Lumos
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Posts posted by Lumos
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I thought The Conjuring would hold better against the opening of a kids flick. But in hindsight this makes sense. Most of the people seeing FD are 15-25....about the same same age as the audience for the conjuring lol
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Dory could make anywhere from 45-50m this Saturday. So there's still a pretty huge range for it this weekend. 137-147m......I'm gonna go right in the middle with 142m. Would need a 3.5x to get to 500m
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Hoping these estimates keep rising throughout the day! Really wanna see this top 140M OW...that would put it right on track for 500M DOM.
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I think this could open to as high as 70M OW. The first film had a lot of goodwill behind it, expanded its audience after its theatrical release and with little competition out there it just seems like all the stars are aligned for a break out opening. I'm seeing 65/150
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1 hour ago, hasanahmad said:
I'm really surprised this is nowhere near avengers numbers. This is basically avengers 3 in its form and reviewing really well. Was avengers the pinnacle box office ow wise ?
How is 10% off from AOU "nowhere near" Avengers numbers? This is still a huge opening day and could easily hit 200M OW....
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50 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:
Jungle Book's weekends really have been extraordinary. It seems like a good bet to hit $350M even with a 50% drop next weekend.
With the weaker weekdays, Disney should really consider releasing JB2 in July so it can fully utilize summer weekdays and really make some gangbusters.
350m? 400m is starting to look like a real possibility at this point...especially if it can have a decent hold next week against Captain America.
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Wow. BvS was down only 45% from its previous Thursday. Looks like a <50% weekend drop is possible....was really hoping for another 60% drop haha
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3 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Fantastic Beasts is do 90/250. Just fine. WB will move forward with the second movie.
Fantastic beasts will open to less than the jungle book? Ahahahaha....don't make me laugh. That would be beyond disappointing.
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9 minutes ago, Treetrunk Special said:
For Fantastic Beasts to be above Batman v Superman it would need to beat all the first 7 Harry Potters, despite being a spin off with none of the characters. Never going to happen. If it got to 200M it would be a great achievement, 350M is impossible.
And BvS outside of top 10? That would require 11+ movies over 300M. You seriously think that is going to happen? Even adjusted for inflation, the most 300M movies in one year is 7. This year may be full of blockbusters but it's not going to rewrite history. 11 300M films is impossible.
You do realize that adjusted for inflation and 3D all the Potter films are above 350M DOM. The box office landscape has changed a lot in the last 5-10 years. 350m seems extremely probable
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Normally I don't root for a film to fail....but this film was so bad on so many levels that this 70% drop makes me absolutely elated. WB delivered crap and people are rejecting it! Good for the public. Do better next time WB! But it's probably too late....this film left a bad taste in my mouth and I have no interest in seeing Justice League.
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Boring....we were all expecting a 5-10% drop today anyways. The Friday increase will be very telling with regards to just how front loaded this film is going to be. I still see a 52m (-69%) 2nd wkend....
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Saw this film last night, and I'm pretty sure this is the worst superhero movie I have ever seen. I hope this film crashes and burns. Really rooting for a Deadpool>BvS DOM Total
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I hope this comes in just under DH2. Will be too heartbreaking to see my baby fall to #7. Just needs a -7% drop on Saturday followed by -28% on Sunday!
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Wow. So the highest grossing movie of all time will spend less weeks at #1 than Mockingly Part 2. ....did not see that coming.
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1 BILLION domestically is still possible but it's going to be a long slow crawl to that number. The Hunger Games which was a fairly leggy film had a 4.38x from its fourth weekend going foreword. Giving the same multiplier to TFA and assuming a 49M fourth weekend it would hit 985M domestically. That's an awful lot of money! But would miss an absolutely historic milestone if it ended there. I'm sure Disney will find a way to get this film to one billion....one thing Star Wars has in its favour is theater counts. Should remain in 3000+ for the rest of January...
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I really don't see how this could fail to hit 1b domestically. Even DH2 had a 3.86x from its third weekend going forward. Similar legs from this point on for TFA would get the film to 991m. Shouldn't be too difficult to push it past 1 billion. It's definitely not a lock at this point but i still think its VERY VERY likely....
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1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:
Current List in Canada.... I think
SW7: 18,6 million (Biggest Single Day gross of 8 million)
TA: 15.6 million
JW: ????????????????
AOU: 13.8 million
DH2: 12.9 million
TDKR ????
Thanks for sharing this! It's so hard to find any data on Canadian box office anymore....
And, that's a phenomenal OW. SW will probably finish with around 60-70M...right around ROTK. No way it tops Avatars 96M in Canada...
I had no idea the biggest OW in Quebec prior to this weekend was The Da Vinci Code?? WTF.
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8 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:
247M. Nothing will beat this for a very long long time...
I said the same thing in 2007 when Spider-Man 3 made a mind boggling 151m. Then BAM! TDK came out out and topped it by 8m the following year. So it could happen. That's what makes the box office so much fun to follow haha
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Interesting. So....JW still has the biggest Friday minus previews. As well as biggest Saturday. But SW takes the Sunday record. That likely bodes very well for Monday....
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I think Fantastic Beasts is going to be a lot bigger than a lot of people on this board are predicting. That being said, I still see Rogue One coming out on top
FB: 370M
RO: 600m?
Not sure how things will shake up overseas. But they should both clear 1b WW with ease.....
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Congrats SW fans! That is a stunning Thursday preview
number. I'm a little sad to see DH2 lose the record....but it was kind of expected. DH2 will always have the biggest midnights in my mind! #5extrahours
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OW: 233.7M
DOM: 761.1M
WW: 1.643B
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Wow. So the the first 4 HP movies actually sold more tickets than the 4 Hunger Game films
SS: 56m
COS: 45m
POA: 40m
GOF: 45m
total: 186 million tickets
THG: 51m
CF: 52m
MJ1: 41m
MJ2: 35m?
Total: 179 million tickets
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So Jurassic World will have a bigger 2nd weekend than MJ2 OW. Who would have predicted that at the beginning of the year?
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Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - FD: $136.2M, CI: $34.5M, TC2: $15.56M, NYSM2: $9.65M, Flopcraft: $6.52M
in Numbers and Data
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Any updates for Saturday? God I would love to see this hit 50M today.....