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BOT User Tracking 3/4-6 London has Fallen, WTF, Zootopia

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No pithy banter. None.


As usual, I went through the various predicts (17 for everything) and here's what we ended up with:


London has Fallen

Mean: 16.2M

Median: 16.0M

StnDev: 3.72M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 23.00%

High: 22.8M

Low: 10M


BO.com 21M

Deadline 21M   

MovieWeb 22M

ShowBuzzDaily 22.5M

Variety 23M



Whiskey Tango Foxtrot

Mean: 8.3M

Median: 8.0M

StnDev: 1.72M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 20.61%

High: 12.1M

Low: 6.2M


BO.com 8.3M

Deadline 11M   

MovieWeb 10M

ShowBuzzDaily 8.5M

Variety 8M



Mean: 77.7M

Median: 80.0M

StnDev: 13.76M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 17.71%

High: 103.5M

Low: 45M


BO.com 71M

Deadline 65M   

MovieWeb 63M

ShowBuzzDaily 67M

Variety 67M

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Boom. Another good week.


London Has Fallen

Prediction: 16.2M +/- 3.72M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 21.6M (off by 5.4M, so 1.45 stndev)

Our worst predict in three weeks, and everyone else nailed it, too. Well, can't win 'em all. DAJK had the best predict at 21.2M


Whiskey Tango Foxtrot

Prediction: 8.3M +/- 1.72M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 7.4M (off by 0.9M, so 0.55 stndev)

That's more like it! Good predict! Ok, not great, but certainly good and almost, but not quite, very good... Ok, I'll stop copy-pasting answers as soon as we stop getting virtually identical prediction results in each spot from the prior week. Tied for second best predict, behind only Variety, this time. Our best predict was 7.4M from Panamovie, though babz06's 7.5M predict was achingly close (not that I'm counting, but a guess of 7.485M would have won it for babz06. Maybe next time).



Prediction: 77.7M +/- 13.76M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 75.1M (off by 2.6M, so 0.19 stndev)

Darn good predict! That's excellent territory, and we had comfortably the best predict of the pack. Shockingly, none of us actually predicted a nice, round 75M, so DAJK wins again with a 73M predict, narrowly beating a few folks who predicted 78M.

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