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Posts posted by Filmovie
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What are you guys expecting to this? Can it make $180m+?
It can, maybe it won't but it certainly has a chance.
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I think it's safe to say that PP2 will be the biggest comedy of year, I'm so happy.
Pixels?
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Sorry, I already asked this before but failed to see if someone answered it. What is Pixar's biggest second weekend, TS III?
Yes, second is The Incredibles
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Expect a big drop in LC in Italy.
This won't make a lot more than 300 M WW (still a success, considering the budget)
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Not so good. I was expecting something in the 3.5-4 M range
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1) Will JW stay number one? NO
2) Will Ted open to more than 60 mill? NO
3) Will Max open to more than 10 mill? YES
4) Will Inside out finish in one of the top two spots? YES
5) Will JWs Sunday drop from Father's Day Sunday be more than 50%? YES
6) Will Inside Out make more than Ted on Saturday? YES
7) Will Spy drop more than 29%? YES
8) Will JW's WW gross be more than 1.2 billion dollars? YES
9) Will Ted have Thursday previews of more than 3.5 mill? YES
10) Will Tele still hate JW after this weekend? YES
11) Will Avengers drop more than 52%? NO
12) Will any film drop less than 20% for the weekend, that is playing in the top 12 and in more than 700 theaters. NO
13) Will any film increase more than 75% on Friday? YES
11/13 3000
12/13 5000
13/13 7000
What finishes in spots:
1 TED2
2 INSIDEOUT
3 JW
4 MAX
5 SPY
2000 each correct spot and 5000 bonus for all five right
Bonus 1: What does JW and TED combine to gross this weekend? 105,345 m
Bonus 2: What does IO and Spy combine to gross this weekend? 56,778 m
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No way Ted and Pixels miss 90 M dom. IMho it is more possible that Arnie misses 90 (still not probable).
The summer with the highest 15th movie total as far as I remember is 2011 (with 115 M)
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It's simple math: It made 190 M in the last 7 days. With 50% drop from now on it will add another 190 M.
Can't see it under 600 M
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1) Will Jurassic World fall less than 55%? Yes
2) Will JW have Thursday drop of more than 10%? Yes
3) Will JW increase more than 83% on Friday? Yes
4) Will Inside Out make more than 65 million? Yes
5) Will IO finish less than 17.5 million back of JW? No
6) Will Spy drop less than 35%? Yes
7) Will Pitch Perfect drop more than 30%? No
8) Will any film increase more than 83% on Friday? Yes
9) Will the top 10 films add up to more than 205 million? Yes
10) Will JW be at more than 800 million WW by Monday morning, meaning Sunday numbers count (only estimates will count). Yes
11) Will Dope have an increase on Saturday? Yes
12) Will JW and IO add up to more than 152 million? Yes
10/12 3000
11/12 4000
12/12 600
What finishes in spots
5 San Andreas
7 Insidious
9 Mad Max
12 Love nd mery
2000 each 3000 bonus for all spots correct
Bonus 1: What does JW make on Saturday? 41,133 M
Bonus 2: What does IO make on Friday? 23,567 M
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Deadline says 66,8 M Saturday
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Is DH2's 483 M WW debut going down?
Maybe...
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Friday numbers for JW are very impressive: it's June, the weather is hot and yesterday evening over 7M people were watching on tv the European Cup match Croatia-Italy. Also, it more than double the other 9 movies in top ten combined. Great WOM (over 70% on Twitter cinema tags) and probable long summer legs (see Maleficent last year) put JW in highlight for finally break the 20M or 3M adm milestone which, among the Hollywood blockbusters, is lacking since 2012, even if the average ticket price (7,33€) isn't so good and suggest a very low 3D share (usual ticket price are: 9/10€ 3D - 7/7,5€ 2D - 5/5,5€ children/students/over 65 year old/fidelity card).
No way JW goes over 20 M
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It would be good I guess
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1) Will Spy fall less than 44.8%? YES
2) Will any film in the top 12, playing in at least 1000 theaters, have a Friday increase of more than 88%? YES
3) Will San Andreas have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? YES
4) Will Entourage fall more than 2% on Thursday? YES
5) Will Insidious 3 fall less than 58%? NO
6) Will Mad Max make more than Entourage this weekend? YES
7) Will Pitch Perfect make more than MMFR this weekend NO
8) Will Poltergeist fall more than Aloha % wise? NO
9) Will Age of Ultron decrease more than 46%? YES
10) Will San Andreas gross more than 80 million WW this weekend? NO
11) Will Furious 7 drop more than 55%? YES
12) Will Spy gross more on Friday and Saturday than JW does for Thursday previews? NO
13) Will Spy increase more than 35% on Saturday? YES
14) Will the top 10 movies add up to more than 185 million? YES
15) Will Me and Earl and the Dying Girl have a theater average of more than $4000? YES
12/15 3000
13/15 5000
14/15 7000
15/15 15,000
What finishes in spots:
7 ULTRON
9 ENTOURAGE
10 LOVE AND MERCY
11 POLTERGEIST
2000 each and 3000 bonus for all four correct
Bonus 1: What will Jurassic World gross? 126,788 M
Bonus 2: What will Ex Machina, Hot Pursuit and Paul Blart combine to gross this weekend? 0,5234 M
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Question 5 can't be answered yet. We need another movie
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Will it hit 300M WW?
It won't go over 220-230 M WW.
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Wow. So San Andreas wont do all that much in China.
It's going to make about 75-80 M there; not bad at all
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1) Will Spy make more in it's OW than Entourage does in it's first five days? YES
2) What film will be number one this weekend? SPY
3) Will the top 3 films gross more than 90 million for the three day? YES
4) Will Insidious make more than 3 mill for previews? NO
5) Will Entourage drop more than 28% on Thursday? YES
6) Will Spy increase on Saturday? YES
7) Will San Andreas fall more than 55.2%?
8) Will Mad Max increase more than 93.4% on Friday? YES
9) Will Pitch Perfect 2 increase more than 35% on Saturday? YES
10) Will Tomorrowland have the best increase in the top 10 on Saturday? NO
11) Will Poltergeist stay in the top 10? YES
12) Will Spy make more than 2.5 mill for Thurs previews? yes
13) Will Avengers increase more than 105% on Friday? NO
14) Will San Andreas drop more than 5% on Thursday? YES
12/14 3000
13/14 5000
14/14 10,000
What finishes in spots:
1 SPY
2 SA
5 MM FR
7 PP2
9 ALOHA
2000 each and a bonus of 3000 if all spots are correct.
Bonus 1: What will Entourage make for the 5 day? 27,456 M
Bonus 2: What will Insidious make OW? 24,567 M
Bonus 3 What will MM and PP2 combine to make this weekend? 15,333
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Meh Teaser
Is it me or the animation looks cheap?
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ALOHA (1/50)
Filmovie - $90M
CURRENT TOTAL - $9.67M
Oh yeah!
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I switched San Andreas with Aloha for the 15th position in the DOM chart at the last minute
I am so proud of that. I'm totally fuc***.
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So (probably) San Andreas (114,6 M) and (surely) Tomorrowland (60 M) are out of the top 5 in the WW WE chart. (oh yeah)
When I made my prediction for JW I didn't know (noone did) that would have been released on 10th in China. I think it has an outside chance of topping Avenger's 359 M if it explodes there.
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Tomorrowland: 110 mill Abs
Poltergeist: 57 mill Less
Pitch Perfect 2: 177 mill Abs
Mad Max Fury Road: 140 mill Abs
AOU: 1.425 billion WW less
SOTM 6: The Mother of all Jurassic World SOTM question: DUE MON JUNE 29TH 1159PM
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
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