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Posts posted by AndyLL
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Thursday night previews should stop counting as part of the weekend.
Why?
Previews are for fanboys/girls. Anyone that goes to a Thursday preview would've gone over opening weekend so it does't invalidate the numbers.
Fanboys/girls love them because it gives them a chance to see their movies opening in a theater crowded with like minded fans.
I'm sure theaters love them because it spreads the craziness of a huge opening day into 2 nights.
I'm sure studios love them because it starts the hype of a big opening earlier. ( can be a double edged sword )
win-win-win-win
With my work/family I'd never be able to go to a 12 showing so the earlier previews gives me a chance to experience one of the funnest nights in moviews.
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The same reason publishers have to allow used bookstores to exist.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First-sale_doctrine
I thought there were some exceptions for renting for profit ( i.e. video stores had to buy a special license to rent them out ) but a public library were typically be exempt from those exceptions.
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So you think it will match the most anticipated movie in history just like that, easily?
no...
I think by December that SW7 will become the most anticipated movie in history.
And I am one of those idiots that waited over 4 hours to see TPM
the first 3 did not even have VHS or piracy
The OT is not Tele old... we did have VHS back then.
Early dvd releases and piracy does effect movie attendance these days. However I believe SW7 falls outside of that. It will be more of an experience as opposed to just a movie to go see.
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This ain't Phantom Menace. This is Star Wars after the prequels happened.
Phantom Menace is the #1 film of a franchise that is #1 of all time adjusted. PM isn't hurting the box office of SW7.
The 1st films of both trilogies are #5 and #6 all time un-adjusted DOM. Neither had 3D or IMAX
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Star Wars got nothing to do with Fast 7. I don't see SW breaking 1.5b, let alone Titanic.
I don't understand comments like this.
The Phantom Menace adjusts to 750 DOM and if you take the same % 883 OS. That alone is 1.6 WW.
This will have 3D and IMAX and China.
Do you really think this will do less then PM?
Does anyone ever look at the history of a franchise before making predictions?
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baumer is now predicting $2b for SW7 on the sole basis that because F7 is gonna hit 1.5b, then Star Wars is LOCKED to do it. I've also been seeing people predict 1.1b for MJ2.
China's become a BIG influence, but that doesn't mean every big film is going to do as much or more than F7. That's absurd.
The answer to your topic title is yes.
However the examples you give in your post are poor. There are valid reasons for both MJ2 and SW to hit the huge predictions.
CF did 850. Yes MJ1 did less but the reasons it did are well documented. MJ2 is the conclusion to a very well received franchise. It'll do 1 billion WW and 1.1 is in reach.
Star Wars. 2 billion seems crazy. However this forum is younger and you young guys don't understand how ingrained the Star Wars franchise is to us older people.
SW will bring in multi-generations of people that are not the typical movie goers. Add in the typical movie goers who won't miss a movie event like this and it has the potential to be huge.
BTW... I believe Snipers unexpected success was for the same reason. It brought in a non-typical movie goer crowd.
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Shia LaBeouf
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Pretty sure TServo means the leaked D23 memo, not the movie announcement.
ahh...
That's possible. It seems unlikely they'd have dates that early.
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I have read that this may well be a hoax.
It was announced at a shareholders meeting.
They're not allowed to make things up there.
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Hopefully this time they'll bother to read the script out loud to see how it sounds. Some of the Legacy dialog is so painful to listen to I find it hard to believe it made it into the film.
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They were flying through the city in superhero clothes. And Hiro said that they were going to save lives.
I'll have to rewatch it... I don't remember that scene
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But that end.... Couldn't they just simply became normal people after finishing their mission??? It would have been so much more inspiring and "real".
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The end scene was them heading off to school... seemed pretty normal to me.
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Lol, thinking a movie shouldn't be sexist makes me dumb?
Opinions are subjective.
In your opinion, it succeeded.
In my opinion, it failed.
You didn't state it as an opinion... you stated it as a fact.
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Knew it was coming, YES YES YES!
If adventure has a name, it must be mother fucking Indiana JONES!
Yep... I fell sorry for you young'ens that didn't get to experience this in the theater when it came out.
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Happy birthday!
By the way, #Frozen2 is now the number one trending topic worldwide. The little girls are excited!
Little girls aren't on twitter. I'm guessing little girls moms are real excited.
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This needs to move to the box office forums.
By the way:
Or just update the title of the original thread since it never went away
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I fight for the users
Just re-watched Legacy.
I didn't appreciate this enough when I saw it in theaters. My son was young and bored and I had trouble following it.
After seeing it again on a free HBO preview I grew to really like it and bought the Blu-Ray.
Yes... the story is confusing and anyone here could have written better dialog.
However the visuals were amazing and the soundtrack became one of my favorites of all time.
I'd kill to have the opportunity to see this in IMAX
That Fall/Winter I was coding a website for a company a friend and I formed. For months almost every day after everyone went to bed I'd turn off the lights and put this or the Social Network on and code halfway through the night.
The music of Tron ( and the theme of the SN ) would kept me motivated to keep plugging away at the project.
My kid... who interfered with my watching this in the theater became a huge fan also. He made these 'Discs' and we'd run around the house throwing them at each other:
The Tron Dance party at Disneyland was huge fun also. We made a special trip to CA ( from CO ) just to see it one more time before it went away. And of course I couldn't resist buying 'real' discs:
I'm freakin' excited for Tron 3.
I'll be very disappointed if Daft Punk are not involved.
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Frozen is truly something special.
I thought it might be the one animation to make your list
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Except Annie Hall beating SW and Cuckoo's Nest beating Jaws.
Agreed although Cuckoo's Nest was fantastic.
And Alpha's right ( likely by mistake ) Eddy Murphy hasn't been funny in a long time.
I'd vote for Tina & Amy but if they muzzle them then it would be pointless.
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What'd I miss?
(Don't tell me.)
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Enlighten me, please.
Brave is the only iffy one although I would have picked Coroline over UP
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No surprised. Disney winning short... animation...
Disney's only won Best Animation twice and the short twice.
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It's cool, I think it's been proven since 2012 the Academy has got animated film wrong every year, so I can get over it rather quickly
Uhhh... no.
AVENGERS Official Wknd Estimates: 191M - Disney
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Rth, I believe, in the past has stated that he isn't allowed to predict preview numbers before the official numbers come out but if he's around preview night/early morning it sometimes it pays off to watch what he doesn't say.
Or he's just screwing with us.