Bluebomb
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I forgot that today is Buddha's Birthday. It's a general holiday but not a statutory one. It might have a slight effect on the admissions today but Saturday is usually the busiest day for 3D films regardless so these admissions aren't really a byproduct of the holiday in my opinion.
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The Amazing Spider-Man OS Thread (413M)
Bluebomb replied to Fake's topic in International Box Office
AsiaChina - 200mJapan - 80-100mSouth Korea - 55mIndia - 25-30mTaiwan - 15mHong Kong - 12mPhilippines - 11mSingapore - 9-10mMalaysia - 9-10mIndonesia - 9-10mThailand - 9-10mThese are optimistic predictions. -
Yeah, golden age is gone but I actually think the HK film market is coming back. This year is on track to being a lot bigger than last year. It's already close to beating last year's numbers in only 4 months.Combine that with big increases for Hollywood movies and I think this year will outgross last year by a lot.
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Never underestimate SentryTrans' predictions. :DPossible 6m 6 day opening?
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Not yet in my opinion. But 9m looks locked now. I wonder what Spider-Man will do this summer if The Avengers can open to this number. Crazy.
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General rule of thumb is China makes 10-20x more than HK for most movies.
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Philippines 2 day total. Germany only 1 day. But I agree with you on the trend. Philippines is getting competitive.
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Yes.1 PM UpdateThe Avengers (3D) has just crossed 100,000 admissions. This is even faster than when Transformers 3's opening Friday broke it which was a holiday as well. The Avengers will have the new single day record, taking over from Transformers 3.
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I'm very sure. Less than 5% speak English as their first language. 32% speak English as a second language.English enjoys a higher status but most people are not willing to learn. I recall that students' grades in English have been getting worse in exams.
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LOL. Not true at all. Not even one third of the population speaks English. The Dark Knight did exceptionally well in HK partially because they filmed some scenes there.
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Actually it could.Sunday might be slightly inflated due to people taking Monday off so that they have a 4-day holiday weekend.I think The Avengers is going to break the single day record on Saturday. We'll have to see how far it drops on Sunday.
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I think it will pass IM2 on Sat/Sun in South Korea. All signs point to it being a weekend movie.
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8m. Maybe 8.5m.I think Dark Shadows is going to be a big movie (it's already started pre-selling) so I expect The Avengers to have a terrible 3rd weekend hold. Then you got Men in Black and Snow White which should finish The Avengers off.
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The Avengers might be doing better than normal because of the lackluster weather we have this weekend. Forecast throughout this week has been rain all the way through so I'm sure quite a few people went inside for a 2 1/2 hour breather.
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$4,302,758
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Excellent for The Avengers. As expected, it will pass 1.5m in 2 days. Friday estimate for The Avengers is $820,000. 3D share - 97.4% 2D share - 2.6% This beats Harry Potter 7-2's opening Saturday pre-sales and Transformers 3's as well. Keep in mind that Transformers 3 already had a Friday holiday to take care of demand. This will be tricky to predict but I'll say it will hit 130,000 admissions today. Either way, this is beating the OW of the finale of Harry Potter. It could also take down Transformers 3's 4-day OW but this looks to be an outside chance for now.
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Now this was awesome! I loved how they integrated all the supporting characters.
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The Avengers will increase on Friday. Expected Friday total will amount to over $800,000. 2-day total stands at over 1.5m.____________________________________Lockout is getting advanced screenings on Labour Day (May 1). No word if other upcoming movies are also doing this special engagement.
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Yes, although I suspect most will take it off anyway. I put it at 75% chance of beating TDK for now. One thing that didn't work well for other superhero movies is their bad legs. Transformers 3's first 8 days made about 60% of the business. Since The Avengers is a bigger movie than its superhero counterparts, it might finish with less than a 2 multiplier after its first 6 days. If The Avengers makes 3.6m OW then another $900,000 Mon and Tuesday and it ends up to be 60% of its final gross, The Avengers will end up with 7.5m missing TDK by less than $50,000. Very impressive for The Avengers even though it misses out on the non-holiday record. It'll make 3.6-4m for the weekend. Everything in the top 5 fell hard. Extremely good for Sunny. I'm quite surprised at how well it's been doing. Nice hold for The Hunger Games. I expected a bigger drop. OK for A Simple Life. Average for A Dangerous Method. Mirror Mirror had another huge dive. *Bolded number is the leader for that row Here are the # of Opening Saturday showings for five big movies in the past few years. The Avengers leads the showtime count at most theaters and when its showtime is lower than other movies, it has only been by one showtime. Although not listed, The Grand Cinema even notched 40 showtimes for The Avengers on Saturday. :noway:
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At 6 PM, The Avengers is currently sitting with 60,000 admissions in 3D. Add in the 5,000 admissions from Wednesday midnights and it is sitting at 65,000 admissions right now. With 6 hours to go, The Avengers will likely beat my 75,000 admissions prediction. I think it has a shot of beating Transformers Tuesday + Wednesday admissions. Harry Potter's OD admissions broke 100,000 but I don't think The Avengers will get there. One thing that The Avengers has over Harry Potter is higher ticket prices. It's not as expensive as Transformers 3 but slightly more than Harry Potter 7-2. ________________________________________________ 2 weeks away from release, pre-selling for Dark Shadows has taken place at most theaters. 1m+ OW expected? This kind of baffles me to be honest. The Johnny Depp/Tim Burton collaboration isn't a driving force in HK but to get pre-selling at many locations this early screams very big hit. This might put a dent in The Avengers' legs. We will see. Avengers slowed down a lot at night but it was still a monstrous opening day. If you add on the 5,000 from midnights, The Avengers 3D began with more than 70,000 admissions on Thursday. Avengers comes in a little behind Transformers 3's opening day admissions and pretty far away from Harry Potter 7-2's opening day admissions. 3D share - 96.98% 2D share - 3.02% Battleship held up well. The drop is great considering that Wednesday previews were rolled into Battleship's opening weekend gross. Good battle between Titanic and 407 Dark Flight. Titanic's 3D prices came out on top of 407 Dark Flight. Love in the Buff bounced back after a heavy drop 2 weeks ago. Good hold for The Hunger Games. Overall, it has done quite well since its slower start. Mirror Mirror continues to sag. Impressive increase for A Simple Life. It may still come out on top of Love in the Buff. Weak for Machine Gun Preacher. Excellent for Sunny. OK for A Dangerous Method.
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Well, Iron Man 2 made more there than in HK. Also, recent movies like Battleship and The Hunger Games have performed better and grossed more in Singapore.I wouldn't be surprised to see it gross around 8m. Conservative prediction, about 6m.
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Still being underreported. It'll be #2 this weekend.
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Opening weekend, yes. Opening week (Thu-Wed) should be around $33-35m HK.The Avengers poll results2.5-2.99m - 1 vote3-3.49m - 2 votes5-5.49m - 1 vote5.5-5.99m - 1 vote6-6.49m - 1 vote7-7.49m - 1 vote>10m - 1 vote
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Some other comparisons using Avengers' 3D opening day pre-sales +125.5% from Thor's opening day +43.8% from X-Men: First Class' opening day +207.1% from Green Lantern's opening day +77.9% from Captain America's opening day It's AMAZING. No, Harry Potter started with over 62,000 admissions on opening day pre-sales and it opened to 3.6m.
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Up 44% from Iron Man 2's opening day pre-sales. It means that Saturday and Sunday will go over 100,000 admissions each. Now it's looking like it will come somewhere between 3-3.5m for OW.