Liiviig 1998
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Posts posted by Liiviig 1998
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200m OS is officially on the menu for Bb4lyf.
High 300s to 400m WW for BB.
What a run.
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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:
175mn or lower
175m just seems low . There is more awareness for Harley Quinn and basically a free February which I think can get it past 200m OS .
It could have a lower opening OS than Shazam but have better legs OS in the long run .
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18 minutes ago, Firepower said:
I'm not surprised about BoP pre-sales at all. Those 80-100 mln predictions were insane and didn't have any ground beyond wishful thinking of some members. There's barely any buzz about it, trailer views/social media activity numbers were really really bad for a comic book movie, marketing just wasn't good. And critic reviews won't help it much, just like they didn't help Shazam.
80-100m predictions?? Your kidding right? Consensus has been 50-65m.70m at most . Don't use predictions by few fanboys as a form of consensus. Tracking and buzz and tracking has always been low .
Now the question is will BOP be able to overperform ,meet or underperform expectations.
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250-300m +OS.
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Dom.
WW1984 -425m
Soul- 385m
Eternals- 375m
BW- 350m
Mulan- 323m
Tenet -280m
Onward- 250-270m
No time to die- 220m
Raya- 250m
Dune- 220m
TGM- 200m+
In the heights- 200m
Venom- 200m+/-
FF9- 200m+/-
WW
FF9- 1.1b
Mulan- 1.1b
Eternals- 1.05b
WW84-. 925m
NTTD- 900m
BW- 875m
Soul -800m
Venom-750m
Tenet- 700m+
Onward- 700m+
Raya- Moana numbers.
Dune -600m+
TGM- 500m+
Tom and Jerry- 500m.
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1 hour ago, a2k said:
I have JUM within 7-8m of TROS and feel have been a little optimistic on JUM.
Maybe it can reduce that to 5-6m but can't see them closer.
Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun FSS 37.5% -50.0% 32.5% 37.5% -41.0% JUM 8.25 11.34 5.67 7.52 10.33 6.10 23.95 TROS 13.00 16.58 8.29 10.36 13.47 7.81 31.64 27.5% -50.0% 25.0% 30.0% -42.0% Lol Imagine if ROS Saturday drops third time in a row 😅 . 26-32m range just incase.
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19 minutes ago, misafeco said:
Thursday decreases are quite strange, only Frozen increased in the top 10 (+33.6%). I totally expected Jumanji to at least stay flat.
In 2013:
Hobbit: DOS +13.1%
Hunger Games: CF +20.2%
Frozen +43.3% (wow)
Let's hope for decent increases on Friday.
But The current nos are Friday nos.
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4 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:
It has great word of mouth, so that’s bullshit. But I think you know that already
I think we should wait for third weekend post holiday frame.
Wom seems fine but Great!! .This is no where near TFA WOM tbh.
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25 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:
Where do you see The Rise of Skywalker's international box-office ending?
1. Avengers: Endgame ($1.9 billion)
2. The Lion King ($1.1 billion)
3. Spider-Man: Far From Home ($741 million)
4. Joker ($730 million+) without China 🥰🥰
5. Frozen II ($719 million +)
6. Captain Marvel ($701 million)
7. Toy Story 4 ($639 million)
Not even coming close to any of these. It will be lucky to even sniff anywhere near 600m. Daily OS numbers already on par with or just under domestic.
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Just awful for Playmobil .
8m for frozen is way lower than I expected.
A- cinema score is starting to kick in .
But who knows it could have a strong SS.
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2.8m would be 47% drop from Tuesday which is within expectations. Ralph dropped 49% .
This nothing to be excited about to be honest.
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18 minutes ago, a2k said:
60-70% Disc Tue bump for 5.3-5.6 using 3.3 Mon
3.3
5.4
2.9
2.9
= 14.5 // 303.35
9.5 (+225%)
18.5 (+95%)
13.0 (-30%)
= 41.0 (-52%) // 344.35
3.5-4.0x the 2nd weekend more gives 488-508 cume
Ralph wrecks seems the right comp to go by
83%
+49%
-49%
-0.1%
Wknd
+248.3%
+ 107%
-33%
F2
3.3(-83%)
5.1 (+55%)
2.7 (-47%)
2.7
=13.8(302.7m)
9.3 (+245%)
18.6(+100%)
12.5(-32%)
= 40.4 - 53% (343.1m)
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But pikachu started with 8.8 on moayan! and 9.2 is decent enough for frozen .TLK still did good at 8.9 moayan .
Probably 2x multi .
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Well that didn't take long .😅
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1 hour ago, Fullbuster said:
Frozen did very well back then, will Frozen 2 beat it?
First one made 76m USD which won't be easy to top . The release schedule looks good for it . TROS ain't big in Asia except Japan.
So it could leg out through the entire festive season.
Is there any huge local release on the horizon?
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The denial on this thread is just hillarious.
Joker just made 1 bn.I
It'sr- rated.
Slow burn character study
No 3d.
No china.
This is nothing short of jaw dropping.
I thought this would make IT numbers WW at most.
Most people had it in the 400-600m range.
And now it made a bn and they are claiming it was expected!!
Are u kidding me.
Not even WB was confident Abt it and Co financed it.
No one saw this coming. The most optimistic prediction I saw was 800m.
This is no doubt one of the most shocking box office runs of the decade.
Personally it's my box office run of 2019.
What's even more insane for me is it's OS run. There is even a slim possibility this may earn more than TROS OS depending on how the movie turns out.
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20 minutes ago, JB33 said:
Thinking a little under $850K today for Joker, its first day under $1M.
What. A. Run
Holiday in the us today which could soften it's drop. So it still has achance at making 1m today.
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49 minutes ago, TheUndertaker said:
Redid my calculations this time using the weekly drop for worldwide mon-tue numbers from Mojo (-31.4% DOM; -47.6% OS; -43.9% WW), and it shows 984.5M by sunday. It will be mid to high 980s.
More like -35% Dom.
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3 minutes ago, grim22 said:
Looks like Joker will do 40 consecutive days above 1M. I think that's the longest run this year.
Nah it's Aladdin
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25 minutes ago, a2k said:
MAL2 has a real shot at 125 dom.
~0.7 Thu and 9.0 weekend will take it to 98.25
Then 3x more this weekend gives it 98.25 + 9.0*3 = 125.25 dom
(Will FROZEN2 help or hurt?)
Either way it's not gonna miss 120.
120-125 will be 3.24-3.38x multi compared to 3.48x of MAL1.
Like with JW2, big drop in absolute numbers (much bigger fall even %-wise compared to JW2) but similar legs to it's predecessor.
Are U expecting a 9m wknd for Mal 2? . Your also expecting it top joker?( 8.7m)
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18 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:
From Thursday number seems so, but it's expected. Last week Friday was really inflated, so this is really shouldn't be much surprise. It still can get below 50% though, we don't know it's drop from many markets like UK, Brazil, Spain, and France.
980m+ by Sunday then.
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37 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:
This weekend drop will be pretty bad if we look Thursday number at Germany (-70% from LW), Japan (-43%) and Italy (-77%). It's ok though last weekend is holiday and still enough for 700m OS.
50+% drop this weekend ?
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11 hours ago, RJ 95 said:
Maybe but I doubt it, last week they post 14m weekdays. Ten when Monday comes, actual weekdays shows 24.8m.
So if it follows same pattern like last week it will get 13.7m but anything above 11m already good for me.
Let's wait for Screendaily usually what they reported is closest to actual weekdays.
Any screendialy updates?
Weekdays Thread (2/18-2/20)
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
That Friday jump is low .
5.75( 150%)
11.25(95%)
7.28-7.87(- 30-35%)
24.28 - 24.87m ( -57 - 58% )