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Lumos

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    Weekend numbers. Moana 28.3 | FB 18.5 | Arrival 7.3 | Allied 7 | DS 6.8 | Trolls 4.6 | Hacksaw 3.4

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Lumos

    Fantastic Beats was basically matching DH1's dailies all week. With that Friday increase it has now comfortably started to surpass its dailies. Assuming this trend continues 235-240m looks like where this will end up. I think that's absolutely fantastic! No one should be disappointed with this number.....post thanksgiving is one of the worst weekends for drops. Not even FB will be immune. Should do around 18m this weekend. 

    • Like 1

    Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I almost have to question those FB Thursday numbers. I thought 9m was the absolute ceiling for FB.....so 9.5m is fucking amazing. Even if it comes in at 9.3m a conservative estimate would have the weekend come in at around 41m. But since FB has performed anything but conservative this week who knows where this will end up lol. 

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Doctor Rth and his FBeasts said:

    top playdates
    ALL FBAWTFT

    1-Regal Union Square, NYC
    2-LMT Megaplex Jordon Commons, Sandy UT
    3-AMC Metreon, San Francisco
    4-AMC Boston Commons, Boston MA
    5-AMC 34st 14, NYC
    6-AMC Lincoln Square, NYC
    7-AMC Tysons Courner, Mclean VA
    8-CPLX Cinema Banque, Montreal
    9-CPLX Scotiabank, Toronto
    10-CM Mountain View, Mountain View CA
    11-LMT Megaplex south Jordan UT
    12-CPLX Scotiabank Vancouver
    13-AMC Burbank
    14-CPLX Scotiabank, Calgary 
    15-NCC Cinerama, Seattle

    No AMC Empire 25 or E-Walk , NYC :o because both playing (Empire Imax only) combined be #2

    A lot of Canadian theaters on that list. Do you know what the Canadian opening weekend was for Beasts? Curious cuz Potter always did well in Canada. 

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Lumos

    47 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

    FB was always going to do great in the UK since its the Potter homeland but big films based on British characters tend to over perform in the UK like Bridget Jones, The BFG, The Jungle Book etc 

     

     

     

    What's most impressive is how much its retained the audience in the UK. Fantastic Beasts opened to 64% of what DH2 made in the UK....in North America it only opened to 44% of DH2 numbers.

    • Like 1

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Percentage of First 3 Days coming from Opening day for Potter films

     

    PS: 35.8%

    CoS: 33.5%

    PoA: 40.8%

    GoF: 39.1%

    OotP: 50.0%

    HBP: 54.4%

    DH1: 49.3%

    DH2: 53.8%

    Fantastic Beasts: 39.6%

     

    Clearly not performing like the later Potter films. GoF seems to be the best comparison moving forward....similar legs will get this to 212m. Hoping for 40M this Thanksgiving weekend!

     

     

    • Like 2

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Lumos

    That's a fantastic Saturday hold. I wasn't expecting anything above 24m. In fact, if that 27m is correct Fantastic Beasts increased 30% on Saturday over Friday when you minus the preview number.  To add some perspective, Goblet of Fire which came out back in 2005 increased 10% on Saturday when taking out the Friday midnight gross. So all in all excellent Saturday! 200m is well within reach....and....uhh....maybe 225m. We'll have to see how it holds over American Thanksgiving. 

    • Like 1

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    With the Potter films the fan base knew they wanted to see the movie. They read the books so of course they were going to the film adaption....and a huge portion of them on opening day and opening weekend too. I think the fabase was a little unsure about this project so they didn't bother. But with solid WOM and the fact there was very little rush factor involved here.....a 3x seems like a 50/50 shot at this point. I'm seeing 

     

    OW: 70.5m

    DOM: 205m (2.9x)

     

    • Like 2

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Lumos

    Potter was always a literary phenomenon. The films only did so well because of the sheer number of people who had read the books. There was something special about staying up until midnight to grab the new HP book. Reading it over and over again and picturing in your mind what it would look like on the big screen. The trailers for the films would literally have me at my computer pressing the replay button 30x in a row for an hour. I'd go over every frame thinking "wow that looks way different than what i expected" or being amazed at how some really interesting scenes would be brought to life. But without the books Potter would have never been the phenomenon that it was. Fantastic Beasts is a spin off that has no connection to Potter at all and was simply a screenplay written by JK for the sole purpose to make WB money. It's not surprising this is underwhelming big time. WB failed to understand why these Potter films made so much money in the first place. Take away the desire to see these beloved books adapted on the big screen and take away the characters that made the films and books so great and you have very little for fans to be excited about. So imo it's making what it deserves. Im a huge HP fan....but for the love of god can we just let the series be? Cursed child...fantastic beasts....all ridiculous stories that nobody was clamouring for. 

    • Like 3

    Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I'm not too bothered by these numbers. This isn't Potter....and there's barely any connection to the Potter series. Albus Dumbledore strongly argued against your expulsion??? That's how we're going to market this film? Of course the fanbase isn't excited. Nobody cares about Newt Scamander, the plot looked incredibly weak from the trailers and it just felt like a ridiculous attempt from WB to keep on milking this franchise. The characters of the Potter verse were always the major draw....and this is more clear than ever now. I'm not saying this film should have never been approved. It's a fine film...not great....but it will please us die hard HP fans. But to expect the majority of the Potter fanbase to rally behind this was pretty unrealistic. The fact that this could make nearly 200m DOM is actually quite impressive considering the fact that there is zero connection to Potter. If WB really wanted to milk the franchise they would have made an effort to understand what made the series so special in the first place....and bring those elements into the spinoff. The adventure's of an author who wrote one of Harry's textbooks was always a bad idea. I love JK but come on...this was a story no one was asking for. And the box office will reflect this.

    • Like 5

    Thursday #s: (DHD) Dory 17.4M

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Lumos

    1 hour ago, tribefan695 said:

    Just remarkable that Nemo's original adjusted run is anywhere close to being in play now

    I kind of suspected as much...although I was a little hesitant to predict anything more than 500M originally. Finding Nemo is the best selling DVD of all time. It had a huge run in theatres and gained an even larger audience after it was released. Waiting 13 years for nostalgia to kick in and delivering a sequel that lives up to the first (94% on rotten tomatoes) has made this the must see movie of the summer. 

    • Like 1
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