[Weekend Actuals (Jun 23 - 25) | 19.00M ATSV | 18.44M ELEMENTAL | 15.14M THE FLASH | 15.00M NO HARD FEELINGS]

Deadline estimates for Saturday: $7.5M Spiderverse (+32% over Friday), $7.1M Elemental (+27%), $6M The Flash (+33%), $4.8M No Hard Feelings (-26% incl. Thurs Previews)

 

 

[Indian Box Office Thread | Jawan overtakes Pathaan, becomes highest grossing Indian movie of 2023]

5 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:

@across the Jat verse the article states AtSV already made 50 crores so isn't it way past Frozen 2 and Incredibles 2?? It seems like it has overperformed after all but with a leggy run as opposed to a huge OW

Frozen 2 is 47 cr NBOC I'm pretty sure

[SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE | 309.3M overseas | 690.6M worldwide]

4 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:

This just happened in the theatres near my house. They added more showings.

[Weekday Thread | TUE - Flash $5.28M, Elementals $5.0M, Spidey $4.7M, Transformer $2.8M, TLM $2.2M]

9 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said:

I say give it a rewatch. I feel like I felt a lot like you are saying it now, but time has truly made this one better, especially when you take in consideration everything we know now. A lot of the emotional beats hit harder, and knowing Maria’s fate made me cry yesterday. Captain Marvel had no business making me cry after 4 years and yet it did. If you follow the MCU, I say that this film is sort of like Age of Ultron that time actually made that film better. I wouldn’t rank this one above Doctor Strange for example, after yesterday I think I kinda  would. I was legitimately surprised how much I enjoyed, wasn’t expecting it.

I don't think it's that great but it's nowhere near the bottom of the MCU at all

[SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE | 309.3M overseas | 690.6M worldwide]

3 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Deadline:

$506.3M through yesterday, domestic $290.4M and international $215.9M.

The Top 5 international box office markets to date are China at $42.5M, followed by the UK with $26.1M, Mexico with $24.2M, Australia with $15M and Brazil at $10.4M.

7M~ Mon and parts of Tues? INTL then

[Weekday Thread | TUE - Flash $5.28M, Elementals $5.0M, Spidey $4.7M, Transformer $2.8M, TLM $2.2M]

@Issac NewtonIs Elemental 5M or 4.7M?

[Weekday Thread | TUE - Flash $5.28M, Elementals $5.0M, Spidey $4.7M, Transformer $2.8M, TLM $2.2M]

16 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

could spidey pass it today 

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

49 minutes ago, rehpyc said:

Indy T-9

NTTD: 8.81M

GA: 10.76M

JWD: 8.26M

JW4: 11.88M

Flash: 7.84M

TLM: 9.75M

 

All but JW4 have a current trajectory of 7-8M, but I anticipate for those to lift a bit as we get closer, for more of a 8-9M range that JW4 covers.

 

80M~ opening?

[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

42 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Aren't those Monday numbers?

They are

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

3 hours ago, across the Jat verse said:

IDK, I could be very wrong, I expect Barbie to lean very adult.

It'll lean adult but I think the Kid's audience will make its trajectory look different to DWD. ATSV could honestly be a good comp if barbie has similar reception pre-release even if it has a larger kids/family audience.

[South Korea Box Office]

any indication of WOM/ratings for Spider-Verse in South Korea or too early?

[How many films will surpass $700M at the box office worldwide this year?]

1 hour ago, Belakor said:

Superhero movies saturation is a real thing. Fatigue is also really kicking in. 

I agree, the only movie left this year that can pull a 700m or more is MI:DR

 

GOG3 could have made 1b easily back in 2019. 

 

Marvels is going to do Quantumania numbers if its lucky.

I'm pretty sure it's just because they're unfamiliar with miles morales lol, and hopefully BTSV can grow a decent bit after this with a larger imbued base of support to grow from

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

25 minutes ago, TMP said:

It will. The level of tractions that those barbieheimer double feature posts get is even bigger than gentleminion, and the early pre sales for both are great. I got Barbie tickets this morning for dolby and i checked again and it’s already sold out. Oppenheimer’s sold all the good seats at my local Liemax opening weekend already. Feeling very confident in both.

anecdotal, but MI didn’t really pop here outside of the early sneaks which sold out. Expecting great walk ups tho.

That's only on Twitter, TikTok is where things like this actually blow up, the biggest tweets have 100-200k likes versus gentlemenions stuff on TT which was getting 10-100x the engagement and over 1.5M videos on it. (https://www.tiktok.com/music/Rich-Minion-7109284473828591617) 

 

Barbenheimer isn't even close to what Gentleminions was right now in terms of overall reach. we'll see how it looks closer to release though, I can see it gaining a ton of traction in the days leading upto release.

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

Given that Oppenheimer is going to be very IMAX-heavy from people who really want to see it in a specific format, is any comp. that can be generated now adjusting for that or do we just have to wait to see how things even out?

[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

The Rock is one of the most recognizable people on the people, the idea that he doesn't have a 'draw' is insane

[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

this thread is cooked

[UK Box Office Thread]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Weekend Numbers (FSS)

	Film	Distributor	Weeks on release	Weekend Total	Total Box Office
1	The Flash	Warner Bros.	1	£4,252,532	£4,252,532
2	Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse	Sony Pictures	3	£2,614,173	£20,300,416
3	The Little Mermaid	Walt Disney	4	£1,323,769	£22,028,857
4	Transformers: Rise Of The Beasts	Paramount	2	£1,184,662	£5,008,562
5	Greatest Days	Elysian Film Group Distribution	1	£536,955	£536,955
6	Adipurush	Aariv Group Ltd/Foun	1	£252,628	£252,628
7	Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3	Walt Disney	7	£251,592	£36,026,240
8	Fast X	Universal Pictures	5	£208,640	£14,654,905
9	The Boogeyman	Walt Disney	3	£139,790	£1,385,680
10	Super Mario Bros.	Universal Pictures	11	£93,019	£53,548,995
11	Fleabag – NT Live 2019 (Theatre)	National Theatre	197	£86,597	£490,776
12	SUGA: Road To D-DAY	Trafalgar Releasing	1	£35,909	£35,909
13	Chevalier	Walt Disney	2	£35,475	£257,279
14	Il Trovatore – ROH, London 2023 (Opera)	Royal Opera House	1	£30,804	£266,109
15	j-hope IN THE BOX	Trafalgar Releasing	1	£29,053	£29,053

Source: Comscore

Spidey -35.7%
TLM -36.6%
Transformers -51.9%

Guardians -50.9%

Fast X -56.1%

 

 

[China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30]

Are Spider-Verse, Mermaid, Fast X and Guardians gone after the festival starts?

[Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 opens to mind-blowing $30.2M, 2nd highest 4-day lc OW ever!]

19 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

every time I see overseas numbers I’m curious why Mexico like cinema so much…

A strengthening economy and a growing middle class coupled with what seems to be a heightened interest is making Mexico as important as it is now

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

7 minutes ago, el sid said:

The Monday update from insidekino.de and it's the worst weekend of the year - yet again :

#1 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse almost 100k/547.5k total admissions
#2 TLM 90k/870k
#3 The Flash 102.5k (including previews)
#4 Transformers 65k/232.5k
#5 Fast X 52.5k/1.385M

...

Asteroid City 37.5k
Bed Rest 15k

Flash almost beat by Spidey in its 3rd week... 

[UK Box Office Thread]

4 hours ago, UKBoxOffice said:

Sunday

 

The Flash £1.05m (£4.2m 5 day opening)

Spider-Verse £917k (£2.54 weekend)

Little Mermaid £444k (£1.28m weekend)

Transformers £428k (£1.13m weekend)

Greatest Days £98k (£382k weekend)

Spidey -37.4%
Transformers -54%

TLM -39.7%

 

[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

43 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

What if Spider-verse 2 hits 700m?

Should be 350M-450M profit if its 600-700M assuming 100M x 2.5 = 250M

[South Korea Box Office]

Any clue what Spidey might look like this week/weekend? Any indications?

[SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE | 309.3M overseas | 690.6M worldwide]

3 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:

Can 300M OS happen?

 

If it does 30M+ next week [weekdays + weekend] (240M~ by next Sunday), it'll be in the right area for it assuming it holds well after.  It also opens in SK this weekend so it should get at the very least a small boost of around $3m maybe? I'm not sure, could be way off either way. 

 

The only big competition this summer for both its primary demos — animation (Elemental) and Superhero (Flash)— came this week and it held somewhat okay against them. There's nothing significant at all in those groups for a long while now and what seems like a clear road so long as things go as they should, it should be in the cards. I don't think Indy, MI7, Barbie, or Oppenheimer have as much direct cross-over with ATSV so it shouldn't be affected as much by them other than losing screens.

 

[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

Just now, 21C said:

What did the gender split for The Flash end up being?

73 M-27 F, I think