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Lumos

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Everything posted by Lumos

  1. WOW....200.3M!!!!!! That's just mind boggling. Atleast Potter retained the midnight and OD record....by quite a large margin too. Is Avengers the first film in history to take the OW record but fail to take the OD record? It's certainly the first in a very long time if it's not.....
  2. I'll be fucking pissed if that happens. I don't care when studios do this to get a nice round number, but not when it's to break a record. Especially such an important one like the OW record....
  3. This is how i see the weekend unfolding....Fri: 72MSat: 54MSun: 42MOW: 168MIt's going to be ridiculously close to the OW recod....it's guaranteed for at least 160M IMO....
  4. YAYHAW! IF these estimates turn out to be true, Potter should hold onto the OW record. Now I just need TDKR to underwhelm slightly and it'll have fended off all of 2012's mighty blockbusters....fantastic!!!
  5. Why does everyone think BD2 is going to have a finale effect? The last movie in a series only does better than the previous installments if the story is leading up to something. With Potter it was whether Harry would live or die, with Star Wars it was how Skywalker became Darth Vader. Twilight isn't really leading up to a pinnacle moment, hence why I don't see much of an increase. And with Star and Potter we had a new film come out every 2 - 3 years, Twilight had 4 films released in 3yrs. For these reasons, I feel like it will do the same as all the previous films. Your either a Twilight fan or your not....Potter was an 8 film franchise, so obviously it was going to lose some fans along the way...but many of them came back for the final installment. And the final potter wasn't even a top 3 ticket seller in the franchise....which is why i find it difficult to believe that BD2 will sell more tickets than NM.
  6. I didn't say it was a bad sign, i said it wasn't a great sign. The film is obviously more frontloaded than NM, and with a lower OD I think this has 0 chance of topping 300M....280M seems to be the target.
  7. I don't see this hitting 140M either....133 - 137M seems most probable. It had a 4M lead on NM with its midnight gross and still failed to top its OD...not a great sign IMO.
  8. This is a remarkable OD considering students were in school, mitigating midnight and afternoon showings. For DH, 43% of the money made on its OW came from 3D, and those tickets are about 30% higher than a standard 2D ticket. So when you do the math only about 37% of the tickets sold were actually 3D....0.43*91M= 39.13M 39.13M/10.34= 3.78M 3D tickets sold0.57*91M=51.87M51.87M/7.95= 6.52M 2D tickets soldTotal Tickets Sold: 10.3M3D - 36.7%2D - 63.3%If all of its tickets were sold in 2D, the film should have had an opening day of 81.9M (10.3*7.95)So, for BD Part 1 to make more than 90% of Hallows OD is really really impressive. Good job Twilight!
  9. Exactly! Why are initial sales relevant? Overall sales are probably quite close....I think DH sold about 15M copies and Eclipse like 12M in the States. And twilight gets so much more attention from the media and awards shows like MTV....not to mention Robert Pattison and Taylor Lautner are nearly as popular as the beatles....that contributes immensely to the gross.
  10. Well you have to admit that he does try to undermine Potter's success a fair bit. And he does publish these articles on the front page of BOM, so I wish he could be less bias....In his latest article he says It wasn't quite enough to beat DH2's midnight gross though that movie had the advantage of being the final installment and had a 3D boost. Why quite?? What's the point of adding quite? It makes it seem like it was actually close to DH2s record which is the furthest thing from the truth. Every accomplishment Potter has achieved, he try's to undermine with his word choice. And his previous article doesn't really need an explanation IMO, where he declares Twilight a more impressive movie franchise than Potter.
  11. Eh...i just feel that this number is slightly undeserving. But obviously there are people who disagree, so I'll leave it at that.Also, it's worth mentioning that ray Subers is a complete dick....they need to fire him from BOM!
  12. So DH1 made 39% of its OD from its midnight gross - BD1 should be slightly more frontloaded with about 40%, putting its opening day at 75M! And that should, unfortunately be enough to get this very close to 150M OW....2011 is one of the most impressive years as far as opening weekend go....
  13. Oh for god sakes. Please explain to me how having IMAX would have added 3M to BD1's midnight gross? There's only somthing like 300 IMAX theaters across the USA and Canada it should be fairly obvious that these people would go see them film on a normal screen if IMAX wasn't available to themEdit: My apologies...I though you said people really don't know how much of an impact imax has on the gross of films. My bad lol
  14. Um, no it wouldn't. DH2 made 2M from midnight and if those people were unable to see the film in that format they would have went to a normal theater and that 2M would have shrunk to something like 1.4-1.5M. The lack of IMAX brought this down by at most 0.5M....
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