Lumos
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Posts posted by Lumos
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So, 81.4M is the target for TDKR. That number would make it the most attended OD ever.....91*0.45=40.9540.95/(7.93*1.3)=3.97m 3d tickets91*0.55=50.0550.05/7.93=6.31m 2d tickets3.97+6.31=10.28M tickets10.28*7.92= 81.4MOf course, TDKR will do a bit better in IMAX, so maybe 83M is a better target. Still mighty impressive.....
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Well everyone keeps saying that, but I don't think its that high. The avengers had a pretty high 3D share after all....I think i worked it a while ago that was about 178M....slightly ahead of TDK and Spiderman 3. I'm too tired to figure it out at the moment though.....No, it needs probably 185M+ depending on how much it makes in IMAX.
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I agree. I can only find a handful of theatres with any sellouts today....I think it's doing better in America though, especially the larger cities.I can say whatever happened in Canada tonight was not likley reflective of what happened across America?If that is so, weekend tracking is out the window this whole weekend.
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Ha! I thought someone might comment on that. What can I say? I've got my fingers crossed......How conveniently below Potter
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It burnt off 30.6M in demand at midnight. Some people are underwhelmed with that number, but it's absolutely huge, and definitely took pressure off matinees and evening showings.I can't think of any reason -- other than the shooting -- why TDKR non-midnights would come in lower than TDK's, unadjusted. We don't have confirmation of that, of course, but anywhere close to it IMHO is shocking.
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I see it doing something like this for the weekendFri: 78.6MSat: 48MSun: 40.5MOW: 167.1MDown from 185 (about 10%) from what it would normally do.
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It'd have to make over 60M throughout the day to do that. No 2D film has ever made 60M (even adjusted for inflation) in one day without the help of midnights. It might have done it, but it seems pretty unlikely considering its midnight gross.80M is horrible relative to expectations, and despite what many are trying to spin, these were NOT ludicrous expectations. 100M OD may not have happened but the OD record was not out of reach AT ALL.
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I wonder if she's taking into consideration that this isn't in 3D. Running less today in ticket sales or in $$$?FRIDAY 6 PM, 9TH UPDATE: No major changes to report except that The Dark Knight Rises is running less today than Marvel’s The Avengers but had more midnight business. So the two films are running neck and neck.
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Scotiabank Theatre Toronto, one of the biggest theatres in Canada, only has 7 sellouts for Friday thus far (excluding the midnight showings this morning). Lol, that's really not encouraging.
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Even if every ticket for DH2 was in 3D and the average 3D ticket was a whopping 40% higher than the average ticket, it still would have made over 31M (43.5/1.4) with a 2D release. And we all know DH2 did better in 2D than 3D, so it's likely a 2D release would have still came close to 40M, or 30% higher than TDK.its already broken the record for most attended as well as most 2d midnight ever. What are you talking about?
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WOW! My theatre has 14 showings for TDKR today, and none of them sold out! None of them! I don't know how many showings DH2 had, but i remember there were multiple sell-outs.I'm starting to wonder if 80M is possible. Maybe high 70's is more realistic at the moment.....
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Impossible. You think it would have managed to make 70M for the rest of Friday, without 3D? The highest single day ever, excluding midnights, and adjusted for inflation is the original Spiderman's Sat, and that couldn't even get to 60M.Agreed. We'll never know if 100M was a possibility before this.
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Well you shouldn't be. It would make it the 2nd most attended OD of all time time! And if it manages to make 83M - the highest attended OD in motion picture history. The 100M OD talk was always a pipe dream.I can't help but be a little disappointed if it "only" does $80m or thereabouts, even with the shooting.
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I can't believe there's still people who think this will break the OD record after what just happened....it made only 30.6m at midnight and there was a massive shooting where 71 were shot. Anything over 80M would be fantastic!
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Ha! Only 28M for midnights....this never had any chance of any records. So glad, Potter will keep its insane midnight/OD records!!
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It's being called a massacre now....
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10 people CONFIRMED DEAD. This is so sad......
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Oh dear, this thread is blowing up.Anyways, like I said - any publicity is good publicity. 185M+ is still looking likely.....
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Eh. If people want to see this film OW they'll see it OW....and as the old saying goes....any publicity is good publicity.How is this ever going to encourage people to go to the theaters?
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This is going to receive a lot of media attention. Might be favourable for the box office this weekend IMO.....
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So how many casualties are there? One website is saying 12 dead, and 20 injured. That's on the same level as some US school shootings like Virgina Tech and Columbine.
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1. The Hunger Games: 9/102. Catching Fire: 8.5/103. Mokingjay: 6/10....would have been about 4/10 if it wasn't for the ending! What a terrible novel in comparison to the first two....
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I wish that happened! And if Potter was still in its prime, it may have done itGoF adjusts to over 350M now, and SS adjusts to about 450M....it wouldn't have uncharted territory...But the decline in tickets after GoF made that possibility pretty unlikely. I was predicting 330M for DH1 and 400M for DH2 initially. Then when DH1 underperformed I lowered my DH2 prediction to 350M.I think that both part of the deathly hallows underperformedDH1 - 360mDH2 - 445mthats what i had wished happened
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I just find it so strange that the film sold less than 40M tickets....even PoA which had a hugely dissapointing dom gross managed to outsell Part 1 by more than 2.5m ticketsAnd sorry, but a 125M OW was terrible for a potter flick. HBP made 160M in 5 days....that would translate into about 130-135M for its OW if it was released on a friday. Part 1 should have done something closer to New Moon (142M) for its OW in an ideal market.....
TDKR Weekend: $160.89M - #3 ALL TIME HIGHEST OW
in Numbers and Data
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I don't know if this can even make 160M for the weekend.Fri: 77.2M (46.56m/30.64)Sat: 44.23M (-5%)Sun: 38.48M (-13%)OW: 159.91M