Infernus Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 19 minutes ago, Filmovie said: Yes I know, SW is the most important movie of the Game: but can we value someone's "BoxOffice Skills" by the ability to predict one movie that has trascended all BoxOffice rules? Nevermind, mine wasn't a critique A certain major aspect of 'boxoffice skiils' can be very well portrayed and valued through predicting Star Wars too, in fact seldom does a case comes along where that skill is put to use as much as in this one. Its true that applying knowledge of past behavior of similar movies of similar times and that of the current market trends to a movie's run makes up the very basic essence of box office predicting (more correctly extrapolating) but another irrefutable truth of the matter is that each movie's run is, as a whole, unique. Present trends and available past data have to be applied but in a filtered manner, specifically bending them around and modifying them before applying them, to suit the ways of that particular movie's run as we began to understand more and more about it(s run). Mostly though that doesn't play enough of a major role for most movies tend to follow the 'trends' and the 'box office rules'. But here we have a film, a major one, once again defying those trends and rules and displaying a particularly surprising, amazing, memorable, bewildering run as the likes of Avatar or MBFGW. Actually its nowhere close to them but the run is still pretty rule defying and amazing for being a hitherto unseen mixture of a Mega-summer-blockbuster and something like Avatar. Anyways, we will have two weeks/three weekends of data to work on, understand and extract a generalization from by the deadline. To be seen is how well one can do that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeKaye42 Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? Yes 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? Yes 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? Yes (llifesaver) 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015? Yes 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? Yes 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? Yes 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? Yes (Cut Short) 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? 0 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? 4 32000 Will Star Wars gross more than $1B? No 40000 Will Star Wars' 2016 winter Game gross be closer to Empires' total gross (290M), A new Hope's ($461M), or Jedi's ($309M) Jedi 50000 Will Star Wars gross more in China or the USA over the duration of its Chinese release? void 60000 Will Star Wars enter the top 5 on the all time list adjusted for Inflation ($1.13B)? Yes 80000 Will Star Wars have a weekend gross increase in 2016 by the end of the game? No 100000 Will Star Wars pass Titanic's Worldwide total by the end of the game? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 I am going to give you a list of questions, all with 2-4 possible answers. You must start at question 1 and work down from there, no picking or choosing. You can stop answering whenever you like There are lifelines (I'll get to those later) 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? YES 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? YES 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? YES 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015? NO 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? YES 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? NO 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? YES 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? TWO - CUT SHORT 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? ONE 32000 Will Star Wars gross more than $1B? NO - VOID 40000 Will Star Wars' 2016 winter Game gross be closer to Empires' total gross (290M), A new Hope's ($461M), or Jedi's ($309M) JEDI 50000 Will Star Wars gross more in China or the USA over the duration of its Chinese release? USA 60000 Will Star Wars enter the top 5 on the all time list adjusted for Inflation ($1.13B)? 80000 Will Star Wars have a weekend gross increase in 2016 by the end of the game? 100000 Will Star Wars pass Titanic's Worldwide total by the end of the game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 (edited) 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? *YES* 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? *YES* 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? *YES* 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015? *NO* 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? *YES* 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? *NO* 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? *YES* 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? *VOID* 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? *Two* - Life Saver 32000 Will Star Wars gross more than $1B? *NO* - Cut Short 40000 Will Star Wars' 2016 winter Game gross be closer to Empires' total gross (290M), A new Hope's ($461M), or Jedi's ($309M) - *EMPIRE* 50000 Will Star Wars gross more in China or the USA over the duration of its Chinese release? 60000 Will Star Wars enter the top 5 on the all time list adjusted for Inflation ($1.13B)? 80000 Will Star Wars have a weekend gross increase in 2016 by the end of the game? 100000 Will Star Wars pass Titanic's Worldwide total by the end of the game? Edited January 3, 2016 by Wrath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcf26 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? YES 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? YES 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? YES 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015?NO 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? YES 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? YES (void) 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? YES 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? 32000 Will Star Wars gross more than $1B? 40000 Will Star Wars' 2016 winter Game gross be closer to Empires' total gross (290M), A new Hope's ($461M), or Jedi's ($309M) 50000 Will Star Wars gross more in China or the USA over the duration of its Chinese release? 60000 Will Star Wars enter the top 5 on the all time list adjusted for Inflation ($1.13B)? 80000 Will Star Wars have a weekend gross increase in 2016 by the end of the game? 100000 Will Star Wars pass Titanic's Worldwide total by the end of the game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 (edited) 01000 Y 02000 Y 04000 Y 07000 N 10000 Y 16000 N 20000 Y 24000 (VOID) 28000 ONE (LIFE SAVER) 32000 N (CUT SHORT) 40000 RETURN OF THE JEDI 50000 USA Edited January 3, 2016 by kayumanggi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkelf Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? YES 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? YES 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? YES 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015? NO 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? YES 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? NO CUT SHORT 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? YES 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? VOID 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? ONE LIFESAVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Exxdee Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 (edited) 1000 Will Star Wars outgross The Avengers? Yes 2000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic? Yes 4000 Will Star Wars outgross Avatar? Yes 7000 Will Star Wars outgross Titanic before the end of 2015? Yes 10000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film in January? Yes 16000 Will Star Wars be the highest grossing film from February 1st to the end of the game? No CUT SHORT 20000 Will Star Wars gross more than $875M? Yes 24000 How many new releases on January 15th will have a larger weekend gross than Star Wars? 1 LIFESAVER 28000 How many weekends in January (excluding New Years W/E) will Star Wars be Number 1? 1 W/E 32000 Will Star Wars gross more than $1B? VOID Edited January 4, 2016 by Exxdee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...