TTT legs = $1.01b
ROTK legs = $1.05b
FOTR legs = $1.09b
Hobbit legs = $885m (for the pessimists)
A $6m Wednesday will drop the number to these respectively: $993m, $1.01b, $1.08b,and $887m. The graph is going fluctuate quite a bit or the next few days.
With that Monday drop TFA would end above $1b using all three of the LOTR movies daily increases/decreases now.
FOTR legs = $1.1b
TTT legs = $1.01b
ROTK legs = $1.03b
and
Hobbit3 legs = $897m for shall we say, those with "lack of faith"
Yea, if you took away all of Barry's hits in 2004 he still would have had a .376 on-base percentage; the amount of walks he received from 2001 to 2004 were insane.
Ruth hit more home runs in a season than all other American League teams twice, 1920 and 1927; like Gone with the Wind's legendary box office.
Baseball and Box Office, two of my favorites - thanks Tele
I started with TFA Sunday gross then used the daily increases/decreases for each movie.
I'm going with around a $970m total (and $1b if Disney gives it a late Oscar push), where do you think it will end up?
1 Mad Max: Fury Road
2 Inside Out
3 Star Wars: The Force Awakens
4 Kingsman: The Secret Service
5 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation
6 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2
7 Furious 7
So...
Movies that missed at least a 4.0X multiplier (what TFA needs for $1b) that opened with at least $30m weekend from December 15 to December 25th:
Sherlock Holmes 3.35X (Dec 25)
Unbroken 3.78X (Dec 25)
Marley and Me 3.94 (Dec 25)
Tron Legacy 3.91 (Dec 17)
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events 3.95X (Dec 17)
The other 13 movies all made at least a 4.0X multiplier
Into the Woods
Django Unchained
Catch Me If You Can
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel
Little Fockers
Meet the Fockers
Night at the Museum
National Treasure: Book of Secrets
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
Avatar
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Obviously TFA is a different beast with it's huge opening weekend(s), but it seems reasonable that $1b is still in play.
TFA probably won't claim #1 domestic until Wednesday or Thursday as the Monday drop is also going to be quite steep.
In only three weeks time; seems crazy to even type that.
So they are predicting a 44% drop for Sunday or $19.4m from the 34.5 estimated Saturday number. 2009 drops were also harsh for Sunday (except Avatar); curious to see if it can manage to stay above $20m though.