ViktorLosAngeles

I expect second weekend to have a big drop, with the third one being softer. And then after that it all goes downhill. I guess second weekend may drop 60+ % while third weekend should drop below 50%.

I think they’ll do a heavy marketing and get slightly better reviews for the third one. The grand finale that will, I assume, have more Laurie vs. Michael time. Let’s just hope Halloween Kills doesn’t do much damage to the trilogy in terms of bad word of mouth so the people give up on the last installment. I know I’ll be watching this one couple of times, but I’m talking in general.

I think 150–160 million is maximum it will fo in the US.

I’m keeping my projection to 5 million $.

But 46 on Metacritic.

Halloween Ends will probably be shot in January-February next year. I think it will do better than Kills, since I doubt there will be day and date release.

I think Peacock + the current market + bad reviews will do harm. The best case scenario imo would be 40-45 million $ but that’s if people really go for it. If it opens with 25 million $ the total won’t be much bigger than let’s say - 55 million $. If it opens with 33 million $ (my current prediction), I can see the total reaching 70 million $. If it hits 45 million $, 95-100 million is possible. But I really think it’s highly unlikely at this point.

I really want to see this film outperform, but am afraid after No Time To Die underperformed. I’ll say around 33 million $ OW but I wouldn’t be surprised if it only does 25 tbh.

OCTOBER 15-17: 1. "Halloween Kills" - 32.2 2. "No Time To Die" - 24.6 / 99.8 3. "Venom 2" - 16.4 / 168.0 4. “The Addams Family 2" - 6.0 / 41.1 5. "The Last Duel" - 5.5 6. “Shang Chi" - 2.7 / 217.1 7. "Free Guy" - 0.7 / 120.8 8. "Many Saints of Newark" - 0.5 / 8.4 9. "Lamb" - 0.4 / 1.8 10. "Dear Evan Hansen" - 0.4 / 14.6 OCTOBER 22-24: 1. "Dune" - 38.1 2. "No Time To Die" - 13.8 / 122.5 3. "Halloween Kills" - 10.9 / 51.0 4. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 9.5 5. "Venom 2" - 9.1 / 182.3 6. "The Addams Family 2" - 3.4 / 46.2 7. "The Last Duel" - 2.9 / 10.2 8. "Shang Chi" - 1.5 / 219.4

No JJ Abrams please. I’m a but bummed that this underperformed in the US. I guess the total will be 150-160 million $. Outside the US, hmm… If I assume it takes 60 million $ in China and 450 million $ elsewhere, I guess we’re looking at “Casino Royale” ww numbers, more or less.

They are predicting a 60 million $ opening weekend after 23 million $ Friday with previews :/

OCTOBER 8-10: 1. "No Time To Die" - 83.0 2. "Venom 2" - 33.5 / 146.8 3. “The Addams Family 2" - 7.8 / 29.2 4. “Shang Chi" - 2.9 / 211.3 5. "Many Saints of Newark" - 2.1 / 8.2 6. "Free Guy" - 1.3 / 119.7 7. "Dear Evan Hansen" - 0.9 / 13.6 8. "Candyman" - 0.6 / 60.0 9. "Jungle Cruise" - 0.3 / 116.6 10. "Mass" or "Lamb" - 0.2-0.3

I paid mine 21$... LA prices...

Oh it did? All the data I could find (and assume where it grossed a bit more) lead to 295 million $ max.

This is my old estimate from my old account. I believe we’re looking at 290-5 million $ total. Maybe 290 million $ is safer due to covid.

I think Gaga fans went to see the trailer on repeat. I agree that it looks better than TNA and WSS but I highly doubt it will replicate the success of “A Star Is Born”. For some reason I compare this to “Scream 4”. Remember when everyone expected 30+ million $ opening based on the trailer reception? Maybe I’m wrong. I don’t see it grossing much more than 60 million $ in the States.

I would expect slightly smaller impact in France next week, due to their theatre capacity. So I’d say 7-8 million $. I’d predict the same number for Russia. Overall second weekend drop for the other teritories should be less than 50%. So I guess anywhere from 70-80 million $ should be a lock, with a 240-250 million $ total + the US debut.

Well, I think it will cater to a different audience once the initial buzz is done. Mostly people who like award season. That’s what I think, I may be deadly wrong.

Yup, here in LA all IMAX (or majority) of screens next week are also NTTD and Venom. I’d rather see Halloween instead of Venom but I guess they see which one has a bigger demand.

I’m expecting Dune to make 105-110 million$ domestic. I think it’s a good result considering HBO Max.

How is NTTD doing compared to Skyfall and Spectre on individual international markets over the opening weekend? I’m trying to figure if this can make 600 million $ outside the US.

Correct. Sorry, I forgot about it and even ranked “Venom 2” 5th on my Year End list in another thread 💀

DECEMBER 3-5: 1. "Encanto" - 20.7 / 95.1 2. "Eternals" - 7.6 / 252.8 3. "House of Gucci" - 7.4 / 37.6 4. "King Richard" - 4.8 / 41.6 5. "Ghostbusters" - 4.7 / 53.0 DECEMBER 10-12: 1. "West Side Story" - 28.5 2. "Encanto" - 12.2 / 115.1 3. "Violence of Action" - 6.5 4. "House of Gucci" - 4.4 / 44.6 5. "Eternals" - 4.2 / 259.4 DECEMBER 17-19: 1. "Spider-Man: No Way Home" - 108.1 2. "Nightmare Alley" - 19.5 3. "West Side Story" - 17.1 / 59.0 4. "Encanto" - 8.3 / 129.5 5. "House of Gucci" - 3.0 / 50.2 DECEMBER 24-26: 1. "Spider-Man: No Way Home" - 48.6 / 209.6 2. "Matrix Resurrections" - 45.1 / 73.7 3. "Sing 2" - 34.2 / 53.8 4. "The King's Man" - 33.5 / 56.3 5. "West Side Story" - 13.3 / 82.4 DECEMBER 31-JANUARY 2: 1. "Spider-Man: No Way Home" - 27.9 / 274.3 2. "Sing 2" - 25.5 / 107.0 3. "Matrix Resurrections" - 22.2 / 125.3 4. "The King's Man" - 18.1 / 100.4 5. "West Side Story" - 8.1 / 100.0 My predictions for the Year End Chart: 1. "Spider-Man: No Way Home" - 320 million $ 2. "Eternals" - 277 million $ 3. "No Time To Die" - 223 million $ 4. "Shang Chi" - 217 million $ 5. "Venom 2" - 210 million $ 6. "Black Widow" - 183.7 million $ 7. "F9" - 173 million $ 8. "Matrix Resurrections" - 165 million $ 9. "Sing 2" - 163 million $ 10. "A Quiet Place 2" - 160.1 million $ 11. “Encanto” - 158 million $ 12. “The King’s Man” - 129 million $ 13. “Free Guy” - 122 million $ 14. “Jungle Cruise” - 117 million $ 15. “West Side Story” - 115 millon $ 16. “Dune” - 108 million $ 17. “Godzilla vs. Kong” - 100.6 million $ Orher films that may gross more than 100 million $, depending on their opening: 1. “Halloween Kills” - I still think it will end it’s run around 70 million $ 2. “Nightmare Alley” - I highly doubt it, but you never know.

I think "Venom 2" is going to finish around 210 million $ in the US, and probably #4 on the Year End chart, behind "Spider-Man", "Eternals" and "No Time To Die".

I watched "Casino Royale" for the first time last night. What a great Bond movie it is! I have to say that after "Die Another Day" I had zero interest in seeing a new Bond film, so "Skyfall" marked my return to theaters to see a Craig's Bond. I really disliked "Spectre", and can't even point a finger to what irritated me so much, but I left the theater underwhelmed. I would say that if NTTD really exceeds expectations, it's going to end up making 95 million $ in the US. But everything above 100 million $ is still a little too much. I expect it to be #1 for 2 weeks, since I am predicting "Halloween Kills" to gross anywhere between 25 and 35 million $.