Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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2 hours ago, No Prisoners said:
What was it before?
First Long Range Forecast for TFA was - 215/762, two weekend ago it was 220/780, now is 223/790 (OW is alway DOM's 28,2%).
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boxoffice.com new long range forecast
Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec 18, 2015 Disney $223,000,000 $790,000,000 -
Predictions under AoU's opening weekend ($191,27 mln), under $600 mln DOM, and under $1,5 mld WW are ridiculous at this moment.
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OW: $224,2 mln
DOM: 807 mln (OW x3,6)
+OS: $1230 mln
=WW: $2.037 bln
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DOM $285 mln
+OS $370 mln
=WW $655 mln
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+ $41-45 mln from current markets + $20-25 mln from Japan = max. $640-645 mln OS, and maybe $840 mln WW. :P
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Agree. $670-680 mln OS is the target. Maybe $690 mln.
$900 mln WW is dead with its domestic underperforming (probably only $185 mln).
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DOM $270 mln
OS $365 mln
WW $635 mln
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With domestic opening only around $70-75 mln this have to pass Skyfall's $804 mln to cross $1 billion.
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$1,230,000,000 OS
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"It's something that hasn't been done before. Well, we have three cars and planes..." -
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Too short legs IMO. I would give it 96/290 at least!
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I <3 Damon-Bourne!
80/250
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9 movies with over $300 mln DOM within a year!! 15 years ago there was only 9 movies with $300 mln ever!
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Furious 7 final number is $352,6 mln.
UPDATE
1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $540 mln
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $500 mln
3. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - $390 mln
4. Bond 24 - $310 mln
5. Minions - $280 mln
6. Furious 7 - $275 mln
7. Tomorrowland - $250 mln
8. Jurassic World - $240 mln
9. Ant-Man - $235 mln
10. Fifty Shades of Grey - $220 mln
FINAL UPDATE (+ $200 mln)
1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens ..................... $805 mln
2. Jurassic World ............................................. $654 mln
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron .............................. $459 mln
4. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 ..... $420 mln
5. Inside Out ................................................... $360 mln
6. Furious 7 .................................................... $352,6 mln
7. American Sniper (2014) .............................. $346,7 mln (wide release)
8. Minions ...................................................... $338 mln
9. Spectre ....................................................... $310 mln
10. The Good Dinosaur ................................... $250 mln
11. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation .......... $204 mln
12. Cinderella ................................................. $201 mln
...and The Hateful Eight maybe.
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The posters for Daniel Craig´s Bond never have been great. This one is not that bad. Apparently another sites are claiming that the running time is even longer at 155 minutes.
This is very, very, very, very bad! Posters for CR and QoS were good or at least solid. Bond has terrible posters since Mendes has come.
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Terrible poster. Even worse than final Skyfall poster.
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OK, 38-62 seems possible, but we'll see.
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You must consider the genre itself as a whole, not just some characters. In 2012, Avengers did a 41-59 ratio, the same year than TDKR. 3 years later, AoU has done 33-67. You should not discard something like 35-65, with 500 DOM / 900 OS. I do not say this will the scenario, but I do not think it is so crazy.
This would be the first Batman or Superman movie with over 60% from foreign markets.
400M DOM
850M OS (250M China)
Again, 68% OS? How?
$400 mln DOM is definitely too low.-
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$915 mln seems way too high. I know this movie has a Batman, but still... it would have to explode in China with over $300 mln to reach $900 mln.
Also, MoS OS gross was 56,4% of total, TDKR was 58,7%. BvS won't go higher than 60% from foreign markets. Batman and Superman are too strong in Domestic box office.
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$760,000,000 OS.
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So what do we think it can make overseas without China?
After this weekend I'd say $230 mln OS.
Domestic final gross would be $91-94 mln.
So about $315-330 mln WW without China.
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$400 mln DOM is 
STAR WARS PREDICTION CONTEST. Winners Announced
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
First change - 27th November
Second change - yesterday