AdrianL
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Posts posted by AdrianL
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If opening is high 170s then under Frozen 2 is possible.
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1 minute ago, RthRise said:
Couple hrs ago had TROS Sat about 48m try update later if any change
180m probably not happening.
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So possibly below Joker. Eeeegawd
I'm good with anything over a billion tbh.
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7 minutes ago, a2k said:
J2 looking at 25-25.5 after 9.9 Sat
7.1 + 9.9 + 8.5 (-14%) = 25.5 // 101.3
101.3 + 25.5*6 = 254
101.3 + 25.5*7 = 280
If Rise of Skywalker finishes even as low 500m then that'd be better retention than Jumanji 3 finishing with 280 but yeah, different expectations and yadda yadda
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So what will be above 5m on Christmas Day besides SW and Jumanji? Spies and Disguise and Little Women?
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Hope Saturday trends upward. If it does below 180m beating Rogue One domestic might not happen. Eek.
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Cats was better off opening on Christmas Day. With it seeming like a misfire I hope Little Women is huge.
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I'm good with anything over 180m. I was expecting a Justice League situation after reviews came out but I think people would still want to see this at least once to finish the story. Curious to see how it performs for Xmas.
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Whuuut
Above TLJ would be really surprising.
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2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
I know this sounds dramatic and I'm not necessarily predicting it, but it would be interesting if a TROS backlash/major underperformance signaled a big downward shift for Disney going forward. I mean, they brought out all the big guns this year and most of their scheduled slate next decade remains a bit of a question mark. Even MCU is a question mark going forward, considering EG was a definitive era ender. Disney has alwasy been a company with major ebbs and flows of success prior to this decade, how crazy would it be to see them fall from grace in a time where it seems impossible to imagine them as anything but #1?
Next year's slate is very weak compared to this but even though they may get 'only' 1-2 billion dollar pictures next year everything else besides Artemis Fowl will likely do well. It'll be nice to see some distrubition of wealth.... unless every other studio flounders.
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15 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
I'm lowkey worried that BW will be deemed unnecessary by the general public like SOLO was.
Difference is that ScarJo is very well liked and established in the role. BW will do good. Below Thor Ragnarok domestic would surprise me.
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16 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:
T-2 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
MTC 1: $28.4mn Approx (+$1.7mn)
At same time
Endgame: $45.5mn Approx (+$2.5mn)
MTC 2: $16.1mn ( +$1.1mn)
At same time
Endgame: $26mn Approx (+$1.5mn)
The Lion King: $7.3mn (+$1.3mn)
Nationwide estimates
SW: TRS A: EG % Previews $25.81 $33.50 77.03% Friday $23.99 $39.00 61.52% Saturday $19.09 $37.50 50.90% Sunday $11.78 $26.00 45.30% Rest $16.90 $21.00 80.47% Total $97.57 $157.00 62.14%
At same timeEndgame: $157mn
The Lion King: $44mn
Note: All these numbers include a good amount of estimation. The system is working well but there's always margin of error, take +/-5%.
So would need around $120m more for rest of the weekend to get to 200m.
I'm thinking OW will be high 180s/low 190s.
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10 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:
Those comments about Black Widow are insulting... she was a major player in the biggest movie of all time.
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Honestly very surprised with Jumanji's numbers. I was expecting a 37ish opening as I thought this would decrease like Secret Life of Pets 2 but do fine for the holidays but I guess people liked the first Jumanji while the first Pets movie was eh at best. I'm gonna guess it'll total out at 240m+ domestic.
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That Uncut Gems PTA is impressive. If it manages to get 100k PTA for the weekend that'd be a very nice headline. Bombshell is also looking at a healthy PTA too.
THE STAR WARS THE RISE OF SKYWALKER WEEKEND THREAD | Abandon all hope, ye who enter here | 177.38 DOM, 197 OS, 373.5 WW | SALE NOW LIVE
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Yup.