GiantCALBears
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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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9 minutes ago, terrestrial said:
I am guessing some people were not in the cinemas
First half of the Bama Washington game was close throughout, numbers appear to be bouncing back a bit from last year.
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9 minutes ago, narniadis said:
Its always a possibility - Ticket sales will decline though even if 17 can squeak an $ win.
Will ticket price inflation slow down or stop in 2017? I think there is evidence to suggest we are hitting a peak on prices. Always an easy boost towards setting records year after year.
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I love how he says I'm wrong yet he really doesn't know much about the CFP at all. Lol B.
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3 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:
Well in my opinion you're wrong. Was it any different back in 2011? Arent all college football games on Saturday? New Year's Eve already kills movies as it is. So I guess we'll just have to wait until tomorrow and find out what the percentage drops are. I'm pretty sure they're going to be exactly what they were in 2011.
It is different lol this is only the second year the playoff has been on NYE. The games are earlier in the day compared to last year which should affect traffic even more given people are likely to go to the movies earlier in the day on NYE.
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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:
second harshest drop from R1 from last friday among top 12!!! but who cares??!!
It's had a good but not great number yesterday. Probably puts any shot at $600m out of reach.
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2 hours ago, Christmas Baumer said:
I don't think any college games on Friday affected anything for R1.....in fact, I don't think the Bowl games will hurt anything today any more than usual. Today is NYE....that's enough to see drops in all films.
These games will draw 20m each on a day that is already supposed to be weak, it will have an effect. How noticeable is up for debate but I disagree completely it's business as normal etc.
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Sing wow! Amazing legs this film is having already although it should cool off quite a bit starting Monday.
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16 minutes ago, That One Guy said:
I have...when I was 12, before I became a massive cinema buff that I am today. Now that I know a lot more about the industry, I stay the fuck away. Pirating movies a few years ago is one of the biggest mistakes I've made in my life.
Don't be too hard on yourself. This is a side effect from a free information flow that is up to the various industries (in this case movies) themselves to correct and in fairness I think their technologies to protect their content have improved. Still doesn't change that we are in the first few innings of this transition. Napster has been transformed into so many different services that law enforcement is overwhelmed in their efforts to catch up.
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Just now, tribefan695 said:
If they ever did an appearance on a talk show they probably do.
Obviously it's not an exhaustive count, just trying to show that this year really isn't anything out of the ordinary. We certainly had some brutal losses the last few years as well.
It is true people die all the time, no one can or would really dispute that. It seems like the world has taken a step back in a lot of ways this year so it could be making the pain even a bit deeper.
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50 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:
I know I'm an incredibly morbid person for looking this up but this is the current IMDB death count for the past 10 years
2015 - 4064
2012 - 3917
2014 - 3793
2011 - 3780
2013 - 3764
2010 - 3676
2016 - 3645
2009 - 3574
2008 - 3527
2007 - 3283
It's actually not looking so bad with three days left
Quality over quantity imo not to mention does every singer now have IMDB pages? I don't think so.
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She was unique, it's a cliche to say sometimes but in this case its no question... there will never be another Carrie Fisher.
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4 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:
I'm gonna guess 22m or so today for RO. Could drop less due to cheap Tuesday exploding/demand from yesterday not being burned off.
I think WOM has actually improved as we've gone from OW. Wasn't expecting that in my original thesis.
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10 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:
I think we all feel a great disturbance in the force. It's as if millions of voices cried out in Terror and then were suddenly silenced. Rip Carrie Fisher
She and Alec Guinness get to laugh about what a huge joke they thought the films were.
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2 minutes ago, terrestrial said:
Holiday after X-Mas at weekend Monday = agree, but as Baumer said, a bit dangerous to be overexcited about (if I remember it right)
It is the how extreme fantastic...
Yeah it was predicted by a few of our members, today will drop decently due to work getting a little more back to normal but it will still probably be a great hold given the circumstances.
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Above $32m Monday is fantastic for R1, expecting another massive day today.
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Maybe I'll take my Dad to see it today, definitely more eager given the news.
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I do think we are going to see much lower drop today than was expected for R1 which isn't making a big prediction but a pretty logical conclusion. Will be a way for the fanbase to mourn.
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2 minutes ago, wildphantom said:
I wasn't aiming it at everyone. To some here it's the only thing they've had to say.
Each to their own.
There is also a thread in general topics just so you are aware some of us are splitting our thoughts.
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1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:
I won't discount higher predicts for Ep 8. It's SW, anything can happen. Just please don't go around saying what a disappointing gross 675m is should it "only" make that much.
Disappointment is all relative man, you've been around enough to understand how that cycle works.
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1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:
Oh ok. Don't thinks that's too bad of a drop honestly. But I wasn't one to freak out over AOU's drop from Avengers.
I wasn't singling you out man, I'm clearly frustrated with these $300m/$1b domestic takes. You aren't anywhere near there so I totally respect your points.
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1 minute ago, DamienRoc said:
VIII has a realistic shot at a billion, now.
No it doesn't lol.
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1 minute ago, fracfar said:
I don't know if her passing will have that much of an effect on BO... I feel like TFA is peak BO
The difference btwn the deaths of Walker and Fisher is F&F went from average hype to peak hype. Newer moviegoers that didn't really watch the franchise were compelled to see it.
TFA already had such hype in the leadup to the release, b/c it was the first release in a decade. Combine that w/the original cast & critical acclaim, which led to it becoming a roaring success.
There will be a beautiful tribute in Ep. VIII, but that won't bring in newer people
Thanks for making my point better than I could man. A bit frustrated with these EP8 OW hot takes on Fisher's death.
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You guys saying $300m OW is a possibility need to lay off the peyote. I'll bet you whatever $ and give odds as we get closer. It undermines how crazy TFA was even as a SW film.
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1 minute ago, Jayhawk said:
Like how low do you think it will go? I think mid-600s is pretty much the floor. Still not thinking 800m+, but that could happen if it really connects with the GA.
I'll go with $650- $700m? Still a $200m+ decline from TFA.
Weekend Thread (Dec-30-Jan 2nd) 3/4-day #s R1 49.5m/64.3m, Sing 42.8m/56.4m, Pass 16.15m/20.7m, Moana 10.97m/14.3m, WH 10.6m/13m, Fences 10m/12.7m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Moana somewhere in the $4m range everyday this week. Certainly don't see that consistency very often with the way the week is usually structured. Holidays are a whole different beast.