Louis Lux
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Everything posted by Louis Lux
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Yes, that was brutal... No wonder movies are getting more frontloaded... -
Yes, it was only the best june ever, and best non-July month ever
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Yes, he's got major cred in the genre. Comic book fans would be delighted if he got the gig, and WB should see that in the right hands it's a 2B dollar movie waiting to happen.
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Pretty standard for an animated movie no? MU got 4000 and the first DM got 3600. Animated movies never have monster openings anyway.
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That way catching fire might pull off a 100M opening day. Monsters and Nemo are much more geared toward children than the other Pixar movie IMO. Toy Story, Wall-e and incredibles are among Pixar more mature movies. A superman movie by Brad Bird would be great, maybe he'll still do it. Justice League anyone?
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Yes, a little over 270M by sunday. 300M is definitely happening, question is if it will hit 310M.
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It's an estimative just like every other figure given. They're generally a bit more conservative than other media coverage sites, but personally I feel that some budget reports are wildly over estimated. Studios get tax rebates and make promotional deals that probably offset some of the budget costs.
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That's producton+marketing.
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If it has an A-team style drop than probably not. But who knows, both around 13M is possible.
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...hmmm, after a 22M weekend SR grossed an additional 60M, so to me it's more like 248+60=308... 21M weekend for MOS would be nice.
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Don't know about in-depth but TASM third weekend lost 600 screens and dropped 69%...
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getting into MOD EDIT range territory again...
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That wasn't a wide release. E.T. is still the champ of all time for wide releases.. Also Titanic is over Avatar.
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IMO we can. the HP series has remained fairly constant even with very different release dates, if we compare HP3 and HP4 their weekend multiplier are quite different but their seven day multiplier are almost identical. Same for HP7 and HP8 their seven day multiplier are much closer than their three day multiplier. The obvious conclusion is that including weekdays to measure legs is much more accurate.
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Depending on the time of the year movies behave dramatically different, so all this talk of weekend multipliers is plain dumb. The more balanced way to do it is comparing the first seven days, why exclude the weekdays?
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That's not really fair since may releases have bigger weekend and smaller weekdays. If you compare the first seven days they have pretty similar shares of the total http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/grossbydays.htm?days=7&p=.htm You may also notice that Avengers has a smaller share than TDK, which indicates better legs.
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People are failing in their analyses of MOS, they expect the drops to remain this big but they're bound to get lower and stabilize. The summer Harry Potter movies grossed an average of 61M after 17 days in theaters. The Transformer movies grossed an average of 73M after 17 days in theaters. Man of Steel is behaving more like the HP movies but a little better, with 248M after 17 days in theaters it looks like it is headed for a 310M total -/+ 5M.
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Better than expected numbers all around... Bad weather? or is Nikki high as kite?
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Her math is atrocious, how is 51M for MU a 45% drop? edit: nevermind, her phrasing is atrocious it's the drop from last friday.
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MOS 8.5/25.5 coming in 3, 2, 1...
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Floor is 303M... MOS is 57M ahead of Prisoner of Azkaban (250M total) and slowly increasing the gap. Unless it starts bleeding screens, 300M+ seems rather safe.
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looks like she sobered up 9M friday for WHD, that's some weak sauce there...
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Basically it's all a bunch of poppycock. Her 6-9 range for friday would mean anywhere from 18-32 for the weekend, that's some mad range right there.
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Still, it was an acclaimed pixar original released back when movies had better legs. And the november/december holidays probably balance out summer weekdays.
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Maintaining Monsters, inc. multiplier with a big OW and DM2 on the horizon seems a tad optimistic.
