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dxmatrixdt

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  1. back to school, maybe 22 Jump extends audience, 10% chance to hit 200M? it always had a high PSA. maybe demand is 4x that of TITE
  2. 1. Under the Skin - A+ 2. As Above, So Below - B+ 3. Oculus - B- 4. Paranormal - C 5. Quiet Ones - C 6. Devils Due - D
  3. I hope As Above, So Below increases today. it was good. do not understand the cinema score. best found footage since blairwitch
  4. I wonder if 22 Jump and Sex Tape will get expansions next weekend
  5. Lucy is sure having strong WOM. reminds me of Wolf
  6. MOS had a story written by Christopher Nolan who added the element of a social psychological situation if a real superman was to exist in our knowing. Zach Snyder directed it and added the stylized visuals and it ultimately upped the action ante in some scenes. the height of action progresses in film with time. from Clones to Sith to Kong to Transformers to transformers 3 to MOS to TRansformers 4!!
  7. but anyways, surprisingly strong for November Man and decent for As Above. When watching As Above, i thought it was a neat way to top off the summer (very deep, good for returning schools). I sat in the front row with eyes wide open. I wonder if back to school WOM will soften any drops next week????? Does anyone know how or why x-men, chef, and dragon will loose so many theaters despite there being one movie being released in 1,800 screens, one expansion of 1,000 screens, and about 500 screens of other expansions plus some IMAX losses? it still should not justify some movies completely falling off. for instance, Into the Storm should not loose too many theaters and get good back to school WOM for a couple more weekends above 1M,
  8. and complete honesty... Guardians of the Galaxy | Now in Theaters! 92% on RT! Higher on Metac... Posted by Dominic Cobbrey on 15 June 2014 - 12:38 AM in Box Office Discussion (Please Hide Spoilers) for a month I have been convinced this movie will open north of 90M. I just do not want to become delusional about this leading up to its OW and have a wayy off prediction
  9. Posted by Dominic Cobbrey on 22 June 2014 - 04:47 PM in Box Office Discussion (Please Hide Spoilers) I am going to hop on the bandwagon. Kids own the box office right now. It may have not shown from HTTYD2, but this may counterprogram Apes when Apes underperforms and both movies push it to 190.
  10. LOL. pessimistic, but oh well... Posted by Dominic Cobbrey on 22 May 2014 - 05:20 PM in Box Office Discussion (Please Hide Spoilers) After seeing the second trailer, this thread becomes more interesting. It could be #1 for 3 weekends in a row depending on how Ninja Turtles does. It could go up to 300M and if it gets better than Avengers reviews and it is Americanized, unfortunately a BP nomination. 8/1-8/3 1. GOTG - 90.0 8/8-8/10 1. Turtles - 50 2. GOTG - 50 - 185 3. Storm - 35 8/15-8/17 1. Expendables 3 - 33 2. GOTG - 32 - 242 3. Turtles - 25 - 103 4. Storm - 15 - 68
  11. now Galaxy = better #'s for Jupiter. lets hope this life in film does not get oversaturated and lead to less quality movies in the future when space movies become bigger bucks (kind of like everything into darkness oversaturated but nothing like the dark knight)
  12. As Above, So Below - really good. never seen anything like it before. its brand new like Lucy. best found footage film since Blairwitch. and to brag a bit, after HTTYD2 opened, I recognized Maleficent and jumped on the TMNT bandwagon 150M+ and i was theorizing about 275+ spectacular reviews etc for Guardians after that second trailer was updated on its forum some months ago.
  13. great movie. im hooked. A-. cannot wait for Insurgent. cannot wait to read Divergent!
  14. I wonder why the Lego movie decided to take in business all of a sudden? did something happen yesterday??
  15. Transformers - 36.30 -64% $8575 - 182.15 Tammy - 19.65 - $5671 - 30.80 22 Jump Street - 10.92 -31% $3285 - 162.42 Earth to Echo - 10.35 - $3204 - 15.76 Deliver Us From Evil - 10.20 - $3350 - 15.66 How to Train Your Dragon 2 - 9.90 -25% - $3003 - 143.18 Maleficent - 6.20 -26% - $2595 - 215.16 Jersey Boys - 4.97 -36% $1890 - 37.39 Think Like a Man 2 - 4.16 -60% $2400 - 57.19 Edge of Tomorrow - 3.05 -44% $1983 - 88.63 America - 2.92 - $2643 - 4.28 The Fault in Our Stars - 2.72 -47% - $1458 - 116.88 X-Men: Days of Future Past - 1.75 -47% - $1676 - 225.84 Chef - 1.27 -23% $1851 - 21.17 Rio 2 - 0.42 -5% $1357 - 128.77 Spidey 2 - 0.42 +31% $1453 - 200.78 Godzilla - 0.41 -56% $1165 - 197.59 Neighbors - 0.38 -52% $1275 - 147.77 A Million Ways to Die in the West - 0.24 -57% $1179 - 42.05 Blended - 0.23 -61% $757 - 43.88 Heaven is for Real - 0.21 -13% $1102 - 90.48 Divergent - 0.17 -15% $897 - 150.78 Lego - 0.13 -13% $542 - 257.20 The Other Woman - 0.11 -31% $754 - 83.56 The Grand Budapest Hotel - 80k -33% $889 - 58.66 Mr. Peabody & Sherman - 74k -8% $525 - 111.13
  16. Think Like A Man Too - projections from estimates, not looking too good.... Wed: 0.83 Thurs: +28% - 1.06 Fri: +15% - 1.22 Sat: +85% - 2.26 Sun: -37% - 1.42 3day/5day 4.90/6.89, $2834/location for 3 day, 57.26 total Mon-Thrs: 2.83, total = 60.09 next weekend: 1400 locations (-329) Fri: 0.82 Sat: 0.98 Sun: 0.64 weekend - 2.44, $1743/location, 62.53 total mon-Thurs: 1.35 - 63.88 total may finish with 66-69, or under 70...
  17. Maleficent projections with estimate wed: 1.21 Thurs: +30% - 1.57 Fri: +8% - 1.70 Sat: +54% - 2.61 Sun: -28% - 1.88 3day/5day 6.19/8.97, $2533/location for 3 day, 213.99 total Mon: -53% - 0.89 Tues: +6% - 0.94 Weds: - 0.94 Thurs: -10% - 0.85 2100 locations Fri: +27% - 1.08 Sat: +34% - 1.45 Sun: -23% - 1.11 weekend: 3.64, $1733/location, 221.25 total Mon: 0.53 Tues: 0.51 Wed: 0.49 Thurs: 0.47 = 223.25 total may finish at 230-235, the longer it stays in dollar theaters and theaters without a video release date, the more of a chance it has to pass X-Men Sat:
  18. If 22 Jump Street follows Get Smart... Wed: 1.97 Thurs: +33% 2.62 Fri: +22.5% - 3.21 Sat: +62% - 5.20 Sun: -35% - 3.38 3day/5day 11.79/16.38 - 161.38, ($3548/location for 3 day) Mon: -50% - 1.69 Tues: +2% - 1.72 Wed: -2% - 1.70 Thurs: -7% - 1.58 = 168.07 Fri: +71% - 2.53 Sat: +31% - 3.31 Sun: -32% - 2.25 - 8.09 weekend, $2697/location, 176.16 total Mon: -49% - 1.13 Tues: 1.13 Weds: 1.06 Thurs: 1.01 = 180.49 total may approach 195 or 200, but these #s seem HUGE. will adjust a little with the second week late.r
  19. Fault in Our Stars w/ estimates Wed: 0.69 Th: +23% - 0.85 Fr: 0.91 Sat: 1.31 Sun: 0.93 3day/5day 3.15/4.69, ($1688/location for 3 day), 116.64 total Mon: 0.56 Tues: 0.62 Wed: 0.64 Thurs: 0.59 total - 119.05 Friday: 0.81 Sat: 0.84 Sun: 0.59 weekend: 2.24 ($1358/location), 121.29 total Mon-Th = 0.353 x 4 = 1.41 = 122.70 total should surpass 125M w/ ease. 2.60 multiplier minimum if opening friday = opening saturday and 125 total still happened, the OW would have been 34.62 and the multiplier would be 3.61
  20. HTTYD2's projections with estimate. Wed: 1.97 Thurs: +30% - 2.56 Fri: +11% - 2.84 Sat: +52% - 4.32 Sun: -27% - 3.15 3day/5day 10.31/14.84 - 141.67 total, ($3,114/location for 3 day) Mon: -50% - 1.57 Tues: 1.57 Wed: 1.57 Thurs: -10% - 1.41 = 147.79 total Friday, next week: +42% - 2.00 Saturday: +35% - 2.69 Sunday: -22% - 2.10 3-day: 6.79 ($2190/location) = 154.58 total Mon: -53% - 0.99 Tues: -3% - 0.96 Wed: -3% - 0.93 Thurs: -5% - 0.88 = 158.34 total looks to clear 170M, possibly top at 175
  21. X-Men with estimate Wednesday: 0.29 Thursday: +52% - 0.44 Friday: +39% - 0.61 Saturday: +48% - 0.91 Sunday: -32% - 0.61 3day/5day 2.13/2.86 - 227.37 total $2048/location for 3day Mon-Th = 1.13 = 228.50 total next weekend: 1.46M, $1825/location, 229.96 total Mon-Th = 0.76 = 230.72 should squeeze past X3: THE LAST STAND
  22. Edge of Tomorrow w/ estimate Wednesday: 0.52 Thursday: +45% - 0.75 Friday: +35% - 1.01 Saturday: +50% - 1.52 Sunday: -30% - 1.06 3day/5day 3.59/4.86 - 90.75 total ($2334/location) for 3 day Mon-Thurs: 0.48 + 0.49 + 0.49 + 0.47 = 1.93 = 92.68 total next week: 1238 locations (-300) Fri: +47% - 0.69 Saturday: +45% - 1.01 Sunday: -30% - 0.71 2.41M weekend ($1947/location) - 95.09 total Mon-Thurs: 0.31(3) + 0.32 = 1.25 = 96.34 total looking good for 100M
  23. Jersey Boys predictions today: 0.88 Thursday: +37% - 1.20 Friday: +31% - 1.57 Saturday: +52% - 2.39 Sunday: -32% - 1.62 3day/5day weekend 5.58/7.66 - 37.22 total Mon-Thurs = .69 + .72 + .72 + .68 = 40.03 total next weekend: 2300 locations (-330) Friday: +57% - 1.07 Saturday: +33% - 1.42 Sunday: -30% - 0.99 weekend: 3.48 ($1,513/location) - 43.51 total Mon-Thurs = 0.43(3) + 0.40 => 45.20 total. will loose lots of theaters, but 50M seems final
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