lilmac

$423 million puts it in the top ten all-time unadj

Is there an All-Time admissions list somewhere? I can't find it on Mojo.

Frozen will probably be #1 next weekend and I see CF with at least $30m, if not $34.

If CF matched the biggest drop in post-Thanksgiving history it would fall to $34.2m (assuming $75m weekend). It is certainly possible given how huge this weekend is. No other film has grossed above $70m for the 3day so it might fall harder. We're in unprecedented territory. Stop predicting and just hang on for the ride. IM3 is still safe but BARELY.....for now (I have $420-$430m). We'll see next weekend.

Post-Thanksgiving holds for the big boys (> $30mil Thanksgiving weekend grossers)

Your projections are.......ready for it?...this is going to be hilarious...Fake!

It's not going to "beat" TA's 50.3% drop but to answer your question, it needs to exceed $78.563million 1 - .503 = .497 (that's what you multiply by..not .503) .497 X 158,074,286 = $78.563 million Example: Take a film that grosses $10 million in its OW and drops 80% in its 2nd weekend. In order to estimate that 2nd weekend gross you multiply $10 x (1-0.8) = $10 x 0.2 = $2 million (horrible drop! )

Not if you're outside the top 2. Underwhelming after Frozen and Katniss...

If Catching Fire follows the weekend multipliers of the following films... Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $73.6 million Goblet of Fire - $75.1 million New Moon - $75.6 million Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $77.7 million Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $78.1 million $75,617,184 is needed for the 2nd best 2nd weekend of all-time... $77,943,683 is needed for $300m in 10 days...

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice1h THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY: $3.4M Friday (est) / $58.33M Domestic Total / 1,712 Locations / $1,986 Location Avg. #BestManHoliday

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya39s #CatchingFire shattering $500M global today. Huge $31.3M dom FRI, $253.3M dom cume, $482.3M ww.

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya3m #Frozen surges to $26.9M on Black Friday, $53.5M in 1st 3 days. Will smash $100M in a few days & will break $200M easily.

rth is rollingthunder from wokj if you remember him from way back. he works in the exhibitor industry Down Under

31.25m according to Boxoffice twitter

^ This

Excited much? Don't jizz yourself. CJohn has already done that. Cleanup on aisle 7!

Amazing statistic.

Oh absolutely. Plus we have the post-Thanksgiving drop. Just wishful thinking. I think $420m is in the realm of possibility though.

By the Sunday of HG1's 2nd weekend it had made 60% of its total gross. Catching Fire will be at around $294m this Sunday and that same ratio means $490m DOM.

FTW

That's why they call him the MovieFanatic. *ducks and hides*

Frozen needs about $74m to bust the $100m mark.

I think Frozen will perform better on Saturday and Sunday as far as incr/decr go. I see it winning the weekend but that's just me.

Top 2nd weekends.. 1 Marvel's The Avengers BV $103,052,274 16.5% 4,349 $23,696 $623,357,910 5/4/12 2 Avatar Fox $75,617,183 10.1% 3,456 $21,880 $749,766,139 12/18/09 3 The Dark Knight WB $75,166,466 14.1% 4,366 $17,216 $533,345,358 7/18/08 4 Iron Man 3 BV $72,525,615 17.7% 4,253 $17,053 $409,013,994 5/3/13 5 Shrek 2 DW $72,170,363 16.4% 4,223 $17,089 $441,226,247 5/19/04 6 Spider-Man Sony $71,417,527 17.7% 3,615 $19,755 $403,706,375 5/3/02 7 Alice in Wonderland (2010) BV $62,714,076 18.8% 3,728 $16,822 $334,191,110 3/5/10