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Winter Game 2018-19 preseason tracking

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I'll do my best to keep this updated as the game goes on, but no promises. Actually, I'm revising this. I'm not going to do colors at all. I'm just going to note where the current total is roughly once/week on each list.

 

Please check your numbers over and let me know if I've made any mistakes.

 

Domestic Total Tracking

If less than 10 players successfully predict a film to finish in the top 15, those players will score a 50,000 point bonus.
If less than 5 players successfully predict a film to finish in the top 15, those players will score a 75,000 point bonus.
If 1 solitary player successfully predicts a film to finish in the top 15, that players will score a 150,000 point bonus.

 

Call a film’s gross to within 2 million to get 30,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 5 million to get 25,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 20,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 20 million to get 15,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 30 million to get 10,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 40 million to get 5000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 50 million to get no bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 50.01-80 million lose 10,000 points and lose 1,000 points for every subsequent 10M you are away.

 

* Denotes a backup film for the user

 

Bohemian Rhapsody (17/18)

Current Gross: 211M

Spoiler

 

PANDA 215

CURRENT TOTAL - 211

JJ-8 201

Simionski 185

WrathOfHan 170

PanaMovie 163.2

bcf26 160

glassfairy 152

Sheikh 150

aabattery 146.969

Fancyarcher 140

Tele 138

Mike Hunt 135

kayumanggi 135

Kalo 130

Chasmmi 117.5

BobDole 115

Wrath 114

 

 

Nutcracker (8/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 55M

Spoiler

 

Kalo 87

bcf26 84

BobDole 83

Wrath 77

kayumanggi 75

glassfairy 70*

Mike Hunt 70

Sheikh 61.425

 

 

Grinch (18/18)

Current Gross: 271M

Spoiler

 

PANDA 322

Mike Hunt 300

Kalo 280

bcf26 280

BobDole 275

CURRENT TOTAL - 271

JJ-8 262.4

kayumanggi 250

Tele 245

Fancyarcher 242

Simionski 240

PanaMovie 232.4

ZeeSoh 230

Sheikh 220.5

Wrath 220

WrathOfHan 195

aabattery 186.9

Chasmmi 181

glassfairy 168

 

 

Overlord (0/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 22M

Spoiler

 

Tele 67M*

 

Fantastic Beasts (18/18)

Current Gross: 159M

Spoiler

 

JJ-8 291.2

bcf26 250

Mike Hunt 245

kayumanggi 240

Kalo 237

Fancyarcher 235

ZeeSoh 235

PanaMovie 234.1

Chasmmi 227

aabattery 226.9

Tele 225

Sheikh 220

glassfairy 218

BobDole 215

Wrath 210

WrathOfHan 202

Simionski 200

PANDA 200

CURRENT TOTAL - 159

 

 

Widows (11/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 42M

Spoiler

 

WrathOfHan 105

Fancyarcher 95

Tele 90

PanaMovie 88.3

Kalo 88

PANDA 75

aabattery 70.69

Simionski 70*

Sheikh 68.4

Wrath 66

Mike Hunt 65

ZeeSoh 65

 

 

Instant Family (1/18 + 2 backups)

Current Gross: 67M

 

Spoiler

 

Simionski 75

Kalo 75*

CURRENT TOTAL - 67

WrathOfHan 60*

 

Green Book (6/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 62M

Spoiler

 

Fancyarcher 101

aabattery 100.69

PanaMovie 86

kayumanggi 85

BobDole 80

Simionski 70

CURRENT TOTAL - 62

Wrath 57*

 

 

Creed 2 (18/18)

Current Gross: 116M

Spoiler

 

aabattery 126.9

WrathOfHan 125

ZeeSoh 125

glassfairy 123

PANDA 120

Tele 118

CURRENT TOTAL - 116

Sheikh 115.2

Simionski 115

Mike Hunt 105

FancyArcher 105

kaymanggi 105

Chasmmi 104

BobDole 100

PanaMovie 99.1

JJ-8 97.3

Kalo 95

Wrath 90

bcf26 82

 

Ralph 2 (18/18)

Current Gross: 198M

Spoiler

 

glassfairy 273

Simionski 250

PANDA 231

JJ-8 230.3

WrathOfHan 230

kayumanggi 225

Chasmmi 222

Sheikh 220

ZeeSoh 220

BobDole 216

Fancyarcher 215

Wrath 212

Kalo 210

Mike Hunt 210

aabattery 206.9

PanaMovie 205.7

CURRENT TOTAL - 198

bcf26 190

Tele 160

 

Mortal Engines (10/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 16M

Spoiler

glassfairy 105

JJ-8 100.6

BobDole 99

Tele 95

bcf26 90

Chasmmi 78

Mike Hunt 75

ZeeSoh 75

PanaMovie 73.3

kayumanggi 70

Sheikh 58*

 

The Mule (12/18)

Current Gross: 103M

Spoiler

 

bcf26 115

CURRENT TOTAL - 103

kayumanggi 95

BobDole 90

PANDA 90

aabattery 86.9

PanaMovie 84.4

WrathOfHan 80

Simionski 80

ZeeSoh 80

Chasmmi 72

Sheikh 63.075

Wrath 61

 

 

Spidey-verse (18/18)

Current Gross: 180M

Spoiler

CURRENT TOTAL - 180

Kalo 175

PANDA 150

WrathOfHan 145

Fancyarcher 145

aabattery 140.69

Simionski 140

Tele 140

PanaMovie 130.5

Sheikh 121

BobDole 116

Chasmmi 111

ZeeSoh 110

Mike Hunt 100

kayumanggi 100

JJ-8 98.9

glassfairy 80

bcf26 80

Wrath 71

 

 

 

Aquaman (18/18)

Current Gross: 329M

Spoiler

CURRENT TOTAL - 329

Kalo 285

PanaMovie 282.3

kayumanggi 275

Sheikh 260

Simionski 250

BobDole 249

Chasmmi 245

ZeeSoh 240

Tele 240

aabattery 236.9

Fancyarcher 220

bcf26 215

JJ-8 205.6

PANDA 205

Mike Hunt 200

Wrath 198

glassfairy 195

WrathOfHan 175

 

 

Bumblebee (18/18)

Current Gross: 126M

Spoiler

 

BobDole 184

JJ-8 173.2

bcf26 170

WrathOfHan 160

Sheikh 160

Fancyarcher 160

Kalo 155

Simionski 150

kayumanggi 150

aabattery 146.9

PanaMovie 137.8

glassfairy 126

CURRENT TOTAL - 126

Wrath 120

ZeeSoh 120

Chasmmi 115

Mike Hunt 115

Tele 110

PANDA 100

 

 

 

Marwen (0/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 11M

Spoiler

PANDA 65*

 

Mary F-ing Poppins (18/18)

Current Gross: 170M

Spoiler

 

Mike Hunt 400

PANDA 360

JJ-8 355.8

Wrath 342

Sheikh 330

Kalo 325

Fancyarcher 320

PanaMovie 317.7

aabattery 316.9

kayumanggi 310

Chasmmi 302

WrathOfHan 300

Simionski 300

BobDole 300

ZeeSoh 300

Tele 280

glassfairy 210

CURRENT TOTAL - 170

bcf26 155

 

 

 

Holmes & Watson (8/18 + 3 backups)

Current Gross: 31M

Spoiler

 

BobDole 135

JJ-8 131.8

glassfairy 103

Chasmmi 92

ZeeSoh 90

bcf26 85

Mike Hunt 80*

PANDA 80

Fancyarcher 73*

kayumanggi 70*

Sheikh 61.6

 

 

Vice (5/18 + 2 backups)

Current Gross: 45M

Spoiler

 

PANDA 105

WrathOfHan 90

Fancyarcher 85

Tele 80

aabattery 69*

PanaMovie 65*

Wrath 57

 

 

Dog's Way Home (1/18)

Current Gross: 39M

Spoiler

JJ-8 76.3

 

The Upside (1/18)

Current Gross: 87M

Spoiler

glassfairy 138

CURRENT TOTAL - 87

 

Glass (17/18)

Current Gross: 99M

Spoiler

 

WrathOfHan 201

ZeeSoh 185

Simionski 180

aabattery 176.9

Kalo 170

glassfairy 170

Fancyarcher 170

kayumanggi 170

bcf26 165

Wrath 164

JJ-8 153.4

Mike Hunt 152.5

PANDA 140

PanaMovie 139.16

Sheikh 137.5

Tele 125

CURRENT TOTAL - 99

Chasmmi 95

 

Lego 2 (18/18)

Current Gross: 38M

Spoiler

 

Fancyarcher 200

BobDole 180

Simionski 175

JJ-8 168

Kalo 150

Mike Hunt 150

ZeeSoh 150

Tele 150

PANDA 145

PanaMovie 136.5

Wrath 134

aabattery 130.69

WrathOfHan 130

kayumanggi 115

Sheikh 110.7

bcf26 103

Chasmmi 87.5

glassfairy 87

CURRENT TOTAL - 38M

 

 

What Men Want (0/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 21M

Spoiler

bcf26 80*

 

Cold Pursuit (1/18)

Current Gross: 13M

Spoiler

glassfairy 75

 

Alita: Battle Angel (5/18)

Current Gross:

Spoiler

 

Kalo 100

JJ-8 87.1

Simionski 75

aabattery 69

WrathOfHan 65

 

 

How to Train Your Dragon 3 (1/18 + 1 backup)

Current Gross:

Spoiler

Tele 135

ZeeSoh 55*

Edited by Wrath
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Opening Weekend Predictions

Call a film’s gross to within 1 million to get 30,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 2.5 million to get 25,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 5 million to get 20,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 15,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 15 million to get 10,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 20 million to get 5,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 30 million to get no bonus points
Miss the gross by more than 30M and lose 10,000 points (You will lose these points even if the film doesn’t make the top 7 OW.)

*Denotes Backup

Remember that bonus points for closest only count if the OW is in top 7. Also, please check your numbers and let me know if I've made a mistake.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody (8/17 + 6 backups)

Open: 51.1M

Spoiler

 

Tele 60

JJ-8 54.8

PANDA 52

PanaMovie 51* - Closest *IF* this gets used, otherwise PANDA is closest

Simionski 50*

glassfairy 49

bcf26 48

WrathOfHan 45

ZeeSoh 45

Sheikh 43.1*

BobDole 43

Mike Hunt 42*

chasmmi 40*

kayumanggi 40*

 

 

Grinch (17/17)

Open: 67.6M

Spoiler

 

Mike Hunt 75

bcf26 75

PANDA 75

Tele 75

PanaMovie 68.9

JJ-8 68.4

kayumanggi 68 - Closest

aabattery 66.9

Sheikh 65

BobDole 64.9

Fancyarcher 63

Wrath 62

Simionski 60

ZeeSoh 55

WrathOfHan 53

glassfairy 49

chasmmi 43

 

 

Fantastic Beasts (17/17)

Open: 62.2M

Spoiler

 

bcf26 85

JJ-8 83.5

WrathOfHan 80

glassfairy 80

Mike Hunt 80

Fancyarcher 80

kayumanggi 80

ZeeSoh 77

aabattery 76.9

chasmmi 76

Sheikh 75

BobDole 75

PanaMovie 74

Tele 71

Simionski 70

PANDA 69

Wrath 68 - Closest

 

 

Ralph 2 (15/17 + 1 backups)

Open: 56.2M

Spoiler

 

glassfairy 90

Han 60

Simionski 60

Fancyarcher 60

PANDA 60

aabattery 68.69

chasmmi 58

bcf 58

kayumanggi 58

BobDole 57 - Closest

Mike Hunt 54

JJ-8 53.2

PanaMovie 51.7

Sheikh 50

Tele 45

Wrath 40*

 

 

Aquaman (15/17 + 1 backups)

Open: 67.9 (finally, no longer an estimate)

Spoiler

 

Tele 80

bcf26 70

PanaMovie 68.8 - CLOSEST

Sheikh 65

ZeeSoh 61

Simionski 60

BobDole 60

Wrath 56

Mike Hunt 55

JJ-8 51.3*

Fancyarcher 51

PANDA 51

kayumanggi 50

chasmmi 49.5

WrathOfHan 47

aabattery 46.9

 

 

Bumblebee (0/17 + 1 backups)

Open: 21.6M

Spoiler

BobDole 35*

 

Mary F-ing Poppins (12/17 + 2 backups)

Open: 23.5M

Spoiler

 

Mike Hunt 70

Tele 68

JJ-8 60.8

Simionski 55

Sheikh 55

Fancyarcher 53

BobDole 53

aabattery 51.69

PanaMovie 51.1

Wrath 47

kayumanggi 45

WrathOfHan 43*

chasmmi 42.5

ZeeSoh 40*

 

 

The Upside (0/17 + 1 backups)

Open: 20.4M

Spoiler

glassfairy 40*

 

Glass (14/17 + 1 backups)

Open: 40.3M

Spoiler

 

Simionski 70

WrathOfHan 65

kayumanggi 65

ZeeSoh 60

Wrath 58

aabattery 56.9

Fancyarcher 56

glassfairy 55

bcf26 55

Mike Hunt 52.5

PanaMovie 50.4

PANDA 50

Sheikh 48

chasmmi 45 - CLOSEST

Tele 44*

 

 

Lego 2 (15/17)

Open: 34.1M

Spoiler

 

BobDole 65

Fancyarcher 62

JJ-8 61.3

Tele 60

WrathOfHan 55

Simionski 55

ZeeSoh 55

chasmmi 54

aabattery 53.69

PanaMovie 51.3

Mike Hunt 50

PANDA 49

bcf26 46

glassfairy 45

Wrath 44

 

 

How to Train Your Dragon 3 (5/17 + 4 backups)

Open:

Spoiler

 

JJ-8 52.3

ZeeSoh 50

Sheikh 49

aabattery 48.69*

kayumanggi 48

Wrath 42

Fancyarcher 42*

PANDA 42*

bcf26 40*

 

 

Edited by Wrath
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WW Total Tracking

 

 

Call a film’s gross to within 10 million to get 50,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 25 million to get 40,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 50 million to get 30,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 75 million to get 20,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 100 million to get 10,000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 150 million to get 5000 bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 200 million to get no bonus points
Call a film’s gross to within 200.01-250 million lose 10,000 points and lose 1,000 points for every subsequent 25M you are away.

 

* Denotes a backup film for the user

 

As before, please check the numbers to see if I've made any mistakes. Amusingly, I am the only person to not guess Bohemian Rhapsody or Grinch would be the top 12. I'm not sure what I was thinking, I probably just forgot about them for this list somehow. So, no one else should feel at all bad about their lists.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody (16/17)

Current Gross: 846M

Spoiler

CURRENT TOTAL - 846

PANDA 725

JJ-8 664.9

Sheikh 461.54

PanaMovie 440

Simionski 425

Fancyarcher 410

WrathOfHan 400

aabattery 386.9

Tele 350

bcf26 320

glassfairy 300

Mike Hunt 295

chasmmi 277

BobDole 275

ZeeSoh 275

kayumanggi 275

 

 

Nutcracker (4/17 + 4 backups)

Current Gross: 174M

Spoiler

 

bcf26 290

BobDole 246

Wrath 215

PanaMovie 210

Fancyarcher 205*

Simionski 200*

Mike Hunt 175*

CURRENT TOTAL - 174

aabattery 166.9*

 

 

Grinch (16/17)

Current Gross: 509M 

Spoiler

 

Mike Hunt 1000

BobDole 850

Tele 800

PANDA 750

bcf26 680

JJ-8 611.4

kayumanggi 565

Simionski 550

PanaMovie 547.4

CURRENT TOTAL - 509

Sheikh 490

chasmmi 488

Fancyarcher 465

ZeeSoh 450

WrathOfHan 420

aabattery 416.9

glassfairy 400

 

 

 

Fantastic Beasts (17/17)

Current Gross: 653M

Spoiler

 

JJ-8 1070.2

WrathOfHan 850

Mike Hunt 850

bcf26 850

kayumanggi 850

Fancyarcher 840

aabattery 836.9

ZeeSoh 830

chasmmi 812

Wrath 785

PANDA 785

PanaMovie 784.1

BobDole 780

Tele 780

Sheikh 763.89

glassfairy 721

Simionski 700

CURRENT TOTAL - 653

 

Widows (3/17 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 76M

Spoiler

 

PANDA 250

WrathOfHan 220

Sheikh 195.4

ZeeSoh 150*

 

Creed 2 (4/17 + 5 backups)

Current Gross: 202M

Spoiler

Tele 250*

CURRENT TOTAL - 202

BobDole 200*

Mike Hunt 185

ZeeSoh 185

Sheikh 182.86*

WrathOfHan 180*

CURRENT TOTAL - 176

Wrath 170*

PanaMovie 170

aabattery 169

 

 

 

Ralph 2 (17/17)

Current Gross: 495M

Spoiler

 

Mike Hunt 700

bcf26 660

glassfairy 651

Simionski 650

PanaMovie 636.7

JJ-8 635.5

kayumanggi 630

PANDA 625

aabattery 606.9

WrathOfHan 600

Fancyarcher 600

Sheikh 690.28

ZeeSoh 550

Tele 550

Wrath 532

BobDole 530

chasmmi 515

CURRENT TOTAL - 495

 

 

Mortal Engines (9/17)

Current Gross: 82M

Spoiler

JJ-8 405.6

bcf26 400

BobDole 360

Tele 300

kayumanggi 280

chasmmi 245

Mike Hunt 225

glassfairy 210

Wrath 175

CURRENT TOTAL - 82

 

The Mule (0/17 + 1 backup)

Current Gross: 136M

Spoiler

PanaMovie 164.4*

 

Spideyverse (16/17)

Current Gross: 353M

Spoiler

 

PANDA 475

aabattery 469

Simionski 450

Tele 450

Fancyarcher 400

CURRENT TOTAL - 353

PanaMovie 350.4

Sheikh 345.71

chasmmi 342

glassfairy 322

WrathOfHan 320

ZeeSoh 320

BobDole 301

Mike Hunt 300

bcf26 250

kayumanggi 215

Wrath 190

 

 

 

Aquaman (17/17)

Current Gross: 1,121M

Spoiler

 

CURRENT TOTAL - 1,121

Tele 790

bcf26 780

BobDole 755

PanaMovie 752.3

kayumanggi 750

PANDA 740

glassfairy 733

ZeeSoh 650

aabattery 646.9

chasmmi 645

Mike Hunt 630

Sheikh 619.05

Simionski 600

Fancyarcher 550

Wrath 525

JJ-8 450.6

WrathOfHan 450

 

Bumblebee (17/17)

Current Gross: 458M

Spoiler

 

bcf26 720

Simionski 650

WrathOfHan 630

Fancyarcher 625

Wrath 615

SHeikh 591.72

aabattery 569

glassfairy 554

kaymanggi 525

JJ-8 514.2

PANDA 510

BobDole 500

PanaMovie 482.8

Mike Hunt 470

CURRENT TOTAL - 458

ZeeSoh 450

chasmmi 415

Tele 325

 

Mary F-ing Poppins (17/17)

Current Gross: 336M

Spoiler

Mike Hunt 1100

Tele 850

Fancyarcher 820

PANDA 810

Sheikh 804.375

chasmmi 775

BobDole 749

PanaMovie 733

JJ-8 715.8

aabattery 690

Wrath 655

WrathOfHan 650

ZeeSoh 625

Simionski 550

kayumanggi 550

bcf26 530

glassfairy 450

CURRENT TOTAL - 336

 

 

Holmes & Watson (2/17 + 2 backups)

Current Gross: 40M

Spoiler

 

JJ-8 341.8*

glassfairy 243

BobDole 240

PANDA 185*

 

 

Vice (1/17)

Current Gross: 55M

Spoiler

PANDA 205

 

The Upside (1/17)

Current Gross: 96M

Spoiler

glassfairy 212

 

Glass (16/17)

Current Gross: 223M

Spoiler

 

kayumanggi 390

Fancyarcher 380

WrathOfHan 370

aabattery 369

Mike Hunt 360

Simionski 350

ZeeSoh 350

bcf26 350

JJ-8 342.4

Wrath 305

PANDA 300

PanaMovie 289.1

chasmmi 282

Sheikh 275

Tele 275

CURRENT TOTAL - 223

glassfairy 211

 

Lego Movie 2 (15/17 +1 backup)

Current Gross: 57M

Spoiler

 

Fancyarcher 420

Mike Hunt 400

Tele 400

JJ-8 367

WrathOfHan 350

PANDA 340

aabattery 336.9

Simionski 325

ZeeSoh 325

chasmmi 305

BobDole 300

Wrath 260

PanaMovie 226.5

glassfairy 196*

Sheikh 192.06

bcf26 160

 

 

Alita: Battle angel (7/17 + 2 backups)

Current Gross: 36M

Spoiler

 

JJ-8 431.1

Simionski 225

Fancyarcher 225

chasmmi 214*

Wrath 210

WrathOfHan 200

ZeeSoh 200

kayumanggi 200

bcf26 150*

 

 

How to Train Your Dragon 3 (9/17)

Current Gross: 86M

Spoiler

 

Tele 500

Fancyarcher 375

JJ-8 359.5

aabattery 269

Simionski 250

Wrath 225

kayumanggi 220

chasmmi 215

Sheikh 195

 

Edited by Wrath
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Current Top 15 DOM

1. Aquaman - 329M

2. Grinch - 271M

3. Bohemian Rhapsody - 211M

4. Ralph 2 - 198M

5. Spidey-Verse - 180M

6. Mary F-ing Poppins - 170M

7. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 159M

8. Bumblebee - 126M

9. Creed 2 - 116M

10. The Mule - 103M

11. Glass - 99M

12. The Upside - 87M

13. Instant Family - 67M

14. Green Book - 62M

15. Escape Room - 55M

 

Current Top 7 OW

1. Aquaman - 67.9M

2. Grinch - 67.6M

3. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 62.2M

4. Ralph 2 - 56.2M

5. Bohemian Rhapsody - 51.1M

6. Glass - 40.3M

7. Creed 2 - 35.6M

 

Current Top 12 WW

1. Aquaman - 1,121M

2. Bohemian Rhapsody - 846M

3. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 653M

4. Grinch - 509M

5. Ralph 2 - 495M

6. Bumblebee - 458M

7. Spidey-Verse - 353M

8. Mary F-ing Poppins - 336M

9. Glass - 223M

10. Creed 2 - 202M

11. The Nutcracker - 174M

12. The Mule - 136M

Edited by Wrath
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Just updated OW and DOM, but haven't had a chance to update WW yet.

 

The truly astounding thing to me is that Nutcracker actually has a fighting shot at making the game-end top 15. Nothing that's out right now that hasn't already passed it is likely to have the legs to catch it, and the only movie still to release through the end of the game that's a slam-dunk to pass it is Lego 2.

 

Sure, any number of movies *could* overachieve and pass it (and the odds are probably pretty good that at least one of them will, most likely Alita). How to Train Your Dragon 3 *might* have an unexpectedly big OW and pass it, and it will almost certainly pass it within days of opening, but after the game ends. Given that Lego 2 will knock Nutcracker to 15, I don't think there's one specific movie that I'd bet on taking that #15 slot away from it though the Field, collectively, is probably 60/40 to catch it,. That's still good odds for such a failure of a movie.

 

@glassfairy and @Simionski should be pleased, as The Upside and Instant Family are close to being locks for the top 15 and they were each the only one to pick their respective movies.

 

Edit - WW is updated now as well. Amazingly, Nutcracker is in the exact same spot WW as it is DOM, and will likely be clinging precariously to 12th place as the game enters its final couple weeks (I don't think The Mule will catch it, but Glass should and Lego 2 definitely will). I'd put its odds of getting knocked off a little higher here than with DOM, since iirc, How to Train Your Dragon 3 (already at $29M WW) and Alita both release internationally before they release DOM, giving them more time to catch it.

Edited by Wrath
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Updated again.

 

I think we're getting close to what the final rankings will look like. Lego 2 should break onto the DOM top 15, knocking out Escape Room, but probably won't get much higher than 13th or so but I'm doubtful anything else (HTTYD3 or Alita) will catch Green Book for 15th.

 

Creed 2, amazingly, is a HTTYD3-underperformance away from sneaking onto the OW list despite not getting picked by anyone, even as a back-up. Everything else is set (though I'm still bitter about Bohemian Rhapsody).

 

For WW, Creed 2 is probably, but not definitely, safe and the last couple spots (Nutcracker and The Mule) are very much up for grabs. Reporting is slow on Lego 2 foreign sales because it has no data yet from a bunch of countries in which its already opened. Also, HTTYD3 is doing decent business in a number of markets already and still has its US OW to come, and Alita will open everywhere by the end of the game and has a shot as well. The Mule is probably toast, but I wouldn't be surprised by any 2 of Nutcracker, Alita, Lego 2 and HTTYD3 getting the final spots.

Edited by Wrath
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It appears Aquaman will take top spot on all 3 charts - Domestic, OW and WW.  

 

No one picked Aquaman their #1 domestically.

1 person picked Aquaman as their #1 OW.

1 person picked Aquaman as their #1 WW.

 

This was indeed a very tough season.  In fact most had Aquaman between 4th - 6th domestically.  And I should also note, that Bohemiam Rhapsody looks to be landing in 3rd domestically and only 1 person had this film in the top 5 (4th in fact) while everyone else had this film between 6th and 8th (and someone even missed having it in their top 15)

 

tough year!

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DOM - Escape Room is officially gone, passed by Lego 2. The only remaining race is Alita vs Green Book. It'll be close, but I think Green Book is going to hang on since its still making decent money.

 

OW - HTTYD3 could still stumble, but its probably going to get into the mid-40s, knocking out Creed 2 and pushing Glass down to 7th.

 

WW - Lego 2 appears to be dying horribly overseas, while HTTYD3 has already made enough OS for 11th place and after its domestic OW and another week OS it'll probably pass Glass for 9th. It would also take a miracle for Alita not to pass Nutcracker for 12th, so we're probably looking at an WW final 4 looking something like:

 

9. HTTYD3 

10. Glass

11. Creed 2

12. Alita

Edited by Wrath
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