GiantCALBears
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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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Here are you Oscars odds from PredictWise & Gold Derby. Truth is there aren't a lot of close races this year...
http://predictwise.com/entertainment/2017-oscars
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Obviously @CJohn had to create this thread, he's such an Oscars slut.
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The golden globes would obviously be key in the best comedy/musical category like @Jayhawk mentioned.
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Just now, ban1o said:
lol I meant like there's no way it's happening lmao.
Why not? There are only so many good movies in a year. It's pretty rare to get this level of support off the bat. If it is a breakout BO hit then there is a chance, that's all we are saying.
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Again guys it went from impossible to a discussion. That's the point.
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2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:
i dunno about oscars. feels like people talking about john goodman getting an oscar nomination for 10cl early last year.
This is going to have a much bigger cultural impact than 10CL from what I'm hearing & that was one of my favorite movies from last year.
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Just now, Jayhawk said:
Yeah, your post about the Globes set that off. Can't think there will be many Musical/Comedies that will be as good/buzzy as this. And it doesn't really stretch the "comedy" label too much. Certainly not as much as other movies have in the past.
Exactly and Peele is a great story in a first time effort. It's intriguing don't you think?
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Just now, Jayhawk said:
What could help it is it getting some Globe noms under the Comedy category.
Dude you are onto something, GG next year could really get it back in the discussion.
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Just now, ban1o said:
A horror film released in February....
Insane right? How often do you see 100% on RT? In fairness Toy Story 2/Man on Wire didn't but they did win a Golden Globe pre animated category/Best documentary.
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Just now, Jayhawk said:
It's got an uphill battle. We have so long until the Oscar race begins for next year, and this is a genre film as well. But I suppose it's possible.
Of course, I'm saying it went from impossible to there is a mathematical chance. Tough that it does have that huge gap between the next cycle.
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A lot of celebrities are commenting on how much they love it as well...
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Could this really get a BP nomination next year? It would've seemed insane before but there maybe a chance now given how much all the critics love it.
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Pink beat Chewy? I can live with that. Hopefully Coolio and Tele tied for worst.
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Why is pokemon a tag on this film?
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This is nice work man, thanks! I'd like to see this play out a bit longer term but a correlation is obviously there.
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3 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:
It's gonna make a fuckton of $. Not super convinced it's gonna go over $500m DOM, but I don't think that would matter too much. The Asian #s are gonna be insane.
That's the key, it's going to do a ton overseas (less profits for FOX if its skewed more international). How much vs the other big names we've seen?
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You remember when Terminator the original came out @Telemachos? I ask because obviously I wasn't old enough...
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Just now, Telemachos said:
Cameron certainly does what he wants when he's away from filmmaking. But he's always been really dedicated and focused when he's actually bothering to make movies. We don't know anything about A2's quality, but whatever issues it has, they won't be from Cameron slacking off or fucking around.
I guess my point is he really thinks he can do it again taking a long break and that people will care when he comes back. I'm not so sure it will happen again, he's worked hard but also been very fortunate in his career.
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6 minutes ago, vc2002 said:
It would have to really be at SUCK DONKEY BALLS level to make less than that. Dont see it happen unless Cameron is spending all these fucking years just fooling around.
This is a guy who went down to the Challenger Deep just because he felt like it. Yeah I'd say it's possible he's fucking around.
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6 minutes ago, Telemachos said:
You guys are young, you've never witnessed the full fire-power of a fully armed and operational Cameron Sequel.
Judgement Day had Arnold in his prime, Avatar 2 has Sam Worthington. Enough said.
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Just now, AABATTERY said:
He was the guy in Hacksaw Ridge.
He's this guy! I remember now!
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3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
Soon to be the second highest grossing actor of all time, behind Zoe Saldana.
2009 was a lifetime ago. No one knows who da Fuq he is.
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On 2/14/2017 at 11:21 AM, IronJimbo said:
Who is Sam Worthington?
The Oscars 2017 on ABC | 89th Academy Awards | Discuss It Live Here | Super Sale to Honor the Steve Harvey moment! (p124)
in And The Winner Is...
Posted
Closest of the main 24 categories appear to be Best Actor (Affleck a slight fav over Washington), Documentary Short (Extremis & The White Helmet co-favs with Joe's Violin close behind), Foreign Language (Iran's The Salesman has a small lead over Germany's Toni Erdmann), Live Action Short (Ennemis Entreniers has the lead but still Timecode or Sing are reasonable second/third options to steal the win), & Costume Design (La La Land has a tiny lead over Jackie).
The rest all have a firm leader that would be an upset to see someone else win.