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Posts posted by Filmovie

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    2 new entries this week: 

     

    - DADT: Thur 114 K EU (260 K EU TOT - 325K $)

    - Magic in the Moonlight 108K EU; last year BJ debuted with 83K EU.

     

    Allen is very strong here; since Match Point:

    -Match Point 10,8M $

    -Scoop 5,6M $

    -Cassandra's dream 6,9M $

    -Vicky Cristina Barcelona 8,1M $

    -Whatever Works 7,4M $

    -You will meet a tall dark stranger 6,4M $

    -Midnight in Paris 11,0M $

    -To Rome with love 10,6M $

    -Blue Jasmine 5M $

     

    IS passed 12M $ today; Thur made -44% VS LW

     

    Mp1 is at 9,6M $; still running above in local currency but on par in $ (compared with CF)

     

    Penguins had -26% (85K EU - 107K $) vs Last Thursday; should make 2M $ WE (above 7M $ in tot)

    • Like 3

    Official Weekend Est: MJ1 56.9M Penguins 25.8m BH6 18.77m Interstellar 15.8M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Filmovie

    If Mp1 makes 84 M during 5D Thanksgiving it means it GOTG has won the year.

     

    NM 5D Thnkgv: 66,2M; Tot after Thnksgv: 230,9M; Tot Dom: 296,6M; Money made after Thnksg= 65,7M

    DH1 5D Thnkgv: 75,0M; Tot after Thnksgv: 219,1M; Tot Dom: 296,0M; Money made after Thnksg= 76,9M

    BD1 5D Thnksgv: 61,9M; Tot after Thnksgv: 220,8M; Tot Dom: 281,3M; Money made after Thnksg=60,5M

    BD2 5D Thnksgv: 64,4M; Tot after Thnksgv: 227,4M; Tom Dom: 292,3M; Money made after Thnksg=64,9M

    CF 5D Thnksgv: 109,9M; Tot after Thnksgv:296,3M; Tot Dom: 424,7M; Money made after Thnksg=128,4M (*1,16 5DThnkg)

     

    Mp1 5D Thnksgv: 84M (est.); Tot after Thnksgv: 227M (est); Tot Dom= 227+84*1=311M or Tot Dom=227+84*1,16=324M. 

     

    Mp1 311-324 range. I'll go with 315-320M

    • Like 1

    THURSDAY NUMBERS | 11.27.2014

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    From Deadline

     

    1). The Hunger Games (LGF), 4,151 theaters (0) / $24.4M Fri.  (-56% from first Friday)/ 3-day cume: $58.4M (-52%) / 5-day cume: $84M / Total cume: $227M/ Wk 2
     
    2). The Penguins Of Madagascar (FOX), 3,764 theaters  / $10.4M Fri. / 3-day cume: $26.2M/ 5-day cume: $36.4-$38M / Wk 1
     
    3). Big Hero 6 (DIS), 3,365 theaters (-285) / $7.75M Fri. / 3-day cume: $19.5M/ 5-day cume: $26.7M/ Total cume: $167.9M /Wk 4
     
    4). Interstellar (PAR), 3,066 theaters (-349) / $6.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $16.1M / 5-day cume: $22.3M/ Total cume: $162.4M / Wk 4
     
    5). Horrible Bosses 2 (WB), 3,375 theaters / $6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.3M/ 5-day cume: $22-23M / Wk 1 (includes Tuesday night previews)
     
    6). Dumb and Dumber To (UNI), 3,130 theaters (-58) / $3.4M Fri./3-day cume: $8.4M / 5-day cume:  $11.7M/ Total cume: $72.3M /Wk 3
     
    7). The Theory Of Everything (FOC), 802 theaters (+662) / $1.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.6M / 5-day cume: $5.9M/ Total cume: $9.1M / Wk 4
     
    8). Gone Girl (FOX), 1,174 theaters (-435) / $985K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.5M/ 5-day cume: $3.3M/ Total cume: $160.8M / Wk 9
     
    9). Beyond the Lights (REL), 1,187 theaters (-579)/ $790K Fri. / 3-day cume: $1.9M / 5-day cume: $2.4M / Total cume: $13.1M /Wk 3
     
    10). Birdman (FSL), 710 theaters (-152) / 704K Fri. /3-day cume: $1.8M/ 5-day cume: $2.4M  / Total cume: $17.2M /Wk 7
    • Like 2

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Filmovie

    MJ1 fell 72% compared to the OD. Yesterday it did $235k. CF fell 56% on its second weekend.

    Penguins of Madagascar opened yesterday with a mediocre $145k.

    Let's see how both movies do during the weekend. Though Thursday was not very promising...

     

    Well, in local currency CF made 156k during the 2nd Thur (while Mp1 has made 186k). In $ CF made 215K $ during 2nd Thur so the 235k$ of Mp1 is almost 10% stronger!

     

    Penguins will recover during Sat and Sun: 3mln EU (3,75M$) OW isn't impossible (so 4mln EU or 5M$ including last week previews).

     

    IS will be at 11.4-6 after this WE, 13M could be a stretch.

    • Like 2

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    It seems that our predictions are quite similar (Hobbit, Penguins and Il Ricco, Povero e il Maggiordomo are also my best bets). What do you think about "Il Ragazzo Invisibile"?

     

    I am skeptical. I've seen a trailer in cinema and it hasn't had a good reception by the audience; so it would say 5-7 mln at most. But I could be wrong, honestly I never thought it could have been a success.

    • Like 1

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Filmovie

    It seems at this point that 2014 could be the year with the lowest #1 grossing movie in more than a decade. No movies this year grossed more than 20M$ (or 15M€ if you want). The question is: new releases in last 4 week of the years will be able to do better than these in first 48? Look at this holidays predictions:

     

    27/nov/2014

    Penguins of Madagascar - Strong brand in Italy - over 20M$ 80%

     

    Ogni maledetto Natale - Local Comedy - over 20M$ 10%

     

    03/dec/2014

    Dumb and Dumber To  - Original movie is well know but made 20 years ago - 20M$ 10%

     

    04/dec/2014

    Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo - Local Comedy - over 20M$ 60%

     

    Ma tu di che segno 6? - Local Comedy - over 20M$ 30%

     

    17/dec/2014

    Lo Hobbit - Battle of five amies - Final chapter can give a boost - over 20M$ 90%

     

    18/dec/2014

    L'amore bugiardo - Gone Girl - Can be a surprise - over 20M$ 20%

     

    Il ragazzo invisibile - Rare local "superhero" movie by former oscar winner Gabriele Salvatores, totally umpredictable. - over 20M$ from 0 to 100%

     

    Big Hero 6 - A bit disappointing like Wreck-it Ralph or super-successiful like Frozen? I think in a middle heart - over 20M$ 50%

     

    Un Natale stupefacente - Local Comedy - over 20M$ 60%

     

    I think you're a little optimistic about the chances of some. I think only 3 movies have a real shot at 15-16 mln EU (20M$): Hobbit, Penguins and Ricco, Povero e il Maggiordomo.

     

    Christmas 2012 (all in EU)

    - Hobbit 16,4 mln

    - Colpi di fulmine 10,0 mln (Local film)

    - I due soliti idioti 8,7 mln (Local film)

    - Tutto tutto, niente niente 8,6 mln (Local film)

    - Life of Pi 8,4 mln

    - Wreck it Ralph 6,7 mln.

     

    Christmas 2013 (all in EU)

    - Frozen 19,4 mln

    - Hobbit 2 12,8 mln

    - Colpi di fortuna 11,0 mln  (Local film)

    - Un fantastico via vai 9,1 mln  (Local film)

    - Indovina chi viene a Natale 7,4 mln  (Local film)

    - Walter Mitty 6,0 mln

     

    Excluding italian phenomenons like Zalone and Benvenuti al Nord, the last italian comedies to cross 15 mln EU were released in January 2011 and the last italian comedy released during Christmas to cross 15 mln EU was released in Dec. 2010.

     

    Only "Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo" has a real chance (the main actors have an impressive track record: their movies made 17 mln in 1997, 23 mln in 1998, 29 mln in 2000, 23 mln in 2002, 16 mln in 2004, 13 mln in 2008, 22 mln in 2010. All datas are in euros).

    Others local titles will all stay in the 6-12 Mln EU range.

     

    Gone Girl will do well but crossing 8-10 mln EU would be really a very big success.

     

    IMHO BH6 will perform more similar to WIR than Frozen.

     

    It's improbable for DADT to make 15M EU, very very improbable. More than 8 would already be fantastic.

     

    I hope I am wrong and you're right BTW ;)

    • Like 3

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Best OW since Oct 2012 (since when movies open on Thur), datas in Euro.

     

    1. Sole a Catinelle 18,61 mln

    2. Breaking Dawn – Parte 2 8.28 mln

    3. Iron Man 3 6.94 mln

    4. The Hangover 3 6.12 mln

    5. Fast and furious 6 5.72 mln

    6. Skyfall 5.49 mln

    7. Despicable me 2 5.16 mln

    8. Maleficient 4,31 mln

    9. Hunger Games – Mockingjay parte 1 4,28 mln

    10. Lo Hobbit – An unexpected journey 4.28 mln

    11. Sotto una buona stella 4,25 mln

    12. Il principe abusivo 4.20 mln

    13. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 3,96 mln

    14. Un boss in Salotto 3,94 mln

    15. The Wolf of Wall Street 3,81 mln

    16. Hunger Games : Catching Fire 3,71 mln

    17. Thor 2: The Dark World 3.66 mln

    18. Lo Hobbit – The Desolation of Smaug 3,62 mln

    19. Django Unchained 3.45 mln

    20. The Croods 3.00 mln

     

    CF 5days 4,36 mln EU ; MJp1 4days 4,28 mln EU.

     

     

    IS -50% vs LW. It has made 1,55 mln $ and its total is 10,3$M! 13$M here we go!

     

    Penguins made 1,3$M in 2 days. We will see next week what does it mean.

    • Like 4

    Weekend Numbers THG: 123, BH6 20.1, IS 15.1 pg 205

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I would expect at least OW and Thanksgiving datas before speaking of disappointment. Last Year CF had a disappointing Friday, a great Saturday and a great 5-days Thanksgiving; we'll se.

     

    1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2: $43.5 million (47.7 percent)

    2. The Dark Knight Rises: $30.6 million (40.4 percent)

    3. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 30.4 mln

    4. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1: $30.25 million (42.2 percent)

    5. The Twiilght Saga: Eclipse: $30.1 million (43.9 percent)

    6. The Twilight Saga: New Moon: $26.27 million (36.1 percent)

    7. The Hunger Games – Catching Fire $25.26 million

    8. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1: $24 million (38.9 percent)

    9. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $22.8 million (39.2 percent)

    10. The Hunger Games: $19.735 million (29.3 percent)

    11. Marvel's The Avengers: $18.7 million (23.1 percent)

    12. The Dark Knight: $18.5 million (27.5 percent)

    13. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay part 1 $17 mln

    14. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith: $16.9 million (33.8 percent)

    15. Transformers : Revenge of the Fallen: $16.8 million (27.1 percent)

    16. Iron Man 3 15.6 mln

    17. Transformers : Dark of the Moon: $13,5 million

    18. The Hobbit – Un unexpected journey 13 mln

    19. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix: $12 million (27.1 percent)

    20. Guardians of The Galaxy 11.2 mln

    21. The Hangover Part II: $10.4 million (32.9 percent)

    22. Captain America 2 10.2 mln

    23. Spider-Man 3: $10 million (16.7 percent)

    24. Godzilla 9.3 mln

    25. Man of Steel 9 mln

    26. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: $9 million (16.1 percent)

    27. The Hobbit – The desolation of Smaug 8.8 mln

    28. Transformers 8.8 mln

    29. Transformers: Age of Extinction 8,75 mln

    30. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 8.7 mln

    • Like 1

    Penguins of Madagascar OS Thread

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Since Madagascar trilogy was a monster hit in Italy (it has an average of 30$M: yes, more that TLOFTR, HP, POTC, SHREK, ICE AGE), I expect Penguins to be a good success here.

     

    On Sat 22 and on Sun 23 there are "national premiere": it opens in 350screens (a good number here) and than it opens wide on Nov 27.

    • Like 1
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