MattW
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Posts posted by MattW
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I am getting 16.9M.
They updated it I guess. I knew that seemed way too high.
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I'm not so sure about these big numbers. With 7pm shows instead of 10pm for FF6, and with all the extra hype and coverage I could easily see something like this:
Th - 15.8
Fri - 40
Sat - 35
Sun - 23
OW - 114
Those are similar Fri-Sat and Sat-Sun drops that FF4 had which is the same weekend. The only difference is the bigger Thursday number and that's more than explained by the above.
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http://deadline.com/2015/04/furious-7-supercharges-weekend-with-15-8m-thursday-preview-1201403822/
The last paragraph says it's at $94.8 million overseas. Is that just Thursday or does that include some places on Friday?
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The top rated R openings isn't a very good list as many opened mid-week.
Matrix reloaded made 158m in it's first week (if we include the wed previews as part of thurs as all movies today do), Hangover 2 did 149m, and passion did 145m, and I think all would be over 100m OW if they had opened on a friday.
But still, AS might double the previous best opening for the month. When was the last time that happened?
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The italy numbers are surprisingly good, makes me think it should do 200 or more total overseas.
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Not trying to steal Elessar's spot, but here's week by week based on the sunday afternoon estimates:
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The last WW total for BOTFA is wrong. It's at 723M, NOT 678.
Dang it, fixed. Thanks.
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That's how it's doing compared to the last two.
Edit - oops. Fixed.
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Yeah, mid-300's seems about right to me.
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I think 350-400m os. Plenty considering the 165m budget but I'm not sure it was a wise decision on WB's part to get distribution for whatever they traded it for.
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In which territories do you think it will decrease?
One example is Australia. Top movie from the last few years is Avengers, and IM3 dropped a similar percentage as it did in North America (and Thor2 actually had a similar drop as well). Other countries like that are mostly western countries like Lordmandeep said. In my mind that signals the same pattern for AOU will most likely apply across those countries.
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Need for Speed did as much as FF6 in china so I'm gonna guess 7 will do over 100m pretty easily. Flat or marginal growth everywhere else so I think 650-ish OS and 900 ww.
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AOU will increase in many territories but I think it will decrease in others as well, like it will in north america. I would guess down about 50-100 and up about 250-300, net +200 ---> ~1.1b
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Here's a Black panther announcement video:
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Captain America Civil War - May 6, 2016
(no release July 2016)
Dr Strange - Nov 4, 2016
GotG2 - May 5, 2017
Thor Ragnarok - July 28, 2017
Black Panther - Nov 3, 2017
Avengers Infinity War pt 1 - May 4, 2018
Captain Marvel - July 6, 2018
Inhumans - Nov 2, 2018
Avengers Infinity war pt 2 - May 3, 2019
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Its pretty easy to copy paste Mojo's data into a google spreadsheet which keeps the functionality of it. I did the worldwide charts, might do some other things at some point.
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Looks like it'll just barely scrape by $700m. North America has maybe another 500k, and overseas maybe up to 3m.
After next weekend GotG will also be over 700m, which puts the total so far at 7. Mockingjay and Hobbit3 are guaranteed, Interstellar is a possible and Big Hero 6 is a maybe. Up to 11 this year, and that's quite a lot. 2012 and 2013 had 8 each.
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Seems like it should get over 100m overseas at this point. 60m so far with a few more markets coming up.
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Another case where the chinese report ($30m) is higher than the US report ($26.6m).
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325-330 from NA, 333-340 from existing OS markets, 7-10 from Italy (for nice round numbers). That puts it at 665-680m. Add in Thor2's china number and it's at 720-735. Avengers China number puts it at 750-765. I'd say that's the upper limit.
Edit, very soft drop everywhere this weekend, seems like the upper end is certain, $670 without China or Italy.
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With IM3 doing $120m and Cap2 doing $115 I'd expect about double for the full Avengers, maybe a smidge more. My very non-expert guess is about $230-250m.Can we expect Avengers 2 to outgross transformers 4?
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You say $30M cuz the first one made that much, but this one could make more (or less). $700M isn't out of the question.
True, I know practically nothing about Japan but it does seem to be rather fickle with respect to hollywood movies. Sequels seem to have less consistency there. I guess we'll see.
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$47m in china last weekend, and now it's at $72m. That's a pretty steep drop. About $10m during the week and $15m over its second weekend. I don't think it'll get much past $90m there, and if it does another 30m in Japan that puts it at about $690m overall meaning it needs 10m from everywhere else which will be tough.
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350 right now, maybe 15-25m from existing markets plus the few small new ones it has left. $30-40m in Japan and $90-110m in China is what I'm gathering from other threads.
$485-525m?
Fast & Furious 7 | 1165.6m overseas | 1518.6m Worldwide | Crosses $1.5 Billion Worldwide / 3m from passing The Avengers WW total!
in International Box Office
Posted
60 before Friday, 60 on Friday, +50+40? +60+40? +60+50?
+140dom = 340-380
This is the new transformers. Except I enjoy this series.