cremino

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market) 35,309 (-26%), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) Week 2 22,923 (-55%), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) Week 2 19,907 (-39%), Ant-Man (Disney) Week 2 18,849 (-32%), The Anthem of the Heart (Aniplex) Week 2 17,044 (-25%), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 4 12,517 (-06%), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) Week 3 11,053 (---), Aria the Avvenire (Shochiku) NEW 10,789 (-28%), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) Week 3 10,082 (-30%), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 5 9,527 (-35%), Pixels (Sony) Week 3 9,236 (-12%), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 8 5,920 (-04%), Haikyu!! the Movie: Winners and Losers (Toho Video Division) Week 2 4,575 (-31%), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 8 3,400 (---), I Order You (Avex Pictures) NEW 2,906 (---), Gonin Saga (Kadokawa) NEW 2,870 (-43%), San Andreas (Warner Bros.) Week 4 2,686 (-28%), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 9 2,634 (-39%), S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Toho) Week 5 2,301 (---), Wake Up, Girls! (Avex Pictures) NEW 2,264 (-76%), Yowamishi Pedal the Movie (Toho Video Division) Week 5 1,749 (-21%), Piece of Cake (Toei) Week 4 1,564 (-30%), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 12 1,223 (-33%), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 8 1,104 (+53%), Aikatsu! Music Awards Show! (Toei) Week 6 1,000+ >No Longer Heroine easily overtook Attack on Titan - Part 2 and will win the weekend in terms of admissions, and even with a much lower avg. ticket price, the difference in admissions appears significant enough to claim the #1 spot in revenue over the weekend, too. >Aria the Avvenire sold 59% of its available Saturday admissions, and if can do the same on Sunday, there's still the chance it crack the Top 10. An unlikely chance, especially with Kingsman (the likely #10 film) pulling off an incredible hold this weekend, but it's not impossible since ticket prices are probably crazy high. >Jurassic World is holding very strong, and is improving upon the likelihood of outgrossing Big Hero 6 to become the highest-grossing film of the year. Overall, the Saturday-to-Saturday drops are pretty good. Much better than I was expecting for many films. Last Sunday was a Movix Cinemas discount ticket day, so the Sunday-to-Sunday drops will likely be a bit larger than normal, but the weekend drops should come in reasonably strong for the post-holiday frame weekend.

Corpse Weekend Forecast (09/26-27) 01 (01) ¥167,000,000 ($1.4 million), -49%, ¥990,000,000 ($8.3 million), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) Week 2 02 (02) ¥152,000,000 ($1.3 million), -42%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.4 million), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) Week 2 03 (04) ¥116,000,000 ($960,000), -35%, ¥1,740,000,000 ($14.5 million), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 4 04 (03) ¥108,000,000 ($895,000), -46%, ¥700,000,000 ($5.8 million), Ant-Man (Disney) Week 2 05 (05) ¥87,000,000 ($720,000), -38%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.5 million), The Anthem of the Heart (Aniplex) Week 2 06 (06) ¥75,000,000 ($620,000), -38%, ¥790,000,000 ($6.6 million), Pixels (Sony) Week 3 07 (09) ¥73,000,000 ($605,000), -33%, ¥8,800,000,000 ($72.0 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 8 08 (07) ¥70,000,000 ($580,000), -36%, ¥770,000,000 ($6.4 million), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) Week 3 09 (08) ¥67,000,000 ($555,000), -37%, ¥2,300,000,000 ($18.9 million), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 5 10 (10) ¥51,000,000 ($602,000), -30%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.6 million), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) Week 3 I'm anticipating No Longer Heroine will knock off Attack on Titan - Part 2 over the weekend in admissions (only 13,000 separated them last weekend), but I don't know if it'll manage to do it in revenue due to the significant avg. ticket price differences between the two film (Titan's avg. ticket price was nearly 20% higher last weekend). Expect most films to experience hefty weekend drops, after coming off an extended holiday weekend period that last through Wednesday this year. And since this is a post-holiday weekend, no notable films are being released, and I don't think any of the openers are going to crack the Top 10. The Kingsman is looking at a solid weekend if pre-sales are any indication, so ~¥50 million is probably the minimum required to make the Top 10, and I don't think any of the openers are going to manage that. The Gonin Saga film is the only wide release, but it's barely so, playing on 124 screens, and its pre-sales were very weak. I don't think it'll make the Top 10. All the other openers are limited, however, one of them might have a fair chance of debuting in the Top 10, and that's Aria the Avvenire. It's only playing on 11 screens, so it's at a huge disadvantage there, but it's doing very well on those screens and could sell 50%+ of its available admissions. It's also likely to have a very high avg. ticket price, as these anime films typically do, so it wouldn't need the necessary admissions to make the Top 10 in revenue. We'll see. It's probably going to debut just outside the Top 10, though, in 11/12th, which would still be very impressive.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (09/19-20) 01 (--) ¥305,000,000 ($2.55 million), 0, ¥305,000,000 ($2.55 million), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) NEW 02 (--) ¥250,000,000 ($2.09 million), 0, ¥250,000,000 ($2.09 million), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) NEW 03 (--) ¥195,000,000 ($1.63 million), 0, ¥195,000,000 ($1.63 million), Ant-Man (Disney) NEW 04 (02) ¥183,000,000 ($1.53 million), -04%, ¥1,225,000,000 ($10.1 million), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 3 05 (01) ¥119,000,000 ($996,000), -45%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.1 million), Pixels (Sony) Week 2 06 (03) ¥108,000,000 ($904,000), -41%, ¥8,500,000,000 ($69.5 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 7 07 (04) ¥107,000,000 ($895,000), -41%, ¥2,010,000,000 ($15.4 million), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 4 08 (05) ¥106,000,000 ($887,000), -34%, ¥415,000,000 ($3.4 million), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) Week 2 09 (06) ¥72,000,000 ($602,000), -37%, ¥355,000,000 ($2.9 million), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) Week 2 10 (07) ¥54,000,000 ($452,000), -35%, ¥4,830,000,000 ($39.8 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 7 11 (09) ¥42,000,000 ($351,000), -32%, ¥4,960,000,000 ($40.8 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 8 12 (10) ¥37,000,000 ($310,000), -36%, ¥760,000,000 ($6.3 million), S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Toho) Week 4 Holiday Weekend Estimates (09/19-21) 01 (--) ¥445,000,000 ($3.72 million), 0, ¥445,000,000 ($3.72 million), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) NEW 02 (--) ¥410,000,000 ($3.43 million), 0, ¥410,000,000 ($3.43 million), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) NEW 03 (--) ¥310,000,000 ($2.59 million), 0, ¥310,000,000 ($2.59 million), Ant-Man (Disney) NEW 04 (02) ¥288,000,000 ($2.41 million), +52%, ¥1,330,000,000 ($11.0 million), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 3 05 (01) ¥183,000,000 ($1.53,million), -15%, ¥565,000,000 ($4.6 million), Pixels (Sony) Week 2 06 (05) ¥178,000,000 ($1.49 million), +11%, ¥485,000,000 ($4.0 million), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) Week 2 07 (03) ¥177,000,000 ($1.48 million), -03%, ¥8,570,000,000 ($70.1 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 7 08 (04) ¥164,000,000 ($1.37 million), -10%, ¥2,070,000,000 ($15.9 million), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 4 09 (06) ¥117,000,000 ($979,000), +02%, ¥400,000,000 ($3.3 million), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) Week 2 10 (07) ¥87,000,000 ($728,000), +04%, ¥4,865,000,000 ($40.1 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 7 11 (09) ¥71,000,000 ($594,000), +31%, ¥4,990,000,000 ($41.0 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 8 12 (10) ¥59,000,000 ($493,000), +07%, ¥785,000,000 ($6.5 million), S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Toho) Week 4

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market) 09/19 51,052 (---), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) NEW 47,727 (---), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) NEW 32,409 (---), Ant-Man (Disney) NEW 27,541 (---), The Anthem of the Heart (Aniplex) NEW 22,881 (-05%), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 3 15,059 (-46%), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) Week 2 14,568 (-58%), Pixels (Sony) Week 2 14,502 (-46%), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 4 13,350 (-45%), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) Week 2 10,499 (-51%), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 7 9,425 (-23%), Yowamushi Pedal the Movie (Toho Video Division) Week 4 6,604 (-50%), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 7 6,145 (---), Haikyu!! the Movie: Winners and Losers (Toho Video Division) NEW 5,078 (-56%), San Andreas (Warner Bros.) Week 2 4,311 (-45%), S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Toho) Week 4 3,696 (-38%), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 8 2,242 (-36%), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 11 2,214 (-46%), Piece of Cake (Toei) Week 3 1,814 (-52%), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 7 1,600 (-50%), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 8 1,151 (-50%), St. Vincent (Kino Films) Week 3 1,000+ >That's really worrisome for Attack on Titan - Part 2. If it doesn't have an incredible Sunday* performance, it's looking to open to half that of its predecessor... There were predictions suggesting that the poor reviews/WOM of the first film could hurt the second film, and that definitely appears to be the case. These films certainly didn't produce the results Toho and its filmmakers expected in Japan, and would probably be losing a lot of money, but thankfully for them, they're being released in over 90 markets overseas due to the manga's/anime's popularity. >Nice for No Longer Heroine. If it was playing at more locations, I'd give it a decent chance of winning the weekend in terms of admissions. All the Shojo (teenage romance) manga live-action adaptations over the past year have been performing quite well, and this one might give Warner Bros. their biggest release this year (they've had a bad 2015). >Ant-Man is doing as expected, maybe slightly better than, and should have a similar opening as the most recent non-Avengers/Iron Man Marvel films. >The Anthem of the Heart looks to be doing alright, but I was expecting something a little better given how wide Aniplex decided to take the film, by their standards. The number seems fine, but Aniplex has gotten these admissions, and better ones, for other films playing at far fewer locations. >The Summer (July/August) holdovers still can't catch a break with another weekend of solid performers keeping their weekends drops fairly high. >And it's worth mentioning that incredible hold for Unfair: The End. Its past set of weekdays were also very, very strong, so WOM is certainly spreading for it, which is interesting considering it's the third film in the series. *Sunday is a Movix Cinemas' Discount Day (20th of every month), and with Monday being a holiday, Sunday's evening business should be stronger than normal, too, so expect Sunday to outpace Saturday by more than usual.

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Seating [Theaters/Showings] (43% of Market) 09/19 Seats (% change) [Theaters/Showings], Film (Week of Release) 329,679 (---) [143/1,077], Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (NEW) 177,847 (---) [146/733], Ant-Man (NEW) 132,225 (---) [136/634], No Longer Heroine (NEW) 128,654 (---) [84/418], The Anthem of the Heart (NEW) 79,607 (-58%) [135/478], Bee of the Sky (Week 2) 78,161 (-41%) [139/528], Unfair: The End (Week 3) 77,927 (-61%) [138/479], Pixels (Week 2) 60,500 (-46%) [143/382], Ted 2 (Week 4) 56,169 (-49%) [141/343], Jurassic World (Week 7) 54,559 (-41%) [111/356], Kingsman: The Secret Service (Week 2) 39,366 (-36%) [138/304], S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Week 4) 39,180 (-79%) [94/259], San Andreas (Week 2) 33,349 (-47%) [141/243], Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Week 7) 27,713 (---) [18/98], Haikyu!! the Movie: Winners and Losers (NEW) 23,965 (-30%) [138/146], Minions (Week 8) 23,665 (-20%) [138/167], The Boy and the Beast (Week 11) 19,403 (-24%) [131/138], Hero 2 (Week 10) 19,045 (-41%) [138/168], Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Week 8) 17,567 (-22%) [124/129], Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Week 7) 16,859 (-42%) [63/88], Yowamushi Pedal the Movie (Week 3) 15,546 (-70%) [93/130], Girls Step (Week 2) 14,775 (-33%) [101/103], Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 10) 9,658 (-52%) [65/82], Piece of Cake (Week 3) 6,336 (-36%) [42/48], St. Vincent (Week 3) 6,028 (-27%) [17/30], Aikatsu! Music Awards (Week 5) It's a long holiday weekend this week with Monday being Respect of the Elderly Day, and this is likely to be the strongest weekend for the remainder of the year until December. Toho's Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World leads a nice group of new openers. Disney is releasing Ant-Man; Warner Bros. is opening No Longer Heroine; and Aniplex is giving The Anthem of the Heart a very wide release by their standards.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (09/12-13) 01 (--) ¥200,000,000 ($1.66 million), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.66 million), Pixels (Sony) NEW 02 (01) ¥184,000,000 ($1.52 million), -40%, ¥1,710,000,000 ($14.0 million), Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Week 3 03 (03) ¥176,000,000 ($1.46 million), -40%, ¥695,000,000 ($5.9 million), Unfair: The End (Toho) Week 2 04 (02) ¥173,000,000 ($1.44 million), -42%, ¥8,220,000,000 ($67.1 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 6 05 (--) ¥160,000,000 ($1.33 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.33 million), Bee of the Sky (Shochiku) NEW 06 (--) ¥125,000,000 ($1.04 million), 0, ¥165,000,000 ($1.37 million), Kingsman: The Secret Service (Kadokawa) NEW 07 (04) ¥87,000,000 ($721,000), -46%, ¥4,670,000,000 ($38.4 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 6 08 (--) ¥60,000,000 ($498,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($498,000), San Andreas (Warner Bros.) NEW 09 (05) ¥58,000,000 ($484,000), -51%, ¥4,880,000,000 ($40.1 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 7 10 (06) ¥54,000,000 ($448,000), -50%, ¥650,000,000 ($5.4 million), S: The Last Policeman - Recovery of Our Future (Toho) Week 3 >Pixels appears to have pulled off the small victory over the weekend, but a debut around ¥200 million is mediocre. This is, I believe, Adam Sandler's biggest opening by a huge margin (and definitely his first #1 debut) since his films always bomb or don't get theatrical releases (common for imported comedies), but this opening is all due to the Pac-Man and his gaming comrades, obviously. This is Sony's second #1 debut this year, and second highest opener, following Shinjuku Swan. >Bee of the Sky looks likes it had a fair opening, one that Shochiku is most likely satisfied with having. It'll be tough to reach the ¥1 billion milestone with this opening, but it at least has a chance. Love Live! The School Idol Movie is their only release so far this year to exceed the ¥1 billion milestone. >Kingsman opened quite well, and gives Kadokawa their second film to debut above ¥100 million this year (after The Maze Runner from earlier this year). >San Andreas, well, was dumped by Warner Bros.. But a debut well below ¥100 million is still pretty bad, even with the small-scale release.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (08/15-16) 01 (01) ¥896,000,000 ($7.2 million), +06%, ¥4,320,000,000 ($34.8 million), Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) Week 2 02 (02) ¥591,000,000 ($4.8 million), +03%, ¥2,460,000,000 ($19.8 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) Week 2 03 (04) ¥424,000,000 ($3.4 million), +16%, ¥3,090,000,000 ($25.0 million), Minions (Toho-Towa) Week 3 04 (07) ¥237,000,000 ($1.9 million), +19%, ¥4,660,000,000 ($37.7 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) Week 6 05 (05) ¥235,000,000 ($1.9 million), -13%, ¥2,150,000,000 ($17.4 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) Week 3 06 (03) ¥223,000,000 ($1.8 million), -45%, ¥1,490,000,000 ($12.0 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 2 07 (08) ¥202,000,000 ($1.6 million), +05%, ¥3,805,000,000 ($31.1 million), Hero 2 (Toho) Week 5 08 (09) ¥181,000,000 ($1.5 million), +11%, ¥3,180,000,000 ($25.8 million), Inside Out (Disney) Week 5 09 (10) ¥176,000,000 ($1.4 million), +22%, ¥560,000,000 ($4.6 million), Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) Week 2 10 (06) ¥102,000,000 ($825,000), -48%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.5 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) Week 2 Jurassic World actually managed a second weekend increase, and even if this weekend was boosted by this year's Obon Festival, it's a mighty accomplishment considering how well it opened last week. According to weekend estimates, the Top 10 delivered the 7th Biggest Weekend of All-Time, just after last weekend delivered the 4th Biggest Weekend of All-Time. It's also the Biggest Weekend of All-Time without any new openers (the Frozen lead weekend on the list had two openers make the Top 10). And that's not all. This weekend makes the FOURTH weekend in the past 9 months that's crack the Top 10 below: Biggest All-Time Weekends (Top 10 Films) [1998-] 01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith) 02. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen) 03. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!) 04. ¥3.379 billion - 08/08-09/2015 (#1 Film - Jurassic World) 05. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix) 06. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest) 07. ¥3.267 billion [Estimate] - 08/15-16/2015 (#1 Film - Jurassic World) 08. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland) 09. ¥3.129 billion - 04/18-19/2015 (#1 Film - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F) 10. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away) 11. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!) 12. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Arrietty) Out: -¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince) 2015 has been an incredibly strong year at the Japanese Box Office. There hasn't been an uber-blockbuster released, but most films are breaking out and exceeding expectations. There have been dozens of various records broken. Before this crazy summer began (end of June), the year was only down 8% from last year. It's likely to close that gap, or end up ahead of last year by the end of August. If Fall of this year delivers in the same manner, 2015 could challenge 2010 as the biggest year of all-time.

Corpse Tuesday Estimates (08/11) Daily Gross ¥ ($), % change versus last week, Estimated Total, Film (Day of Release) ¥256 million ($2.1 million), 0, ¥2,120,000,000 ($17.2 million), Jurassic World (Day 7) ¥148 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥1,070,000,000 ($8.6 million), Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Day 5) ¥131 million ($1.1 million), +22%, ¥2,060,000,000 ($16.7 million), Minions (Day 12) ¥102 million ($815,000), 0, ¥905,000,000 ($7.3 million), Boruto: Naruto the Movie (Day 5) ¥80 million ($640,000), +29%, ¥4,060,000,000 ($32.7 million), The Boy and the Beast (Day 32) ¥74 million ($590,000), -16%, ¥1,560,000,000 ($12.6 million), Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Day 11) ¥63 million ($505,000), +13%, ¥2,705,000,000 ($21.9 million), Inside Out (Day 25) ¥57 million ($455,000), +26%, ¥3,315,000,000 ($26.9 million), Hero 2 (Day 25) ¥42 million ($335,000), 0, ¥230,000,000 ($1.8 million), Japan's Longest Day (Day 4) ¥34 million ($275,000), 0, ¥290,000,000 ($2.4 million), Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Day 4) ¥32 million ($255,000), +12%, ¥1,710,000,000 ($13.8 million), Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Day 25) ¥12 million ($95,000), -19%, ¥2,990,000,000 ($24.2 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Day 39) Notes after Tuesday's Estimates: The Boy and the Beast exceeded the ¥4 billion milestone after 32 days, becoming the fifth highest grossing film of the year. Jurassic World exceeded ¥2 billion after just 7 days, the fastest film to reach the milestone this year. Minions also exceeded ¥2 billion but after 12 days. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation exceeded ¥1 billion after 5 days.

Well, this might be the last naruto movie and it's canon

Corpse Usual Locations - Final Saturday Admissions (43% of Market) Admissions [#Theaters/#Showings] - Film (Week of Release) 131,318 [150/1,268] - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (NEW) 110,277 [149/1,295] - Minions (NEW) 66,115 (+19%) [146/916] - Hero 2 (Week 3) 57,232 (+28%) [146/882] - The Boy and the Beast (Week 4) 56,760 (+32%) [148/850] - Inside Out (Week 3) 29,309 (+09%) [145/750] - Terminator Genisys (Week 4) 21,726 (-18%) [146/623] - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Week 3) 19,634 (+01%) [146/668] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 5) >Attack on Titan - Part 1 delivered the biggest opening day at the usual locations, in terms of admissions, for any live-action film this year. However, with tickets being 40% off for the day, it's unlikely to have earned the biggest opening day of the year for a live-action film in terms of gross. Distributor Toho reported that it also beat last year's opening day admissions of Godzilla by 94%. It's also been announced that the film will be released in 83 territories, which includes Hong Kong, Macao, Singapore, Philippines, and Australia later this month. It's an impressive start, and based on Saturday's results, I'd project ¥600-700 million / 450,000-500,000 admissions over the weekend. >Minions also posted a very strong Saturday. Again, while it's boosted by the discount day, the number is very impressive. It'll probably hold fairly well tomorrow, too, being a kid/family film, so it's going to make the battle atop the box office this weekend very close in ticket sales since it, too, should be aiming for 450,000+ admissions over the weekend. I don't think it'll open at #1 in terms of gross, however, because of the much lower avg. ticket price it's going to have from skewing quite young. I'm going to project ¥550-600 million ($4.4-4.7 million) / 450,000-500,000 admissions over the weekend based on its Saturday results. This will earn it the title of biggest opening weekend for an imported non-Disney/Pixar animated film ever, and by quite a large margin, too! >All the holdovers performed nicely, even if Pokemon dropped despite the discount day. And nice number for Hero 2. Maybe it can hold off The Boy and the Beast and Inside Out over the weekend? They'll be in a close race again this weekend (last weekend, only 30,000 admissions separated their overall weekend ranking).

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (43% of Market) 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final 24,326 -> 27,257 -> 31,097 -> 61,339 -> 64,382 -> 69,550 -> 85,311 -> 102,837 -> 127,815 - Hero 2 (NEW) 16,339 -> 27,685 -> 32,440 -> 42,368 -> 48,705 -> 54,630 -> 60,943 -> 67,816 -> 67,942 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW) 4,814 -> 8,524 -> 13,883 -> 19,652 -> 25,075 -> 34,117 -> 40,822 -> 54,248 -> 66,063 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2) 6,602 -> 12,938 -> 16,436 -> 22,930 -> 30,140 -> 34,552 -> 42,665 -> 52,047 -> 59,793 - Inside Out (NEW) 3,601 -> 5,572 -> 9,445 -> 14,019 -> 16,078 -> 20,897 -> 25,801 -> 34,146 -> 44,536 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2) 2,577 -> 3,878 -> 7,152 -> 9,061 -> 10,279 -> 15,983 -> 18,093 -> 24,042 -> 31,117 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3) Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions (43% of Market) 10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 7PM > Final 14,635 -> 24,640 -> 34,004 -> 48,404 -> 60,600 -> 74,367 -> 90,080 - Hero 2 (NEW) 12,673 -> 23,435 -> 31,113 -> 39,871 -> 50,335 -> 55,833 -> 62,909 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (NEW) 6,860 -> 12,627 -> 20,034 -> 28,701 -> 39,413 -> 51,995 -> 62,231 - The Boy and the Beast (Week 2) 7,878 -> 15,695 -> 22,409 -> 28,508 -> 42,983 -> 49,705 -> 60,854 - Inside Out (NEW) 5,210 -> 8,546 -> 13,639 -> 20,680 -> 25,185 -> 32,882 -> 38,987 - Terminator: Genisys (Week 2) 3,716 -> 5,261 -> 10,129 -> 13,199 -> 15,940 -> 23,856 -> 26,910 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 3) Note: Typhoon Nangka will be affecting all of Japan through the weekend, so weekend admissions could be a bit deflated as a result. Hero 2 is looking mighty impressive. It's on pace to beat yesterday, despite yesterday's stage greetings. So much for that Sunday drop-off, heh. There's a good chance it can reach ¥800 million+ over the weekend with possibly 600,000 admissions, delivering the best opening weekend for any live-action film this year. It'll be tough for Attack on Titan or Jurassic World to beat that on their opening weekends next month. And this is turning out to be one strong Sunday. The typhoon doesn't seem to be affecting the box office at all, or if it has, it just deflated yesterday a bit.

Corpse Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions (43% of Market) Hourly Updates - Saturday 10AM -> 11AM - 12PM -> 1PM -> 2PM -> 3PM -> 4PM -> 5PM -> 7PM -> Final 9,532 -> 15,021 -> 22,087 -> 30,484 -> 39,646 -> 54,328 -> 64,538 -> 68,419 -> 82,508 -> 105,411 - The Boy and the Beast (NEW) 7,775 -> 10,619 -> 16,920 -> 26,203 -> 29,614 -> 39,383 -> 46,272 -> 50,048 -> 59,697 -> 80,332 - Terminator: Genysis (NEW) 4,160 -> 5,748 -> 9,876 -> 13,433 -> 14,974 -> 25,986 -> 29,257 -> 31,443 -> 37,935 -> 49,606 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 2) Hourly Updates - Sunday 10AM -> 11AM - 12PM -> 1PM -> 2PM -> 3PM -> 4PM -> 5PM -> 7PM -> Final 11,330 -> 19,951 -> 30,375 -> 42,889 -> 54,234 -> 71,969 -> 83,080 -> 87,919 -> 99,982 -> 110,129 - The Boy and the Beast (NEW) 10,379 -> 13,800 -> 22,288 -> 33,963 -> 37,607 -> 48,232 -> 54,738 -> 58,619 -> 66,053 -> 73,620 - Terminator: Genysis (NEW) 5,950 -> 8,202 -> 15,189 -> 20,112 -> 24,923 -> 34,725 -> 38,306 -> 40,731 -> 46,697 -> 51,928 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 2) Weekend Estimates coming up shortly!

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions [43% of Market] Saturday, 07/11 #Admissions (% change), [#theaters/#showings] - Film (Week of Release) 105,411 (-), [147/1,077] - The Boy and the Beast (NEW) 80,332 (-), [148/1,232] - Terminator: Genysis (NEW) 49,606 (-61%), [149/1,098] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Week 2) 34,255 (-45%), [78/283] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Week 5) 9,808 (-46%), [145/413] - Mad Max: Fury Road (Week 4) 9,013 (-43%), [64/238] - Shaun the Sheep Movie (Week 2) 7,626 (-36%), [18/71] - Haikyu!! The Beginning and End (Week 2) 7,503 (+39%), [43/118] - Attack on Titan: Wings of Liberty [Anime Compilation] (Week 3) 7,446 (-), [36/150] - Documentary of Nogizaka 46 (NEW) 7,230 (-41%), [141/323] - Sea Town Diary (Week 5) 6,561 (-), [5/37] - Super Junior World Tour - Super Show 6 (NEW) 6,280 (-), [55/265] - Tag (NEW) 5,855 (-23%), [59/247] - Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Week 2) 5,380 (-), [119/489] - Ari no Mama de Itai (NEW) 3,531 (-72%), [16/89] - Code Geass: Akito the Exiled - Chapter 4 (Week 2) 2,753 (-65%), [135/162] - Prophecy (Week 6) 2,430 (-), [23/24] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie [stage Greetings Round 4] 2,141 (-52%), [41/86] - Ju-on: The Final (Week 4) 2,077 (-57%), [110/193] - The Pearls of the Stone Man (Week 4) 2,050 (-51%), [77/95] - Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion (Week 4) 1,809 (-48%), [40/91] - Still Alice (Week 3) 1,790 (-58%), [113/237] - Strayer's Chronicle (Week 3) 1,684 (-77%), [81/89] - Tomorrowland (Week 6) 1,514 (-45%), [101/103] - Biri Gal (Week 11) >Very impressive for The Boy and the Beast. It remained strong throughout the entire day, indicating its audience is very diverse, and looks on track for a ¥600 million+ debut with 450-475,000 admissions based on Saturday's usual locations results. It'd be pretty incredible if it increases on Sunday and makes 500,000 admissions a possibility... Sunday pre-sales appear higher than Saturday's, so here's hoping for that. Mamoru Hosoda (top left in the photo) and Studio Chizu have worked hard to establish their names as the top Japanese animation team over the past few years, and it's looking to have paid off with audiences accepting them as Hayao Miyazaki and Studio Ghibli's successors with this debut. Toho is reporting the film outpaced Hosoda's last film, Wolf Children, by 62% on its first day, and are projecting a gross over ¥7 billion ($60 million). For reference, Wolf Children opened to ¥365.1 million / 276,326 admissions, and grossed ¥4.22 billion / 3.41 million admissions in July 2012 (11.6 multiplier), becoming the highest-grossing animated film ever not based on an existing property or brand. >Terminator: Genysis is looking reasonably strong, too, and could be on track for a ¥500 million debut with a projected 325-350,000 admissions (thanks its adult audience and 3D) based on Saturday's results at the usual locations. I don't think it'll reach the ¥592 million opening of Terminator Salvation, but if it comes close, it could end up outgrossing it thanks to a better release date. >Avengers: Age of Ultron fell very hard, probably more than expected even for a Marvel/DC film which have crappy legs in Japan, often struggling for multipliers above 4. Most Marvel/DC films drop around 50% in their seconds weekends, so hopefully Ultron can improve a bit tomorrow and avoid a 60% drop.

Corpse Weekend Forecast (07/11-12) 01 (--) ¥575,000,000 ($4.7 million), 0, ¥575,000,000 ($4.7 million), The Boy and the Beast (Toho) NEW 02 (--) ¥450,000,000 ($3.7 million), 0, ¥450,000,000 ($3.7 million), Terminator: Genysis (Paramount) NEW 03 (01) ¥430,000,000 ($3.5 million), -46%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($13.5 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) Week 2 04 (02) ¥122,000,000 ($1.0 million), -44%, ¥1,680,000,000 ($13.7 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 5 05 (03) ¥80,000,000 ($650,000), -36%, ¥1,300,000,000 ($10.6 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 4 06 (--) ¥75,000,000 ($610,000), 0, ¥75,000,000 ($610,000), Ari no Mama de Itai (Toei) NEW 07 (04) ¥73,000,000 ($595,000), -35%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.7 million), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) Week 2 08 (--) ¥70,000,000 ($570,000), 0, ¥70,000,000 ($570,000), Tag (Shochiku) NEW 09 (05) ¥69,000,000 ($560,000), -31%, ¥1,400,000,000 ($11.6 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 5 10 (06) ¥59,000,000 ($480,000), -30%, ¥155,000,000 ($1.3 million), Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) Week 2 >The Boy and the Beast heads into the weekend with an advantage in pre-sales (36%) over Terminator: Genysis, and its pre-sales suggests it could do 400,000+ admissions over the weekend. That should be enough to almost ensure a debut above ¥500 million, though hopefully it comes in over ¥600 million so it'll be a contender for biggest film of 2015 since a multiplier over 10 is likely. A lot of expectations are being placed on The Boy and the Beast's box office performance, since director Mamoru Hosoda and his recently founded animation studio, Studio Chizu, are the expected successors to Hayao Miyazaki and Studio Ghibli since their retirement/film department shutdown. All of Hosoda's films have won the Best Animated Prize in their respective year, and his films have shown considerable growth over each other (very similar to Hayao Miyazaki and Studio Ghibli's earlier films before becoming Japan's biggest names). The Boy and the Beast is already planned for release in many markets, including France, UK, Australia, with an Oscar qualifying run in the United States later this year and release early next year. Mamoru Hosoda's previous films: Opening Weekend / Admissions [screens] -> Total Gross / Admissions - Film (Year) ¥365.1 million / 276,326 [381] -> ¥4.22 billion / 3.42 million - Wolf Children (2012) ¥127.5 million / 109,200 [127] -> ¥1.65 billion / 1.41 million - Summer Wars (2009) Total Gross - ¥260 million [6] - The Girl Who Leapt Through Time (2006) >Terminator: Genysis appears to be doing fairly well, but it's unlikely to match Terminator: Salvation's performance in the market. Pre-sales are decent, but if it doesn't have impressive walk-up and strong evening business, it could end up missing the ¥500 million mark over the weekend.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (07/04-05) 01 (--) ¥810,000,000 ($6.6 million), 0, ¥810,000,000 ($6.6 million), Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) NEW 02 (01) ¥224,000,000 ($1.8 million), -16%, ¥1,525,000,000 ($12.3 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 4 03 (02) ¥137,000,000 ($1.1 million), -34%, ¥1,080,000,000 ($8.8 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 3 04 (--) ¥100,000,000 ($815,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($815,000), Shaun the Sheep Movie (Tohokushinsha) NEW 05 (03) ¥99,000,000 ($805,000), -23%, ¥1,230,000,000 ($10.1 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 4 06 (05) ¥63,000,000 ($510,000), -27%, ¥1,170,000,000 ($9.5 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 5 07 (--) ¥60,000,000 ($490,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($490,000), Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW 08 (04) ¥57,000,000 ($460,000), -44%, ¥1,370,000,000 ($11.1 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 5 09 (08) ¥45,000,000 ($365,000), -21%, ¥280,000,000 ($2.3 million), Ju-on: The Final (Showgate) Week 3 10 (07) ¥42,000,000 ($340,000), -32%, ¥395,000,000 ($3.2 million), The Pearls of the Stone Man (Asmik Ace) Week 3 11 (--) ¥35,000,000 ($285,000), 0, ¥35,000,000 ($285,000), Code Geass: Akito the Exiled - Chapter 4 (Showgate) NEW 12 (06) ¥34,000,000 ($280,000), -48%, ¥150,000,000 ($1.2 million), Strayer's Chronicle (Warner Bros.) Week 2 >Avengers: Age of Ultron surprises over the weekend, with its estimated debut being the biggest opening weekend for a live-action film since Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends from last September, and the biggest opening weekend for an imported live-action film since Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 from 2011. The weekend estimate is also 60% greater than the opening weekend of The Avengers, but it's important to note that the original film opened on a Wednesday, so it's difficult to compare them. Additionally, the weekend estimate gives Ultron the fourth biggest opening weekend for a superhero (Marvel/DC) film of all-time, in admissions as well, behind only the original Spider-Man trilogy. >Shaun the Sheep Movie also surprised and may have cracked ¥100 million over the weekend. Estimates have its weekend admissions around 80,000, so it'll depend on just how young the film skewed on whether or not it'll open above the mark. The film is only playing on just 145 screens and released through an independent studio, Tohokushinsha, that to my knowledge has never had an opening this high in the past. Talk about a pleasant surprise.

Corpse Avengers: Age of Ultron played really, really well in the evening and definitely broke ¥400 million (around $3.5 million) in its first day (280,000-300,000 admissions). It ended up outpacing Cinderella's first day in ticket sales by ~35%. Depending on how the film performs on Sunday, it'll possibly exceed ¥800 million ($6.5-7 million) over the weekend! If that happens, and even if it's frontloaded (a multiplier below only 5 this time of year is very hard to miss, though), it could be looking at a gross above ¥4 billion (near $35 million), outgrossing the original film's ¥3.61 billion total by at least 10-15%!

Corpse Usual Locations - Seating/Showtimes [43% of Market] Saturday, 07/04 #Seats (% change), [#theaters/#showings] - Film (Week of Release) 403,887 (-), [139/1,256] - Avengers: Age of Ultron (NEW) 111,981 (-48%), [132/639] - Mad Max: Fury Road (Week 3) 90,687 (-25%), [66/331] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Week 4) 80,092 (-40%), [127/512] - Sea Town Diary (Week 4) 56,976 (-61%), [100/404] - Strayer's Chronicle (Week 2) 49,292 (-), [58/257] - Shaun the Sheep Movie (NEW) 48,168 (-32%), [126/340] - Prophecy (Week 5) 46,909 (-32%), [99/304] - The Pearls of the Stone Man (Week 3) 41,359 (-), [59/247] - Anpanman: Mija and the Magic Lamp (NEW) 38,788 (-50%), [130/263] - Tomorrowland (Week 5) 31,193 (-), [18/116] - Haikyu!! The Beginning and End (NEW) 29,720 (-38%), [71/200] - Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion (Week 3) 26,837 (-57%), [42/180] - Attack on Titan: Wings of Liberty [Anime Compilation] (Week 2) 22,981 (-22%), [40/149] - Ju-on: The Final (Week 3) 22,253 (-24%), [117/151] - Biri Gal (Week 10) 20,965 (-), [16/89] - Code Geass: Akito the Exiled - Chapter 4 (NEW) 20,607 (-32%), [119/138] - Initiation Love (Week 7) 20,258 (-39%), [37/145] - Still Alice (Week 2) 18,208 (-56%), [89/129] - Shinjuku Swan (Week 6) 17,304 (-), [19/91] - Blue Demon Ver. 2.0 (NEW) 15,703 (-18%), [106/106] - Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack! (Week 12) 15,093 (-19%), [103/103] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Week 12) 13,544 (-), [18/75] - Anpanman 2014/2015 Film Double Feature (NEW) 13,127 (-), [17/76] - Child 44 (NEW) >Avengers: Age of Ultron finally reaches Japan and becomes 2015's widest release so far, but having so many seats and showtimes doesn't always guarantee a blockbuster hit (see: The Hobbit, The Amazing Spider-Man). There are some mixed signs concerning the film this weekend. -At the moment, pre-sales are good but not great (from what I'm counting, they're on par with Into the Woods right now). -Last Friday's broadcast of The Avengers only earned a 9.4% household rating which is definitely mediocre leading up to the release of the sequel. -The film also won't experience the 3D boost that the original film had in 2012, the last year when most films could easily earn 60/70%+ 3D shares. And with only a 27% 3D share in seats, a sub-20% 3D share is very likely. -Love Live! The School Idol Movie is going to make it look close on Saturday since it's having even more stage greetings, and is currently outpacing it at various locations. One notable plus leading into the weekend, though, is the film receiving a one-shot manga (covering why Tony Stark created the Ultron program) in Shonen Magazine this week, which is similar to the treatment given to Big Hero 6 back in December. Avengers Age of Ultron should still handily win the weekend but a debut above ¥500 million isn't looking certain at this point, which would pretty disappointing and likely result it in finishing below the first film.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (06/27-28) 01 (02) ¥251,000,000 ($2.02 million), -04%, ¥1,180,000,000 ($9.6 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 3 02 (01) ¥188,000,000 ($1.52 million), -29%, ¥695,000,000 ($5.7 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 2 03 (03) ¥121,000,000 ($980,000), -30%, ¥1,015,000,000 ($8.2 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 3 04 (04) ¥99,000,000 ($800,000), -25%, ¥1,240,000,000 ($10.1 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 4 05 (05) ¥78,000,000 ($630,000), -31%, ¥1,010,000,000 ($8.2 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 4 06 (--) ¥60,000,000 ($485,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($485,000), Strayer's Chronicle (Warner Bros.) NEW 07 (06) ¥57,000,000 ($460,000), -26%, ¥230,000,000 ($1.9 million), The Pearls of the Stone Man (Asmik Ace) Week 2 08 (--) ¥50,000,000 ($405,000), 0, ¥50,000,000 ($405,000), Attack on Titan: Wings of Liberty [Anime Compilation] (Pony Canyon) NEW 09 (07) ¥49,000,000 ($395,000), -37%, ¥180,000,000 ($1.5 million), Ju-on: The Final (Showgate) Week 2 10 (08) ¥43,000,000 ($350,000), -36%, ¥1,225,000,000 ($10.0 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 5 11 (10) ¥38,000,000 ($310,000), -28%, ¥2,690,000,000 ($22.0 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 9 12 (11) ¥35,000,000 ($265,000), -35%, ¥5,650,000,000 ($46.1 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 10 13 (09) ¥34,000,000 ($260,000), -48%, ¥145,000,000 ($1.2 million), Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion (Toho Video Division) Week 2

Corpse Weekend Forecast (06/27-28) 01 (02) ¥214,000,000 ($1.73 million), -18%, ¥1,150,000,000 ($9.3 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 3 02 (01) ¥185,000,000 ($1.50 million), -30%, ¥690,000,000 ($5.6 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) Week 2 03 (03) ¥131,000,000 ($1.06 million), -25%, ¥1,020,000,000 ($8.2 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 3 04 (--) ¥115,000,000 ($930,000), 0, ¥115,000,000 ($930,000), Strayer's Chronicle (Warner Bros.) NEW 05 (--) ¥90,000,000 ($730,000), 0, ¥90,000,000 ($730,000), Attack on Titan: Wings of Liberty [Anime Compilation] (Pony Canyon) NEW 06 (04) ¥84,000,000 ($680,000), -36%, ¥1,230,000,000 ($10.0 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 4 07 (05) ¥77,000,000 ($625,000), -32%, ¥1,010,000,000 ($8.2 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 4 08 (06) ¥51,000,000 ($415,000), -34%, ¥220,000,000 ($1.8 million), The Pearls of the Stone Man (Asmik Ace) Week 2 09 (08) ¥42,000,000 ($340,000), -37%, ¥1,220,000,000 ($9.9 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 5 10 (07) ¥41,000,000 ($330,000), -48%, ¥170,000,000 ($1.4 million), Ju-on: The Final (Showgate) Week 2 11 (09) ¥38,000,000 ($310,000), -28%, ¥2,690,000,000 ($22.0 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 9 12 (10) ¥32,000,000 ($260,000), -39%, ¥5,650,000,000 ($46.1 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 10 >Love Live! The School Idol Movie appears on target to reclaim the #1 spot in its third weekend (however, it was still #1 in admissions last week), with pre-sales exceeding those from last weekend. There is also another round of stage greetings happening over the weekend, which will keep the film strong over the weekend frame. I would predict an increase this for it this weekend, but it's hard to get an accurate projection for near limited releases like this one. >Strayer's Chronicle pre-sales are quite week but they're in-line for a possible ¥100 million debut, though it won't go much higher than that over the weekend. I was hoping for a chance at another ¥1 billion film to come out of May/June (a surprising amount came from these weak months this year), but this one is looking to finish below the mark. >Attack on Titan: Wings of Liberty, the second compilation film of the anime series, should do similar numbers as the first compilation film and pre-sales are quite solid. It's still a limited release, though, playing on just 78 screens, so its still unlikely to come in higher than fifth place over the weekend. This weekend serves as a prime example of June being a dumping ground during most years, in preparation for all the big films to come in July/August, the two strongest months of the nearly every year.

Corpse Weekend Actuals (06/20-21) 01 (--) ¥264,784,500 ($2.16 million), 0, ¥264,784,500 ($2.16 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) DEBUT 02 (01) ¥261,241,140 ($2.13 million), -35%, ¥830,647,040 ($6.8 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 2 03 (02) ¥173,667,500 ($1.42 million), -24%, ¥684,880,700 ($5.6 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 2 04 (03) ¥131,706,000 ($1.07 million), -35%, ¥1,023,233,200 ($8.3 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 3 05 (04) ¥113,436,700 ($925,000), -31%, ¥833,236,500 ($6.8 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 3 06 (--) ¥78,126,580 ($640,000), 0, ¥78,126,580 ($640,000), The Pearls of the Stone Man (Asmik Ace) DEBUT 07 (--) ¥78,063,400 ($635,000), 0, ¥78,063,400 ($635,000), Ju-on: The Final (Showgate) DEBUT 08 (05) ¥66,888,100 ($545,000), -37%, ¥1,120,515,400 ($9.1 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 4 09 (08) ¥53,809,000 ($440,000), -16%, ¥2,610,049,600 ($21.3 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 8 10 (06) ¥53,052,300 ($430,000), -35%, ¥5,572,072,300 ($45.5 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 9 Weekend Admission Notes: Love Live! The School Idol Movie was #1 in weekend admissions. Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion was #9 in weekend admissions. Cinderella fell out of the Top 10 in weekend admissions. This weekend was certainly a roller coaster with Mad Max: Fury Road and Love Live! The School Idol Movie changes places at the top depending on which estimates, and sources were being utilized. And in the end, they share the weekend victory. >Mad Max: Fury Road came out on top in its debut weekend in gross, but came in second place in admissions with 174,807 ticket sold over the weekend across 666 screens. The film had a particularly high avg. ticket price of ¥1,515, suggesting its primary audiences are adults. That may not sound too surprising, with its R15+ rating and all, but it means very few seniors who may have been fans of the original films in the 80's turned up over the weekend. The latest Mad Max release is expected to finish above ¥1.5 billion but with good reviews and the chance at good WOM as well, it might reach a total closer to the ¥2 billion ($15 million+) milestone. All-in-all, pretty good numbers. >Love Live! The School Idol Movie falls to second place in its second weekend, but actually stayed atop the box office in admissions with 188,061 tickets sold over the weekend. The idol film only dipped 25% from its opening weekend in admissions but after a sharp decline in its avg. ticket price (down 13%), its second weekend gross fell by 35% causing it to come in second place. It's continuing to track nearly identically to the last Madoka Magica film, another anime idol film, from a few years ago, so expect a total close to ¥2 billion ($15 million+). >Sea Town Diary pulls off an excellent second weekend hold, but that's not why I'm going to include it in this week's analysis. Its earnings over its past weekdays were 24% greater than its opening weekend gross, and 64% greater than its second weekend gross above. It's not uncommon for films to earn more than 50% of their total over weekdays (a big reason films have very long runs in Japan), but their weekend drops are generally higher than normal as a result. However, when a film is having higher weekdays than weekends while still holding well over the weekend, it's a sign that the film will be in for a long run. I think there's a good chance that latest could reach ¥2 billion ($15 million+), for a multiplier of over 8 which is notably strong for a June release. >The Pearls of the Stone Man came in at a disappointing sixth place, only selling 67,490 tickets across 244 screens over the weekend. This one certainly wasn't expected to do that well, but a sub-¥100 million debut is rather poor. >Ju-on: The Final debuted in a very, very close seventh place, selling 61,023 tickets over the weekend on 144 screens. The debut is 10% lower than the last Ju-on ("The Grudge") film, a figure that Showgate probably wasn't expecting after declaring the latest film as "The Final" film in the horror film series. >Shinjuku Swan exceeded the ¥1 billion milestone this week, becoming Sony's first domestic film to reach the milestone. It's also on track to overtake Annie to become their biggest film so far this year.

Corpse Weekend Estimates (06/20-21) 01 (01) ¥296,000,000 ($2.4 million), -26%, ¥810,000,000 ($6.6 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) Week 2 02 (--) ¥280,000,000 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥280,000,000 ($2.3 million), Mad Max: Fury Road (Warner Bros.) NEW 03 (02) ¥156,000,000 ($1.3 million), -32%, ¥585,000,000 ($4.7 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho) Week 2 04 (03) ¥122,000,000 ($1.0 million), -40%, ¥1,020,000,000 ($8.3 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 3 05 (04) ¥104,000,000 ($845,000), -37%, ¥820,000,000 ($6.7 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 3 06 (--) ¥75,000,000 ($610,000), 0, ¥75,000,000 ($610,000), Ju-on: The Final (Showgate) NEW 07 (--) ¥70,000,000 ($570,000), 0, ¥70,000,000 ($570,000), The Pearls of the Stone Man (Shochiku/Asmik Ace) NEW 08 (05) ¥67,000,000 ($545,000), -37%, ¥1,100,000,000 ($9.0 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 4 09 (--) ¥55,000,000 ($450,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($450,000), Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion (Toho Video Division) NEW 10 (06) ¥48,000,000 ($390,000), -41%, ¥5,560,000,000 ($45.4 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 9 11 (08) ¥47,000,000 ($385,000), -27%, ¥2,620,000,000 ($21.5 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 8 12 (07) ¥39,000,000 ($320,000), -46%, ¥1,110,000,000 ($9.1 million), Initiation Love (Toho) Week 5 >Love Live! The School Idol Movie had some stage greeting over the weekend that I didn't account for, so after including those, it's probably going to repeat atop the box office in its second weekend, though it isn't certain yet. >Mad Max: Fury Road still has a chance at opening at #1 but even if it fails, it's looking at a solid debut in second place. And, also, if the estimate can improve just a little bit (2.6%), it'll outopen The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies to give Warner Bros. their best opening so far this year, too. I expect legs will be pretty good for Max, too, so a potential total of ¥2 billion could be doable, which would make it the highest-grossing Mad Max film, outgrossing the ~¥1.8 billion earned by the original film. It'll be close. >Ju-on: The Final is hard to gauge as most of its locations are outside the usual locations, but it looked good at Aeon Cinemas (its primary chain). If the estimate is accurate, it'll be down 13% compared to last year's film. The eighth Ju-on ("The Grudge") film, which includes the original TV movies, certainly doesn't appear to be taking the franchise out on a high-note.

Corpse Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions [43% of Market] Saturday Admissions, 06/20 #Admissions (% change), [#theaters/#showings] - Film (Week of Release) 65,848 (-25%), [74/432] - Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Week 2) 45,134 (-), [148/895] - Mad Max: Fury Road (NEW) 25,919 (-27%), [140/703] - Sea Town Diary (Week 2) 18,981 (-34%), [143/560] - Tomorrowland (Week 3) 17,718 (-), [76/419] - Ghost in the Shell: Evangelion (NEW) 16,822 (-28%), [138/543] - Prophecy (Week 3) 10,812 (-), [112/542], The Pearls of the Stone Man (NEW) 8,861 (-35%), [134/382] - Shinjuku Swan (Week 4) 8,830 (-), [42/238], Ju-on: The Final (NEW) 6,338 (-36%), [137/220] - Cinderella (Week 9) 6,245 (-41%), [132/281] - Initiation Love (Week 5) 6,090 (-21%), [138/213] - Biri Gal (Week 8) 5,489 (-18%), [18/65] - Yowamushi Pedal: The Movie (Week 2) 2,861 (-), [67/309] - Yakuza Apocalypste: The Great War of the Underworld (NEW) 2,158 (-56%), [96/150] - The Hunger Games: Mockingjay (Part 1) (Week 3) 1,730 (-10%), [128/130] - Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack! (Week 10) 1,612 (-58%), [90/108] - The Maze Runner (Week 5) 1,431 (-19%), [133/135] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Week 10) 1,422 (-57%), [115/183] - Mother's Trees (Week 3) 1,404 (-), [19/71] - I'm 20 Again (NEW) 1,276 (-), [15/61] - Selma (NEW) 1,181 (-46%), [77/85] - Kakekomi (Week 6) 1,082 (-38%), [118/119) - Poison Berry in My Head (Week 7) The race at the top is very, very close. Love Live! The School Idol Movie won at the usual locations with a great hold, but it's a near limited release with 61% of its overall screen count accounted for above. And Mad Max: Fury Road is the standard wide release that the usual locations accounts for 43% of its total screen count above. So if we use appropriate multipliers for them, they both sold around 105,000 tickets on Saturday. It's too close to say which one will rank #1 for the weekend right now, it all comes down to how they perform on Sunday. Both films are aiming for around ¥300 million ($2.5 million).

Corpse I know I posted the upcoming release schedule yesterday, but there were a few additions and changes today! Changes: Terminator: Genisys moves up one day to 07/10 (Fri.); Jurassic World moves up three days to 08/05 (Wed.); Yo-Kai Watch 2 is set for 12/19; Nobunaga Concerto is delayed to Spring 2016. So here's the new schedule, including the updates to the November/December schedule. There are still several films without a date for this frame, though. Mid/Late November is quite empty, so one or two notable films should fill those dates in the coming weeks/months. 2015 Key Release Schedule (Notable/Major Releases) Summer Vacation/Obon Week Releases (July/August): 07/03 - Haikyu!! The Movie: Ending and Beginning (Toho Video Division) 07/04 - Avengers: Age of Ultron (Disney) 07/10 - Terminator: Genisys (Paramount) 07/11 - The Boy and the Beast (Toho) 07/11 - Tag (Shochiku/Asmik Ace) Summer Vacation (07/18-08/30) 07/18 - Hero 2 (Toho) 07/18 - Inside Out (Disney) 07/18 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (Toho) 07/31 - Minions (Toho-Towa) 08/01 - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (Toho) 08/05 - Jurassic World (Toho-Towa) 08/07 - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount) 08/07 - Boruto: The Movie (Toho) 08/08 - Japan's Longest Day (Shochiku) 08/08 - Kamen Rider Drive The Movie: Surprise Drive (Toei) Obon Festival (08/08-16) 08/28 - Ted 2 (Toho-Towa) Winter Break/New Year Releases (November/December): 11/07 - Mozu (Toho) 11/07 - Grasshopper (Shochiku/Kadokawa) 12/04 - 007: Spectre (Sony) 12/04 - Peanuts (Fox) 12/05 - Persona Non Grata (Toho) 12/05 - Free! Starting Days (Shochiku) 12/12 - Living With My Mother (Shochiku) 12/18 - Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakens (Disney) 12/19 - Yo-Kai Watch 2: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Fall/Winter - Evangelion 4.0: Final (T-Joy) Winter Break/New Year (12/28-01/04)

Corpse Weekend Actuals (06/13-14) 01 (--) ¥400,235,800 ($3.3 million), 0, ¥400,235,800 ($3.3 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) DEBUT 02 (--) ¥229,117,100 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥229,117,100 ($1.9 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho/Gaga) DEBUT 03 (01) ¥203,828,200 ($1.7 million), -23%, ¥712,487,500 ($5.8 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 2 04 (02) ¥165,323,100 ($1.3 million), -17%, ¥563,340,500 ($4.6 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 2 05 (03) ¥106,285,600 ($865,000), -33%, ¥946,149,500 ($7.7 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 3 06 (04) ¥81,091,400 ($655,000), -29%, ¥5,445,946,500 ($44.5 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 8 07 (05) ¥72,884,200 ($590,000), -28%, ¥1,028,606,400 ($8.3 million), Initiation Love (Toho) Week 4 08 (06) ¥64,348,900 ($520,000), -28%, ¥2,509,484,200 ($20.5 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 7 09 (08) ¥28,601,000 ($230,000), -37%, ¥633,351,000 ($5.1 million), The Maze Runner (Fox) Week 4 10 (11) ¥26,720,000 ($215,000), -18%, ¥235,314,350 ($1.9 million), Sweet Red Bean Paste (Elephant House) Week 3 So, for the first time in years, I'll be providing weekend actuals as opposed to the just the weekend ranking every week! >Love Live! The School Idol Movie wasn't messing around in its debut weekend with the otaku fans coming out in groves, helping the film deliver the best opening weekend since April. Playing on just 121 screens, the film sold 251,811 admissions resulting in an incredibly high avg. ticket price of ¥1,589. Over 30,000 of its weekend admissions came from a fan meeting event held at the Makuhai Messe convention center, where the film was also screened. The tickets for this event went for ¥2,800 (about 60% above the general admission fee at the average theater). It's difficult to project films that are driven so much by a fanbase, but with the screenings being so packed due to the low screen count, there should be some significant spillover into this upcoming week causing legs to be somewhat decent. So for now, I expect a finish between ¥1.5-2.0 billion. >Sea Town Diary comes in at a distant second place, but still posted a respectable debut weekend. Hirokazu Kore-eda's latest film sold 181,642 admissions over the weekend on 323 screens. The film's reception appears pretty strong and without much competition until mid-July, I'm sure legs will turn out quite strong that a total above ¥1.5 billion shouldn't be too difficult to achieve. >Biri Gal became the third live-action film this year to exceed the ¥2.5 billion milestone, and also exceeded 2 million admissions over the weekend, too. >Initiation Love broke the ¥1 billion milestone, giving Toho another successful film for the year. If their Summer/Fall slate delivers like the Winter/Fall slate, they could be in for a record year. >The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 has already fallen out of the Top 10 after debuting in seventh place last weekend. And without any immediate holiday support, it's very likely to earn less than its predecessor. It took months for Kadokawa to pick the film up for release after Catching Fire bombed in similar fashion, so I wonder if they'll take the risk of picking up the final film next year.

Corpse Weekend Forecast (06/13-14) 01 (--) ¥320 million ($2.6 million), 0, ¥320 million ($2.6 million), Love Live! The School Idol Movie (Shochiku) NEW 02 (--) ¥240 million ($2.0 million), 0, ¥240 million ($2.0 million), Sea Town Diary (Toho/Gaga) NEW 03 (01) ¥172 million ($1.4 million), -35%, ¥640 million ($5.2 million), Tomorrowland (Disney) Week 2 04 (02) ¥133 million ($1.1 million), -33%, ¥490 million ($4.0 million), Prophecy (Toho) Week 2 05 (03) ¥110 million ($890,000), -31%, ¥950 million ($7.6 million), Shinjuku Swan (Sony) Week 3 06 (04) ¥87 million ($705,000), -24%, ¥5.45 billion ($44.7 million), Cinderella (Disney) Week 8 07 (05) ¥73 million ($590,000), -28%, ¥1.02 billion ($8.3 million), Initiation Love (Toho) Week 4 08 (06) ¥69 million ($570,000), -22%, ¥2.53 billion ($20.6 million), Biri Gal (Toho) Week 7 09 (--) ¥30 million ($240,000), 0, ¥45 million ($365,000), Yowamushi Pedal: The Movie (Toho Video Division) NEW 10 (07) ¥25 million ($200,000), -46%, ¥130 million ($1.0 million), The Hunger Games: Mockingjay (Part 1) (Kadokawa) Week 2 >Love Live! The School Idol Movie sold over 60,000 tickets in advance at the usual locations, which is nearly double the advance ticket sales for the rest of the Top 10 combined before Saturday showings began two hours ago. Most of its showtimes up until the evening/night (around 8PM) are half-full or better. However, it's only playing on 121 screens (62% accounted for at the usual locations) so it won't open as high as pre-sales indicate, but the animated idols should easily take the #1 spot over the weekend and could open above ¥300 million, delivering a very, very impressive PSA, as a result. They'll become the second animated group to have a #1 album and #1 movie in the same year, after K-ON! accomplished the same feat back in 2010. >Sea Town Diary looks like it'll have a respectable debut based on early ticket sales but in order to debut at #1, it'll need very strong night business and a substantial increase on Sunday. It's the underdog despite playing on almost 3x as many screens as Love Live!, and should turn out to be another success for director Hirokazu Kore-eda.