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About MattW

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  1. Looking at 2013's Valentine's day openers I'd guess that if Alita does 37 over the 5 days it'll end up around 75m total.
  2. Happy Death day is estimated at $2.25m Identity Thief made $2.0m on Wednesday the 13th, then 5.37m on Thursday going into a 23m 2nd weekend. I'd guess that Isn't It Romantic has a chance of getting into that neighborhood tomorrow, ~5m, but a much smaller weekend. Beautiful Creatures opened to 2.5m on the 14th and dropped 10% on Friday. Warm Bodies jumped 300% on Valentine's day. I want to think HDD2U is more likely to get that kind of bump but it could be any (or none) of them. A guess for HDD2U, W- 2.25 Th- 3.5 Fri- 4 Sat- 4.5 Sun- 3.25 Mon- 1.6 3-day: $11.75m 4-day: $13.35m 6-day: $19.1m
  3. 237 seems high without some major participations and I don't think Rodriguez has the cache for that. Before tax credits maybe?
  4. Cameron fanboys sleeping or something http://collider.com/avatar-sequels-filming-live-action/
  5. I'm pretty sure it's 5 seconds. Movies that get advertised on youtube will have high view counts and very, very low like counts relative to views because the views didn't come from the actual video page where you can click the like button, but from another video's page as a pre-roll ad. Compare that to pretty much any other trailer with a similar view count, even ones from 5 or 6 years ago and you have way more likes: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=movie+trailer&sp=CAMSAhAB
  6. MattW


    It's a bold club, you're only off by about 100%. Double it. Out.
  7. Working backwards to hit 300: Sunday 70 Saturday 85 Friday 70 Thursday previews 40 Wednesday sneaks 20 Tuesday secret screenings 10 Monday surprise 5 = $300m
  8. Yes, in. 800-900 SM:FFM 900-1b H&S
  9. FF4 FF5 FF6 FF7 FF8 H&S Dom 155 210 239 353 226 200 China 66 391 393 275 OS-Ch 208 420 484 776 617 425 WW 363 630 789 1519 1236 900 Basically Fast Five dom and os, but then add in a healthy china gross.
  10. MattW

    Top Grossing Movies of 2019 Predicts

    Jan-Feb will be down quite a bit March through June should do ok relative to last year, roughly par I'd guess July and August significantly stronger September, October on par or somewhat better than last year November down December way up

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