Chaz
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Posts posted by Chaz
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Remember the Hangover vs. Up second weekend thread at BOM? That was fun.
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Up's second weekend was the first weekend of June. That drop is not happening for IO.
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Most of us pegged Ted 2's decrease weeks ago. Everything MacFarlane has been down the last two years.
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Inside Out is yet again trailing Monsters University. Is $300m in trouble?
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PDC and I said earlier that IO would not see that huge jump today. It's increasing as much as TS3 did its second Friday.
Comparisons:
Inside Out: +35%
TS3: +37%
MU: +51%
Cars: +73%
Brave: +56%
Wall-E: +7.5%
Ratatouille: +20%
Cars 2: +52%
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Fri looking like
IO 14.7,JP4 14.4,ted2 12.5-13.5,max 4.1
JW winning the weekend and IO is missing $50m.
Box Office returning to Earth this weekend.
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Fuck Redbox. I'm glad they're going out of business.
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Just left Ted 2. It was fine up until the last 20 minutes. The crowd enjoyed it.
Now I'm giving Jurassic World another shot. Maybe I can sit all the way through it this time.
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atm going with IO 15-16, JW 14-15, Ted2 13-15
JW will take the weekend. Crazy!
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It's Seth MacFarlane fatigue.
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No, we need to see Friday numbers first. TS3 only increased like 33% it's first Friday.
Yup.
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This weekend's headline - Inside puts Jurassic Out. Ted didn't earn 2 much.
lmaooooo slay
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My $44m prediction looking good right now. We'll see how Friday goes.
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June Pixar First Thursday:
Inside Out: +1.3%
TS3: -3%
MU: -5.4%
Cars: -7.4%
Brave: -2.8%
Wall-E: +24% (July 3)
Ratatouille: -23% (July 4)
Cars 2: -6%
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By far the biggest first Wednesday drop for a June Pixar release:
Inside Out: -28.6%
TS3: -11%
MU: -15%
Cars: -.1%
Brave: -23%
Wall-E: -11%
Cars 2: -21%
Ratatouille jumped 29%, but its first Wednesday was July 4.
Inside Out may be in trouble as it has fallen behind MU on two out of three weekdays. Coupled with Pixar's usual second weekend drop, and it certainly misses $50 million this weekend.
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Fantastic Four will perform much better than Ant-Man
Ha!
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Still too early to tell. It had one of Pixar's steepest first Monday drops yesterday.I think this backs up the idea that this isn't a frontloaded, typical Pixar release. Sellouts from this weekend will help it from now until Minions.
If it's holding better than every other June Pixar release by a large margin (MU had the same Discount Tuesday boost as IO), I don't see how it misses a 4x. Especially if it holds better than expected this weekend ($55-60 million 2nd weekend, with a 25% drop over the July 4th frame). Even with Minions hitting, I think IO should hold well the rest of the summer. It'll have enough WOM among adults to hold until August IMO.
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But why? Why would it? How is the WOM on the first one so terrible that this will open that much lower?
It had a 4X which hardly indicates bad WOM plus the sequel is striking while Ted is still very much relevant. You could be right of course, but I don't see the logic in it.
Seth MacFarlane fatigue.
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Except that it doesn't have it in the bag. It could win the weekend but Ted is going to open very well so at this point JW could finish anywhere from first to third.
Ted 2 is coming in below $50. I've got a feeling.
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JW has a third weekend at #1 in the bag. This is the biggest jump for a Pixar film's first Tuesday in June:
Inside Out: +25%
MU: +7.5%
Ratatouille: +4%
Cars 2: +1.9%
Brave: -.2%
TS3: -3%
Cars: -10%
Wall-E: -14%
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A lot of people are gonna be disappointed when IO makes under $50 million this weekend.
Pixar always gets overestimated after a strong opening around here.
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Inside Out made less on Monday than Monsters University made on the same day. Yikes.
MU made $11 million its first Monday.
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Pixar June first Monday drops:
Cars: 62%
Cars 2: 59%
Inside Out: 59%
MU: 52%
TS3: 51%
Brave: 50%
Wall-E: 49%
Ratatouille: 44%
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Weekend Thread JW 54.2M, hits 500 | IO 52M | pg 99
in Numbers and Data
Posted
He's talking about the action films comparable to JW's Saturday increase.