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Posts posted by Sandro Mazzola
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1 hour ago, eman92 said:
Honestly it seems like a pretty stupid move on Exorcists part. They're kinda screwed either way though. If they stayed where they are then they compete against Taylor, if they moved a week up in October, they'd be going against Killers of the Flower Moon, and they can't move it to Oct 27th cause that's when Blumhouse's other film FNAF premieres.
October 6th is pretty open but I still think its a mistake cause they now are moving their release up a week after they already started their promotion. And now just a week between Saw X and Exorcist, which will probably hurt both films, moreso Exorcist I'd assume since Saw X will have been out a week, and will have the advantage of premiering first.
Horror movies can coexist, and both will benefit from Friday 13th here.
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14 minutes ago, Shawn said:
Share your final 2nd weekend predictions by 11:59pm ET tonight for Barbie and Oppy.
Closest on each gets a free month of Gold tier (no ads, more likes, etc.).
Must quote this post so it's easy to keep track!
Barbie 102.5m
Oppy 52.5m
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29 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:
Didn’t A Wrinkle in Time only make it to 100M DOM because of double features with Incredibles 2?
Yeah, and that was not the first Disney Drive In boost it got.... It was helped by Infinity War twice, Solo and then I2. It was stumbling towards 95m before that help.
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Hmm ok
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2 hours ago, ChipDerby said:
I hate hate hate being the bearer of bad news, but the message you sent was just too long after the deadline for us to add. I'm so sorry.
Has the deadline time changed? I thought it was 4pm my time (11am EST I think?), I sent the message over an hour before then.
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I couldnt log into Derby for some reason, i sent my predictions to @ChipDerby
Here is what I sent
Brahmastra Part One: Shiva $3.84
Barbarian $13.79
Top Gun: Maverick $3.52
Bullet Train $2.99
Spider-Man: No Way Home $1.85
DC League of Super-Pets $2.59
The Invitation $3.05
Beast $1.68
Minions: The Rise of Gru $1.82
Thor: Love and Thunder $0.84 -
2 hours ago, Ezen Baklattan said:
Don't look up anything else before going to see it. It really is one of those movies that's even better the less you know going in.
The trailer is very refreshing imo, it doesn't give the plot away and makes you intrigued.
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These Barbarian sales look really really good, that 900k estimate looks low when you pull out the A24 comps. I know its tricky but maybe comping against films with similar number of Thurs shows might be helpful.... Barbarian starts at 7pm and many of the comps started much earlier.
Either way this looks to be breaking out, 15m OW is not that unreasonable here imo.
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I have Crawdads over Nope.
The Invitation 6.6m
Beast 5.4m
Top Gun 5m
Bullet Train 4.9m
DC Pets 4.9m
Dragon Ball 4.6m
Thor4 3m
3000 years 2,9m
Minions 2.6m
Crawdads 2.6m
Nope 2.3m- 1
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3 minutes ago, Ff18 said:
bullet Train sub 1m today. it won't even reach 80m. Wow Sony lost 176m on this movie but they should have known better to not hire Pitt. He's not a draw at all. Ryan is more bankable.
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1 hour ago, Vi25 said:
BT drops show that 30m was rigged and it happened bc of sony's business deals. It literally droped with more than 50% in every market💀 more than every movie
It's even going to be worse this week. Mond update will be less than 1m. Going to do morbius numbers this week cause WOM is so bad.😶
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6 minutes ago, CJohn said:
12.3 - 8.5 - 5.2 = 25M. The awfulness. Oh God.
Imo:
12.3
9.2
7.1
28.7m
Assuming the early reporting is low I think very low 30's is on the cards. -
Assuming 1.2m EA then the Thurs to T.Fri mult is bettet for BT than Nope... with 3pm previews this mult doesn't seem that bad imo.
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1 hour ago, Shawn said:
Early Fri estimates, studio sources:
BT 12.3 (w previews)
Pets 3.5
Nope 2.3
Thor 2.0
Minions 2.0
Easter 1.8
Any TG number?
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'yeah this is opening to low-mid 20's, summer IM is low... especially off of 2pm Thursday previews.
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30 minutes ago, Borf the Borf said:
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/252340830-Weekend-predictions-Super-Pets-set-for-weekend-win
So this is a box office authority? Comparing 7pm Thue multipliers to a 2pm Thur. Wow.The guys at the-numbers are divorced from reality when it comes to their predictions unfortunately.... they have a model that they fully trust and do not deviate from, even when it makes no sense.
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On 7/24/2022 at 4:20 PM, Ecks Ecks Are said:
As expected, the scoring is very high this week. The winner will likely be over 95% with 6-7 people over 90%.
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6 hours ago, ringedmortality said:
Why is Super-Pets dying?
Warner Brothers Animation...
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4 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:
70m should be close to 160m
Deadline is low off that T.Fri, you are too high.
I suspect it'll come in right at @M37's club line.
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Last Monday my numbers had the FSS at 86m and the 4day over 100m
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31 minutes ago, thebig2000 said:
Holy crap. Those yellow creatures could break $100M 4-day. I’ve never rooted for the minions more.
You mean 100m 3 day right?
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1 hour ago, Alex SciChannel said:
I mean is it likely? Many here are predicting a 10x internal multiplier for Minions 2.
Boss Baby 2 made 1.31m from previews starting at 4pm and its 4 day (including a Sunday 4th July) was 19.65m.
2pm previews will lower the mult but with it skewing so young, having Canada Day on Friday and 4th July on Monday means the FSS should behave more like 3 Saturdays... 10x IM for 4day seems way too pessimistic. -
40 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:
Is a 100M 4-day possible with an internal multiplier from 8M-8.5M previews?
Over 100m is possible from previews of over 7m.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
2324 locations per their website:
https://bleeckerstreetmedia.com/editorial/find-theaters-i-s-s/