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Mango

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Posts posted by Mango

  1. 1 minute ago, snarkmachine said:

     

    That sounds about right to me.

     

    What's more interesting is what people would consider a hit. Dune scored these numbers and was universally praised as a hit but these numbers still look way soft to me, especially for established IP. 

     

    Dune was considered a success because A.) did $100m despite hybrid release and B.) it's understood older audiences which would help fuel Dune significantly are returning slower than younger adults

     

    For a big budget movie based on one of the biggest video game franchises out right now, $100m is pretty low with a theatrical only release. When they were putting this one together in board rooms and stuff they were definitely hoping it would be a $200m+ grosser and probably a big international hit too but it's gonna take a small miracle and extremely surprising word of mouth for that to even be possible

  2. $220m opening weekend

    $710m total

     

    will do for video game movies what Batman 89 and Spidey 2002 did

     

     

    nah I'm fucking around it might make around $30m opening if only for the popularity of the games 

     

    if that god awful fucking piece of shit prince of persia movie managed $30m in 2010 I don't see why Uncharted couldn't after 12 years of inflation and with Tommy boy coming off of his biggest hit ever (as a lead)

  3. 1 hour ago, CJohn said:

    Matrix is by far one of the most affected box office performances by the release strategy. In a normal weekend mid Summer with no pandemic or day & date on streaming it would have opened with 60M or more.

     

    Yeah Matrix was a combination of bad ideas with the hybrid release and closely following the first major event movie in years. Not to mention not getting to take full advantage of IMAX and premium formats. If they pushed it to literally any weekend from February through May I could see it opening to $70m or so assuming it was theatrical only.

  4. Favorite Disney+ tv show. Think it might have worked better as a movie, but at the same time a lot of fun character moments might have been skipped so maybe not. Loved a lower stakes MCU story, I hope we get more of those for street level heroes going forward. Renner/Steinfeld were a great duo. Hailee Steinfeld in general is a national treasure, idk how she manages to be so lovable in every role she's in but she does it well. 

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  5. Not saying this is gonna be a massive blockbuster, but I think it’s being undercooked by a lot of people. Bob’s Burgers is huge among the millennial crowd. It never got the ratings clout that Simpsons or Family Guy got, but it was a beast on streaming services. The late teens/20-30 crowd (the same one that drove Spidey to record breaking numbers, pandemic be damned) are gonna show up to this.

     

    I don’t think it has the pedigree or pop culture impact to be something like The Simpsons Movie (which ended up being a four quadrant event based on name and pop culture prevalence alone) but I could see it doing good numbers. Beavis and Butthead Do America opening would probably adjust to $40-50m opening today, I think that’s a solid area to look at for this.

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  6. 20 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

    https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/

    Spider-Man took in $8.3M on Friday, and by end of today will raise its cume to $668.7M, which will make it the sixth-highest grossing movie at the domestic box office, ahead of James Cameron’s Titanic ($659.3M). The Tom Holland-Zendaya-Benedict Cumberbatch ensemble is around $10M away from overtaking Avengers: Infinity War ($678.8M) as the 5th highest grossing movie ever stateside. Box Office firm EntTelligence says that 54.4M tickets have been sold for the Jon Watts-directed MCU sequel to date in US and Canada.

     

    @charlie Jatinder How accurate do you think the part in red is? That would put ATP over $12.20 and final ticket sales around 60-62M. 


    theres no way. The average national ticket price average in 2019 was $9.19. That’s a gigantic increase in just 2-3 years. I don’t doubt that Spidey was inflated by premium screens like Dolby and IMAX but there’s no way it’s not at least close to 60m tickets  

  7. 39 minutes ago, filmlover said:

    Must say I'm surprised that it looks The King's Man is gonna have the best hold out of all the wide releases this weekend. Granted, it's still doing really pathetic in comparison to the previous movies in the series, but the fact The Matrix has beaten it for the "look how far the mighty have fallen" prize makes its performance look slightly less embarrassing than it would be otherwise.


    Previous Matrix movies had a much higher threshold for success than Kingsman movies, too. I’m 2003, Matrix:Reloaded would have had the opening weekend record had it not been for a Thursday release. Revolutions of course did significantly less 6 months later.

  8. Since opening No Way Home’s only day under $20m was Christmas Eve. What a hell of a run. 
     

    I can’t say for sure, obviously, but if this ends up being the last big box office run thanks to the changing of the industry and “outside factors” and such, I’m pretty happy it was this one. I’ve been three times now with different groups and each time the audience absolutely adores it.

     

    I can’t speak internationally, but as far as North America is concerned, Spidey is definitely our hero. People fucking love him.

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  9. 1 minute ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

    In my opinion, Godzilla v Kong and Dune are the box office successes of the year.

     

    Both had simultaneous streaming releases. GVK opened during a pandemic with limited seating and pre-vaccine. Dune was a dense, weird impossible to adapt sci-fi that was doubted for years and held over


    they did well for their circumstances but idk how No Way Home is anything but the box office success of the year

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  10. How is an increase from Sat bad? Bodes very well for NWH's weekdays.

     

    Sing 2 idk. It doesn't seem terrible. I'm not sure how "anticipated" it was. I agree with whoever made the Secret Life of Pets 2 comp. Illumination has had a lot of success with their new IPs or adaptations, but other than Despicable Me/Minions they don't have long lasting appeal. Kind of like animated flavor of the week movies. Also, is it one of the movies coming to Peacock with that stupid 17-day theatrical window? If so, it's the same situation as Encanto.

     

     

  11. 21 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

    Except it was still making a lot of money on the weekdays.

     

    People on this forum are so flip floppy. The movie went up a few percent on Thursday and Endgame and Star Wars were still the targets, now it does a bit less than expected on some major holidays and people are calling for a hearse and cinema is dead, yadda yadda. 

     

    If most of these people were active on the internet in 1999 you'd be hearing about their Y2K bunkers.

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  12. 2 minutes ago, Cappoedameron said:

    I think it's high time people just accept the fact that the pandemic has changed movie theaters and theater going experience. Majority of people will go opening weekend, but if they don't go opening weekend the chances are very high they will not see the film in theaters. And will just wait 2 months and sometimes even less for it to end up on streaming.

     

    fuck off I don't want facts I want blind optimism 

  13. 1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

    Disney never cared about Encanto hitting an arbitrary 100 million "milestone".

     

    Lmao. That's strictly box office nerd OCD territory. 

     

    It's possible they don't these days, since their baby is Disney+ I guess.

     

    In the past, though, Disney is historically responsible for TONS of extra pushes to get films to certain milestones. Black Panther to $700m, Wrinkle in Time to $100m, Frozen to $400m, Tangled to $200m, (check out it's weekend gross in May 2011 when Pirates 4 opened), and plenty more in the past. 

     

     

  14. 22 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

    EntTelligence reports 38M tickets according to Deadline. Don’t know how accurate they claim to be, but that’s a $12.30 ATP. You should also note that both Regal and Cinemark have quietly added a premium surcharge for NWH(and Matrix for that matter) of $0.50-$1, at least from the theaters I’ve looked at.

     

    That seems a bit low. If you go by ticket prices in busier markets that may be right, but plenty of theaters have lower prices and less (or no) premium formats. If you want to get really technical, I doubt they consider discount days for theaters (like Tuesdays generally are) where tickets can be as low as $5. Either way, 38M would still put it above FFH I think. It's only behind the first trilogy right now.

  15. Fun fact; No Way Home is now the 4th most attended Spider-Man film out of all 8 live-action films. I haven't found a concrete "average ticket price" for 2021, I've seen the range go from $9.19 to $9.46 on all the searches I've done. Assuming the highest is correct, and accounting for premium ticket upcharges, I estimate that NWH is likely around 43-44 million tickets right now after only 10 days (plus previews). The only three above it are the original Raimi trilogy, and it should make it past Spider-Man 3 (around 48m est tickets) sometime this week. Spider-Man 2 is next on the list with around 60 million admissions, then 2002 film with about 70 million.

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