MattW
-
Posts
2,745 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by MattW
-
-
As the son of a king and being much much older and more experienced than everyone else (not to mention physically more powerful) I think Thor would likely be the best leader if these were fully developed characters.
-
I imagine ultron's first Monday being day 7 versus JW's being day 6 contributes a bit to it having a worse hold.
-
-
For these giant OW's with big preview numbers my weekend #2 calculation is (OW-previews) * 0.45 and it gets pretty close for most big movies, FF7, TDKR, IM3, even HP:DH2 isn't too far off. Avengers doesn't work but that was a whole different story than JW imo. I think this will be around $85m next weekend.
-
So it just about equaled Godzilla's entire run in its opening frame. Nice.
-
1
-
-
The year of opening weekends: Jan, Feb, April, June so far. December is as big of a guarantee as you can get and November seems very likely to me. September is a maybe.
-
Wild speculation incoming: if the weekdays are big enough and it holds well next weekend it'll hit a billion next Sunday, day #12. Latest it'll hit a billion is the Friday after that, day #17.
-
I kind of like that people are calling it jurassic park in a bunch of those tweets. Not sure why but I do.
-
Unlikely is my bet too. FF7 opened to 250m overseas without China and Russia, and its 5-day opening in China was 160m from Sun-Th which from what I understand is a weaker 5-day opening than JW has. Closest you can get to an apples-to-apples comparison would put FF7 at about $575m total 5-day worldwide debut.
-
This didn't have nearly the same hype leading up as TDK, TDKR Avengers or Ultron (or even Furious 7 I'd say). This is a movie people became aware of and just decided to go see without talking about it that much.
My impression at least.
-
At the cinemark theater near me the regular theater is filling up fast while the same showtimes in 3d whether large screen or normal screen have 10% as many seats filled at most. But there's a megaplex theater with a digital imax screen showing JW in 3d that is filling up while the comparable 2d showtimes are about a quarter as full.
-
130m overseas through Friday, maybe another 80+ saturday, 50-60 sunday, should be over 250 easily, plus at least 190m domestic, 440 and up for the WW 5-day opening.
-
This movie will take two days to beat every 3-day OW prediction from every single user on the forum.
When the first trailer came out my first thought was 70-90m for opening weekend. Lol. And really for any movie costing 150m an opening of 70-90 is good.
-
Here's my timeline:
First trailer came out and I thought jeez this looks cheesy and almost every line of dialogue is terrible. 70-90m opening, under Godzilla because that had great marketing even if the movie didn't quite have the punch promised.
First tracking for 100+ came out and I was a little surprised and thought "well I guess 100m is possible, jurassic park is certainly a bigger brand in north america then Godzilla so..."
Next tracking for 110+ came out and I thought "wow, I can't believe it's that high"
Last night I was thinking the Thursday previews would be in the 8-12m range. 18.5m shows up this morning and I'm blown away. And that's on top of there being no reports from fandango about how it's outselling xyz titles the way they love to do which indicates that a big chunk of the audience was walkups.
I still lean conservative compared to some others here just because the numbers are so big already. 140m maybe.
-
2
-
-
Yeah I think it's crazy that San Andreas did so well but spy is doing slightly below expectations (or at least slightly below what I thought were general expectations).
-
Game of thrones is waaayyy more involved than entourage. Anyone can watch an entourage episode with no context and get most of what's going on.
-
Looks to slot right in between Let's be Cops and This is the End, leaning a bit towards Let's be Cops.
-
I could easily see universal giving it an extra push somewhere in July or august to get it past avengers.
-
Should have been pitch perfect and mad Max this weekend and tomorrowland and poltergeist last weekend. That would have been more interesting
-
1
-
-
May 3rd - 439m
May 10th - 562m (+123)
May 17th - 770m (+208 - 156m china = +52m everywhere else)
-
The early tracking a month or so ago was under 30 for the opening, and combine that with the bad rumors about production and other things, plus the long incubation time, it all added up to MMFR looking like a complete dud. Then a week ago tracking had it possibly as high as 40m and things started looking up, then the reviews came in and now with an almost guaranteed 40+ and likely very healthy legs... Things are looking much much better for Max than I expected.
-
Yeah I'm thinking about 900m this sunday, but by next sunday it should have more than caught up with the first Avengers
-
They have it at $370.21m instead of yesterday's 381
-
Seemed high to me as well. So is China the only number they're fudging or are there others? True ww total is 12m less, 1417m?
Monday #s: Jurassic World 25.34M | DOWN GOES TDK MONDAY
in Numbers and Data
Posted
1:50pm digital imax 3d show was about 50% presold online and about 80-90% full. The 730pm show is already over 95% presold.