832.5m
  7. Endgame having its own endgame. Last week, someone compared EG to finish like Deadpool. How glad I am its going a million above it. Last Week, EG had 7.4m, Deadpool had 7.1m. Though this week, It seems it will finish at 5.8m (~22% drop) vs. 4.7m (33%) Deadpool. If Deadpool's screen count remains same as EG, we can get: Week 9- EG - 3.6 vs 2.8 DP. (38% drop- TLK) Week 10- EG - 2.2 vs. 1.3 DP. Week 11- EG- 1.5 vs 0.9 DP. Week 12 EG - 1m vs. 0.6 DP. Rest - EG- 2m vs. 1.4m DP. So, atleast 11m more after this week taking total Dom to 832.5+ 11~ 842-844m
  8. Well, Fathers Day helping: EG looks like it will touch 3.8m instead of predicted 3.5m if Friday and Sat remain the same as before. Also, 3.8M will make the EG touch 5.5M for this whole week easier, a little above Charlie's predicted 5.30M.
  9. Marvel’s Avengers: A-Day | Official Trailer E3 2019 is Trending at #2 in India. Man, They just need to add Avengers and people will go watch it Here.
  10. EG will never follow Deadpool. Deadpool was in theatres during April and May. The Thursday to Friday Increase for Deadpool every weekend was 90% and above and the Tuesday bumps for Deadpool was always very low. For, EG we are in summer now and EG will only increase 40%-70% every Thurs-Friday but it will also have a 30%-40% bump on Tuesdays. This Week---> I don't see EG going below 7.35m, Deadpool had 7.1m Also Next week, 5-6m is where EG should end-up. Deadpool had 4.7m
  11. Detective Pikachu developing those legs - Which is a bigger factor? The four- five New games announced yesterday or the summer breaks from schools. Kids finally lining up for it.
  12. Where I see it heading, Without rerelease or any bumps from Disney: I have not taken any Spiderman bump either if it happens. Infinity War EG Week Gross Drop % Gross Drop % CUME 1 338.33 473.8 2 147.6 56.37% 186.55 60.63% 660.4 3 80.34 45.57% 80.95 56.61% 741.3 Pikachu 4 DP2 38.83 51.67% 39.93 50.67% 781.2 JW 3 5 Solo 27.304 29.68% 26.35 34.01% 807.6 Aladdin 6 15.398 43.61% 12.01 54.42% 819.6 Godzilla 7 Ocean's 8 11.06 28.17% 6.67 44.46% 826.3 X-Men 8 Incredible2 8.08 26.94% 4.89 26.69% 831.2 MIB 4 9 JW 4.09 49.38% 2.78 43.15% 833.9 TS 4 10 2.84 30.56% 1.68 39.57% 835.6 11 AM & W 1.47 48.24% 1.34 20.24% 837 SM: FFH 12 1.03 29.93% 1 25.37% 838 13 0.722 29.90% 0.7 30.00% 838.7 TLK REST 1.66 1.54 840.2 TOTAL 678.81 840.19
  13. Ok, the Last post to make my point of the rerelease. COCO is owned by DISNEY too. There was no point in what Disney did with AEG. It already had two crowns in Mexico: highest USD, highest LC but they went for admission too. Someone explain this: They released Coco twice to let it reach that height in Mexico and then they themselves... made AEG break it faster by having a week-long discount. I mean why? Money earned today is a lot more beneficial than earned two years later. Endgame will set up fatigue, many people aren't as excited for MCU Phase 4 as they are for Avatar 2. If anything, There are many more MCU movies releasing before Avatar 2, which will decide the Future of MCU itself. Tell me who need the Crown more? Something coming out in 2021 or A whole year of MCU movies which may be a hit or miss. OG Avengers are gone now.
  14. Avatar rerelease made sense to you? It was already a billion ahead. It was highest all time. There was no need for a Special Edition. Edit: maybe for you 10m more USD ain't nothing but ask Brightburn or Booksmart. This weekend, A:EG sold 175k tickets in Mexico passing Coco and Disney made ticket so much cheaper that #7 Endgame has sold more tickets than Rocketman which is #3 on weekend chart.
  15. Mojo has 359m for IW. Here <------- Disney itself has 376m. Let Disney decide that.
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