ViktorLosAngeles
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Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 26-28: 1. "Encanto" - 27.9 / 41.2 2. "Ghostbusters: Afterlife" - 24.4 / 87.7 3. "House of Gucci" - 14.0 / 21.6 4. "Eternals" - 7.4 / 150.1 5. "Resident Evil" - 4.7 / 8.2 6. "Clifford" - 4.6 / 42.6 7. "King Richard" - 3.2 / 11.4 8. "Dune" - 2.0 / 102.2 9. "No Time To Die" - 1.8 / 158.1 10. "Venom 2" - 1.5 / 209.5 11. "Belfast" - 0.9 / 4.9 12. "The French Dispatch" - 0.6 / 14.5 DECEMBER 3-5: 1. "Encanto" - 13.1 / 58.3 2. "Ghostbusters" - 9.8 / 101.6 3. "House of Gucci" - 7.3 / 34.2 4. "Eternals" - 3.7 / 156.3 5. "Christmas with Chosen" - 3.4 / 8.4 6. "Resident Evil" - 2.4 / 12.9 7. "Clifford" - 1.8 / 45.7 8. "Dune" - 1.7 / 104.4 9. "King Richard" - 1.3 / 13.5 10. "Sword Art Online Progressive" - 1.1 11. "No Time To Die" - 0.9 / 159.5 12. "Venom 2" - 0.8 / 210.7 DECEMBER 10-12: 1. "West Side Story" - 14.4 2. "Encanto" - 6.8 / 67.4 3. "Ghostbusters" - 5.5 / 109.2 4. "House of Gucci" - 4.0 / 40.5 5. "National Champions" - 2.9 6. "Eternals" - 1.9 / 159.3 7. "Resident Evil" - 1.0 / 14.5 8. "Dune" - 1.0 / 105.8 9. "Clifford" - 0.9 / 47.0 10. “King Richard" - 0.7 / 14.5 11. "No Time To Die" - 0.5 / 160.3 12. "Venom 2" - 0.4 / 211.3 DECEMBER 17-19: 1. “Spider Man” - 151.3 2. “West Side Story” - 8.1 / 26.4 3. “Nightmare Alley” - 5.6 4. “Encanto” - 4.4 / 73.9 5. “Ghostbusters” - 2.9 / 113.9 6. “House of Gucci” - 2.3 / 44.1 7. “National Champions” - 1.4 / 5.2 8. “Eternals” - 1.0 / 160.8 9. “Dune” - 0.6 / 106.7 10. “Clifford” - 0.5 / 47.8 11. "Resident Evil" - 0.5 / 15.3 12. “King Richard” - 0.4 / 15.1 -
King Richard | November 19, 2021 | Warner. Bros
ViktorLosAngeles replied to movies!movies!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Well I think it's clear that Smith is winning for this one. I have yet to watch it. As far as box office is concerned, I think this will have a lower opening than we're expecting, primarily because of the HBO Max, and it feels like a "stay at home"/family movie. I'm predicting 5-6 million $ opening, although if the audience really goes for it, 9-10 million $ are doable. -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 19-21: 1. "Ghostbusters: Afterlife" - 40.2 2. "Eternals" - 12.1 / 137.1 3. "Clifford" - 8.1 / 33.5 4. "King Richard" - 5.4 5. "Dune" - 3.5 / 98.6 6. "No Time To Die" - 2.7 / 154.6 7. "Venom 2" - 2.6 / 206.3 8. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 1.4 / 22.6 9. "Belfast" - 1.1 / 3.6 10. "The French Dispatch" - 1.1 / 13.4 11. "Spencer" - 1.0 / 6.4 12. "For the Love of the Money" - 0.7 NOVEMBER 26-28: 1. "Encanto" - 27.8 / 41.3 2. "Ghostbusters: Afterlife" - 18.1 / 68.4 3. "House of Gucci" - 9.6 / 14.7 4. "Resident Evil" - 6.0 / 10.4 5. "Eternals" - 5.5 / 146.0 6. "Clifford" - 4.6 / 40.5 7. "King Richard" - 2.8 / 10.1 8. "Dune" - 2.1 / 101.9 9. "Venom 2" - 1.7 / 208.6 10. "No Time To Die" - 1.6 / 157.1 11. "Belfast" - 1.2 / 5.2 12. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 0.8 / 23.8 DECEMBER 3-5: 1. "Encanto" - 12.4 / 59.5 2. "Ghostbusters: Afterlife" - 8.0 / 81.2 3. "House of Gucci" - 4.7 / 22.3 4. "Eternals" - 2.9 / 151.4 5. "Resident Evil" - 2.4 / 14.2 6. "Clifford" - 2.3 / 43.7 7. "King Richard" - 1.5 / 12.3 8. "Dune" - 1.0 / 103.6 9. "Venom 2" - 0.8 / 209.8 10. "No Time To Die" - 0.7 / 158.2 11. "Belfast" - 0.6 / 6.1 12. "Wolf" - 0.5 -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 12-14: 1. "Eternals" - 28.1 / 119.4 2. "Clifford" - 9.3 / 14.9 3. "Dune" - 4.2 / 91.8 4. "No Time To Die" - 3.7 / 149.6 5. "Venom 2" - 3.0 / 201.7 6. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 2.6 / 21.2 7. "The French Dispatch" - 1.8 / 11.6 8. "Belfast" - 1.3 9. "Spencer" - 1.2 / 4.4 10. "Antlers" - 0.9 / 9.3 11. "Last Night in Soho" - 0.8 / 9.3 12. "Halloween Kills" - 0.8 / 91.2 NOVEMBER 19-21: 1. "Ghostbusters: Afterlife" - 34.1 2. "Eternals" - 14.9 / 144.2 3. "King Richard" - 7.8 4. "Clifford" - 4.5 / 21.8 5. "Dune" - 2.4 / 95.6 6. "No Time To Die" - 2.0 / 152.8 7. "Venom 2" - 1.9 / 204.5 8. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 1.6 / 23.6 9. "Belfast" - 1.5 / 3.3 10. "The French Dispatch" - 1.2 / 13.3 11. "Spencer" - 0.8 / 5.7 12. "Antlers" - 0.4 / 10.0 -
NOVEMBER 5-7: 1. "Eternals" - 71.8 2. "Dune" - 6.7 / 83.0 3. "No Time to Die" - 6.0 / 143.0 4. "Venom 2" - 3.9 / 196.4 5. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 3.1 / 17.1 6. "The French Dispatch" - 2.5 / 8.3 7. "Annaatthe" - 2.2 8. "Halloween Kills" - 2.1 / 89.5 9. "Antlers" - 1.9 / 7.6 10. "Spencer" - 1.8 11. "Last Night in Soho" - 1.8 / 7.6 12. "My Hero Academia" - 1.4 / 9.6
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Weekdays Thread 11/1-4 | Calm before the storm
ViktorLosAngeles replied to von Kenni's topic in Numbers and Data
"Eternals" is opening just as I predicted (I had it's friday on 30-32 million $ range). I'm expecting 24.5 million $ Saturday and 17 million $ Sunday. 25-6 million $ second weekend. 170-180ish total. -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
That’s why I lowered my opening weekend predictions (71-74 million $), but a heavier second weekend drop - 62-65%. -
Weekdays Thread 11/1-4 | Calm before the storm
ViktorLosAngeles replied to von Kenni's topic in Numbers and Data
Ends was never a question. It's 100% happening. But OS for HK is going to end up around 40-45 million $. That worries me more than the US drop, which, especially these days, is ok. 50+% overseas drop (and mind you - it was theatrical only elsewhere) shows the drop in interest for "Halloween" franchise, since the 2018 film made 96.1 outside the US. I think "Ends" will make more money in the US, but I'm not expecting big improvement outside the States. -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
In a way, but I have a feeling that wom is not going to do anything, even if it comes from MCU fans. I can see a 30 million $ opening day (with previews) and then it will drop to 23 and 18 probably (Saturday and Sunday). Even Box Office Report lowered the expectations, even though they heavily relied on Fandango's statement how the pre-sales broke all the records. -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby
ViktorLosAngeles replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
NOVEMBER 5-7: 1. "Eternals" - 71.2 2. "Dune" - 7.1 / 81.2 3. "No Time To Die" - 4.6 / 140.9 4. "Venom 2" - 3.4 / 195.4 5. "Spencer" - 2.5 6. "The French Dispatch" - 2.2 / 7.5 7. "Halloween Kills" - 1.9 / 89.4 8. "My Hero Academia" - 1.9 / 9.2 9. "Antlers" - 1.8 / 7.0 10. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 1.8 / 15.0 11. "Last Night in Soho" - 1.6 / 6.6 12. "The Addams Family 2" - 1.3 / 54.5 NOVEMBER 12-14: 1. "Eternals" - 25.9 / 112.8 2. "Clifford" - 10.3 / 15.2 3. "Dune" - 3.3 / 87.3 4. "No Time To Die" - 2.7 / 145.4 5. "Belfast" - 2.3 6. "Venom 2" - 1.8 / 198.1 7. "Spencer" - 1.4 / 4.6 8. "The French Dispatch" - 1.3 / 9.5 9. "Antlers" - 0.9 / 8.3 10. "Ron's Gone Wrong" - 0.9 / 16.3 11. "Last Night in Soho" - 0.7 / 7.7 12. "Halloween Kills" - 0.5 / 90.3 -
I'm predicting 2.3-2.4 million $ for HK next weekend. 92-3 million $ total. As for "Dune" - 7.2-7.4 million $ third weekend, and I suppose - 97ish million $ total, unless it shows those "Oscar legs" which most of you are predicting, but I highly doubt it will. Nominations are in February, and by then, this film will be dead and gone from theaters.
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US - 95-105 million $ China - 40-45 million $ Aus - 10-15 million $ Rest - 215-225 million $ Worst case scenario : 360 million $ Best case scenario: 390 million $ If it shows some additional legs in the US during the award season and slightly stronger Chinese total - 400 million $ is not impossible.
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I love “Matrix”, I remember seeing it in theaters when I was 11. But, truth to be told, although it gained cult following, I’m not sure will it draw enough audience to theaters around Christmas because people will be looking for something lighter to watch, and surge of Covid cases + HBO Max as an alternative won’t work in it’s favor. God forbid if the critics are not liking it, I’d prepare myself for a 40-45 million $ three day opening (65-70 million $ five day).
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I guess with this whole Covid case surge in China, we could expect NTTD's total to be around 60 million $. Australia? I'd say anywhere between 15 and 25 million $. Overall, 145ish million $ in the US, 60 million $ in China, let's say 18 million $ in AUS. The rest of the world? 480 million $? 700 million should be "in the bag". However, I can see this underperforming in AUS due to the Covid situation as well.