eXtacy

How did you get low values of 6.96 for DK and SP3 6.75

It really doesn't matter if you off by even a dollar for imax prices for dark knight and spider-man. Why...The dark knights 6.8m imax accounts for only 4.3% of total. If current imax is around 15.4, you could estimate 4 years ago it was at 14 dollars. If you were off by a dollar either way MAXIMUM error margin would only be 0.3% of ticket sales. So add or take 65 thousand tickets. An accurate 2D price is what counts.

At 210m its avengers by a comfortable 200-500 thousand.

Imagine if spider-man had been in the avengers too like he was suppose to be. :circles: :circles:

Sure it would of put off families and repeat viewings

"To date, domestic box office receipts have climbed 16 percent to $3.57 billion, according to Hollywood.com. Attendance is up 19 percent." From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitne...1#ixzz1uA0to75j Hmmm..... legit?

Nah thats wrong, 210m OW would equate to around ~22.2million tickets. However TDK/SM3 are also wrong they around 21.6m

If you look at spider man 1 & 3, iron man 1 & 2, avatars and titanics first non-holiday monday drop. BEST it can do is ~60%.

THIS MIGHT TAKE ALL OF DARK KNIGHTS BOX OFFICE RECORDS.Monday 24.5m and tuesday 20.8m. Fastest to 450m. These only ones in doubt.

I had it on for a 22% sunday drop 2 days ago, didnt see anyone else predict lower. Now its looking like 22% is the worst case scenario!? wow.

Im currently doing a unit called instrument and measurement for my engineering course, it deals a lot with precision and accuracy errors (uncertainty). Past couple of days has really shown me how all those small errors here and there can add up

Spider-man 3 and Dark Knight both have about 21.6 million tickets (add or take a few hundred thousand) when you take into account IMAX of 6.3M and 4.8M respectively.If sunday is strong and avengers ends up with ~204 it will match this. With 207 it should handily surpass the error margin to ensure attendance record.(According to your percentages and pricing spizzer)

"Was all ready to see The Avengers with my dad. Get to the theater...tickets are sold out for the rest of the day. Day ruined " Twitter looking good , hopefully when I wake up there will be some estimates.

Spiderman 3 works out like this(151.1 - 4.8)/6.88 (2D) + 4.8/13.9 (IMAX) = 21.61 million tickets

based on the average ticket price of 7.83.... which is 2D prices isnt it?

This method should work, percentage of admissions divide by ticket price for each formatAvengers200[0.52/10.83 (3D) + 0.4/7.83 (2D) + 0.12/15.4 (IMAX)] = 21.37 million ticketsDark Knight(158.4 - 6.3)/7.18 (2D) + 6.3/14.2 (IMAX) = 21.63 million tickets

I dont see how TDKR going to break 200m. Its going to need a hefty increase of the all time attendance record.

dude this the news of a 200m weekend is spreading like wildfire, so many news articles and twitter. Will probably be on every news outlet tonight.

Records that The Avengers will take ~26~ (possibly more!) Opening Weekend Opening Week Second Weekends Summer Opening Saturday Gross Sunday Gross Summer Summer Opening Summer Starts May Opening Rate PG-13 Widest Gap Opening Weeked Biggest Gaps Top Theatre Averages - Wide Release 2-Day Gross 3-Day Gross 4-Day Gross 5-Day Gross 6-Day Gross 7-Day Gross 8-Day Gross 9-Day Gross 10-Day Gross Fastest to $100M Fastest to $150M Fastest to $200M Fastest to $250M Fastest to $300M

I don't think it will need to fudge anything. Increases for saturday excluding midnights are 14%! Spider-man 3 only increased 4% and hunger games increased 6%. Sunday drops for both were 22% and 33% respectively. I think its comfortably going to beat 28% drop needed for 200m

Records that The Avengers will take ~26~ (possibly more!)Opening WeekendOpening WeekSecond WeekendsSummer OpeningSaturday GrossSunday GrossSummerSummer Opening Summer StartsMay OpeningRate PG-13Widest GapOpening Weeked Biggest GapsTop Theatre Averages - Wide Release2-Day Gross3-Day Gross4-Day Gross5-Day Gross 6-Day Gross 7-Day Gross 8-Day Gross 9-Day Gross 10-Day Gross Fastest to $100MFastest to $150MFastest to $200M Fastest to $250M Fastest to $300M

"Marvel's THE AVENGERS shattered the all-time box office record debuting with $200.3 million! Your move, Batman." ERCBoxoffice Bwahahaha, your move batman

correct

So here's the breakdown.Midnights 18.7M (23.2% of OD)Friday (Day) 61.8M (76.8% of OD)Saturday 69.7M (-13.4% drop for OD, +12.8% if midnight excluded)Basically its tracking better than Spider-man 3Midnights 10M (16.7% of OD) Friday (Day) 49.8M (83.3% of OD)Saturday 51.8 (-14.2% drop for OD, +4.0% if midnight excluded)

Nikkis updated 69.7M SATShe's now estimating 200M OW