Mango

Mall of Georgia added a 3:20am screening for Oppy Saturday “night”

For my persuasive arguments class in college I did an entire paper based on the correlation between 9/11 and the super hero movie blow-up. I made an A and convinced pretty much my entire class it was a big factor.

Spider-Man 1 in 2002 is still the most impressive opening weekend to me. Adjusted for inflation it’s $208m without any IMAX, 3D, or premium at all. It did all this on “only” like 7000 (I think) screens. That adjusts to nearly $30k a screen! I don’t know the exact screen count Endgame had in the states, but I highly doubt it tops Spidey’s per-screen attendance.

#barbiegate

Even if there is a huge shift back to theaters and we get attendance levels from a decade ago back, getting something to Endgame admissions for opening weekend would be insanely difficult. The only thing I can think of that could even feasibly do this is if James Gunn’s new DC universe is as successful as it possibly could be. And even that would take a while.

Smokey and the Bandit and Star Wars came out on the same day (basically) in 1977… two highest grossing movies of that year. I know releases were carried out different, but still!

I’m hoping for a sub-40% but realistically 40-45% would be good and basically lock in $300m, or at least close to it. Inception would be a tough one regardless but especially because even if Saturday and Sunday match it, Oppy’s Friday will lose to Inception based on last weeks previews being factored in.

Oppenheimer’s second weekend if it follows other Nolan films TDK: $39.1m (-52.5%) Inception: $56m (-32%) TDKR: $31.8m (-61.4%) Interstellar: $49.1m (-40.4%) Dunkirk: $43.4m (-47.3%) Interstellar probably should have been excluded since it was a totally different time of year, and I didn’t bother with Tenet or anything pre-TDK.

$37m combined Tuesday! Can we keep Barbenheimer over $30m through Thursday?

Barbie $200m today and Oppenheimer $100m. Bigger dip for the latter, but I agree with the sentiment it’s going to be a weekend movie.

Endgame was probably on a record number of screens as well. Over 4,600 theaters, I’d imagine at least 20,000 screens domestically. It’s $357m number isn’t as impossible to imagine when you factor in the screen count. TDK was on like 9,000 or so and Spider-Man 3 around 10-11,000. Add on the development of premium screens, IMAX, and 3D.

The second half of July usually has the best weekdays of the summer

Noticing Mario Bros went up 28% this past weekend. I know it and Oppenheimer share a studio but surely there were no drive in pairings of the two

$26m for Barbie seems huge. Down only 40% is pretty wild. So much for “female driven films are frontloaded” Oppenheimer beating Inception’s hold is sublime. I imagine it could have taken a shot at TDK’s glorious Monday hold but the long runtime may have caused the latest shows to be a bit weaker, 3 hours is a lot for a Monday night. Hoping for prolonged greatness from these movies. Barbie is a lock for $400m, hopefully it can clear $500m with ease too. Gonna get crazy and hope Oppenheimer has a shot at $350m.

I think WW2 is an understandably touchy subject for Japan, but I doubt that’s the entire reason. I think the big thing is it’d probably not make enough to bother releasing.

-38% for Barbie and -44% for Oppenheimer?????!!!! That’s incredible. Fuck. I hope this is a sign of some legendary runs here.

Extremely happy both movies went up from estimates. Great openings, great reception, and one of the busiest weekends in years. Can’t wait to continue watching how these two films do the rest of their runs.

If so we are in for a hell of a run. If Oppenheimer manages $80m this weekend and has an under 50% drop Monday? I’m calling $300m minimum total domestic

Barbie being really frontloaded is a possibility based on the early Saturday number, but still 60% drop idk. With the glowing word of mouth and IMAX screen sell outs well past next weekend I can’t imagine Oppenheimer dipping 50% either. Even Dark Knight was only a 52% hit

idk if it’s quite that high. NATO has the national average at $10.53 for 2022, and I get premium formats cost more but surely some of that is taken into consideration for the average?? I’d say maybe $85 million or so, and while Inception didn’t have nearly as many premium screens, it did have a record IMAX count at the time which definitely already boosted it

Hoping Barbenheimer gets an increase from true Friday today

If Gerwig follows up Barbie with Netflix Narnia shit that would be really disappointing. She has the vision to get people in theaters, as Barbie is obviously proving.

Oppenheimer taking a stab at Inception adjusted is wild

Probably the biggest missed opportunity in recent memory.

you are fun at parties, huh?