dxmatrixdt

the great hold for Rio 2 this weekend will pay off more when next weekends 4 day number is similar. May approach 130 with a strong dollar theater run. Heaven is for Real should make another 4 next weekend too. The Other Woman may take a hit expect some Spidey ads on tv this week

Now, because Godzilla is well recieved, the least it may make for Saturday is another 27M. and then 20 for Sunday. I expected this movie to be MASSIVELY frontloaded and now because of the good buzz, it should stay flat on Sat the least. 36+27+20 = 83. But i think it will be more like 36+29+21 = 86

Paul Giamatti for Spider-man

46million + 20 million weekdays = 366.3 Frozen - 40 second weekend, 14 weekdays, 156 total Thor 2 197 total after next week other totals for 12/8 Delivery 26 Home 17 Best Man 69 Book 14 Black 8 Last Vegas 62 Philomena 8 Gravity 252 12 Years 36 Oldboy 3.5 New Christian Bale movie 7 million

maybe matching TDK's third weekend

I caught some early numbers from the Goblet of Fire. Hunger Games 78.3/113.9 - 300.3 Frozen 75.7/102.0 - 102.3 Thor 2 11.0/15.4 - 186.6 Delivery Man 7.1/9.9 - 19.7 Home Front 7.7/10.5 - 10.5 Best Man Holidau 6.4/9.0 - 61.3 The Boof Thief 4.8/6.3 - 7.8 Black Nativity 3.2/4.3 - 4.3 Last Vegas 2.6/3.6 - 58.5 Philomena 2.7/3.5 - 3.7 Gravity 2.4/3.4 - 249.6 12 Years a Slave 2.1/2.8 - 32.9 Oldboy 1.31/1.72 - 1.72

Projections I have midnight 25M the rest of Friday 44.75 Saturday 46.84 Sunday 35.39 Total Opening Weekend = 151.98 it SHOULD have a legitimate shot at 400 million as HG will nicely counter / compete with The Hobbit.

145 minimum. I predicted 171 for HG but my original gut was 160.5 until i looked more into it. CF should slowly gain momentum and approach TDK and TDKR's 35-35.5k per screen average instead of going into the 40k PSA or at least exceeding TDK. I thought maybe there would be more demographic than TDK allowing for maybe that extra 10K PSA to give HG that extra 40 million to break 200M OW. Still 145 is nothing to be ashamed of. With great reviews, and DH1 not resonating as well, it will be interesting to see how HG holds up this Thanksgiving weekend and the following 'low' week after Thanksgiving frame. I will work on some predictions right now. I think HG might be in store for The Grinch and Toy Story 2 type holds since we are witnessing a more dense tentpole release then just the solid upfront demand. I think that this will have legs because it looks as if the box office has taken a small hit this month and November still needs to be fully compensated for. The schedule looks great next week for HG, Thor, Frozen, and Spike Lee's new movie. Thor took a hit, and so did mostly everything since Gravity. Jackass slid on by and nailed its crowd, but will this be the last time one does well. Perhaps it was just timing and demand for jackass. Captain Phillips was decent but I was hoping for a Tom Hanks as lead man for box office power 40M OW/TOM Hanks is back! Look for a 345-360M finish for HG with it possibly approaching 400 or further depending on how much it gets hit by The Hobbit.

Robert Downey Jr - Iron Man 3 Rooney Mara - Side Effects Zachary Quinto - Star Trek Into Darkness Idris Elba - Pacific Rim Daniella Kertesz - World War Z Vera Farminga - The Conjuring Hugh Jackman - The Wolverine Jessica Chastain - Mama

IM3 was betrayal because they thought they could make it like an anti-Iron Man 2 and have Iron Man 3 be a lukewarm decent movie and then everyone claps and says yay, that might be the best Iron Man yet. Just because they made a better Iron Man movie does not mean it was a good movie!!!! (breathing fire scene?) STEP UP YOUR QUALITY GAME DIRECTORS and Producers!!!

Those spider-man 3 images make me proud to be a follower of the box office all the way to these forums. Only on these forums will you see those Tobe Maguire images and those images will make anyones day. Where else would you ever see that?

well to be fair, coming from someone who knows the box office pretty well, Thor's drop today was actually pretty bad on a historical level. However, if something changes today and it stays flat or increases small today, then everything should be okay for Thor. I would also like to say I like how November is going to shape out. I was a little worried about how low this November would come compared to last year since there was much more going on last year with movies to choose for, but the counterprogramming for Thor, this weekend with Best Man and the counterprogramming, and next week I do not think anything will get hit hard. Bottom line is, alot of movies will have alot of good legs and this year will find a way to still pump in solid November numbers. On a philosophical level it is to be expected. The American audience is going to pump in x amount of dollars for the November month regardless and one has to figure out how that money will channel to all movies. The only thing that differs with this is the surprise sleeper hits. Other factors that affect the change in a month's performance is the weather and the theme and mood of the country, but x amount of dollars will still exist for the month of November. That being said, one could probably calculate how the rest of November will play out.

Tomb Raider 2

I did not predict it, but I had this gut feeling that Thor 2 would underwhelm like Star Trek into Darkness. STID had predictions that were 'entitling' it to open to huge numbers when no one stopped to look at reality. Lately, I was always thinking that "it is just Thor.... why so huge?, but I still gave it a 95M OW. however was THOR really entitled this?

Scary Movie V = F and Hansel and Gretel = F. The only difference is Scary Movie is an F that gets a 24% score whereas Hansel and Gretel is the usual 55% F

I have to go with World War Z as of now. I am surprised. I only gave this an A-. I thought STID was going to be A+ material but it overwhelmed (I was a huge fan of the first one). Man of Steel proved Nolan is not invincible and Pacific Rim did not cut it for me... Iron Man 3 would only get a B+. Something about the villain breathing fire...

UPDATED ULTIMATE BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS [*]The Butler - 25.50 - 25.50 [*]Kick-Ass 2 - 18.96 - 18.96 [*]We are the Millers - 15.25 - 66.98 [*]Elysium - 13.97 - 56.28 [*]Planes - 13.41 - 45.36 [*]Jobs - 11.10 - 11.10 [*]Percy Jackson - 8.78 - 39.31 [*]2 Guns - 5.90 - 59.55 [*]Paranoia - 5.60 - 5.60 [*]The Smurfs 2 - 4.74 - 57.05 [*]The Wolverine - 4.16 - 120.19 [*]The Conjuring - 3.68 - 127.63 [*]Despicable Me 2 - 3.51 - 345.72 [*]Grown Ups 2 - 1.87 - 127.5 [*]The Heat - 1.04 - 155.63 [*]Turbo - .96 - 77.54 [*]Red 2 - .93 - 51.20 [*]Pacific Rim - .71 - 98.39 [*]Man of Steel - .58 - 289.70 [*]Monsters University - .46 - 261.13 [*]World War Z - .40 - 198.27 [*]Star Trek 2 - .24 - 227.21 [*]R.I.P.D. - .19 - 32.39 [*]The Lone Ranger - .17 - 87.70 [*]Epic .15 - 107.24 [*]Now You See Me - .13 - 115.98 [*]The Fast and the Furious Six - .11 - 238.47 [*]This is the End - .11 - 96.72 [*]White House Down - .11 - 72.19 [*]The Internship - .09 - 44.58 [*]After Earth - .06 - 60.54 [*]The Great Gatsby - .06 - 144.83 [*]Iron Man 3 - .06 - 407.94 [*]Pain and Gain - .05 - 49.86 [*]Kevin Hart - .03 - 32.23 [*]The Hangover 3 - .015 - 112.22 [*]The Butler - 21.12 - 61.82 [*]The Mortal Instruments - 18.54 - 26.55 [*]You Are Next - 15.53 - 15.53 [*]We Are the Millers - 12.77 - 88.67 [*]The World's End - 8.14 - 8.14 [*]Planes - 7.72 - 59.68 [*]Elysium - 6.32 - 68.80 [*]Kick-Ass 2 - 6.32 - 35.08 [*]Jobs - 5.96 - 22.26 [*]Percy Jackson - 5.07 - 49.26 [*]Paranoia - 3.02 - 11.62 [*]2 Guns - 2.89 - 65.04 [*]The Smurfs 2 - 2.30 - 62.25 [*]The Conjuring - 2.23 - 131.90 [*]Despicable Me 2 - 2.23 - 350.55 [*]Grown Ups 2 - 1.07 - 129.77 [*]The Heat - .55 - 156.72 [*]Red 2 - .54 - 52.28 [*]Turbo - .48 - 78.82 [*]Pacific Rim - .46 - 99.27 [*]Man of Steel - .42 - 290.44 [*]Monsters University - .36 - 261.85 [*]World War Z - .29 - 198.86 [*]Star Trek 2 - .23 - 227.57

.

Updated Epic Weekend Predictions 1. Elysium - 30.7 - 30.7 2. Planes - 26.0 - 26.0 3. Millers - 25.5 - 37.0 4. Percy - 15.8 - 24.7 5. 2 Guns - 11.0 - 48.4 6. Smurfs 2 - 10.7 - 47.8 7. Wolverine - 8.3 - 112.3 8. Conjuring - 6.5 - 120.5 9. Despicable - 6.3 - 338.9 10. Grown Ups 2 - 4.0 - 124.1 11. Turbo - 2.5 - 75.3 12. Red 2 - 2.3 - 49.7 13. The Heat - 2.1 - 153.7 14. Pacific Rim - 1.5 - 96.7 - WWZ - .75 - 197.6 - MOS - .63 - 288.5 - MU - .62 - 260.1 - R.I.P.D. - .58 - 32.1 - STID - .38 - 226.9 - WHD - .31 - 72.2 - LR - .28 - 87.3 - TITE - .23 - 96.7 - Fast 6 - .20 - 238.3 - NYSM - .20 - 115.8 - Epic - .19 - 107.0 - IM3 - .18 - 408.0 - Internship - .15 - 44.5 - Gatsby - .11 - 144.7 - After Earth - .10 - 60.5 - Kevin Hart - .08 - 32.2

The Ultimate Predictions [*]Elysium - 33.50 - 33.50 [*]Planes - 29.62 - 29.62 [*]We Are the Millers - 22.82 - 34.31 [*]Percy Jackson - 17.88 - 26.74 [*]2 Guns - 13.32 - 50.71 [*]The Smurfs 2 - 10.83 - 47.97 [*]The Wolverine - 8.46 - 112.45 [*]The Conjuring - 6.63 - 120.67 [*]Despicable Me 2 - 5.03 - 337.60 [*]Grown Ups 2 - 3.89 - 124.03 [*]The Heat - 2.70 - 154.32 [*]Turbo - 2.66 - 75.43 [*]Red 2 - 2.52 - 49.93 [*]Pacific Rim - 1.57 - 96.80 [*]World War Z - .71 - 197.51 [*]Man of Steel - .68 - 288.61 [*]Monsters University - .59 - 260.08 [*]R.I.P.D. - .57 - 32.08 [*]Star Trek 2 - .38 - 226.89 [*]The Lone Ranger - .29 - 87.34 [*]Fast 6 - .19 - 238.33 [*]Now You See Me - .19 - 115.80 [*]The Great Gatsby - .11 - 144.74 [*]Kevin Hart - .09 - 32.19 [*]The Hangover 3 - .04 - 112.21

I guess to answer my own question "The number of theaters for the Imax run was not specified." - http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/movies/moviesnow/la-et-mn-brad-pitt-world-war-z-imax-20130729,0,4053488.story The thing is, sometimes googling something is not an option because it is so easy and because I am so lazy. I am so lazy that I would rather subscribe to a forum and type out a question than just ask google about WWZ IMAX theater counts. Still, however, I am to lazy to look at how many IMAX venues are available and how that plays out and developing a number for WWZ, but glad to see it is doing well. I am sure the delay in numbers is because they want to get some exact legit count.

Does anyone know what the deal is with WWZ? Boxoffice.com had an article about WWZ expanding into IMAX and I read on the forums about it taking them from Pacific Rim for it's last week before Elsylium, I believe, gets them next week. I have been trying to look into this and it seems that boxoffice.com deleted that WWZ article. Furthermore, WWZ lost 528 theaters this week compared to 591 from MU so it seems like WWZ would not have been added to IMAX otherwise it would have lost more like 300 theaters to break from paired up routine it has been doing in terms of stats with MU in the last weeks. I was checking theater counts on Thursday at the library and I stayed a while there and kept refreshing the page and WWZ's theater counts never came up while everyone elses was there (excluding Star Trek's expansion). So with that it seems like it did go into IMAX and they were waiting for a number. Does anyone know if it went into IMAX and if it did, how many IMAX theaters. If it did not get IMAX, then assuming many factors with its 912 screens, it would logically average 1,500 to 1,900 PSA. this is 1.4 million to 1.7 million. a minimum of 50,000 dollars more than MU will make this weekend. If it technically lost more screens, say 750 to MU's 591, and then was reimbursed with 122 IMAX screens to get to 528 lost, or in other terms it had 790 screens available for this weekend regular and 122 imax for its 912 net screens this weekend. If 122 is the number, then 10,000PSA would be 1.2 mil, a reasonable 6,000 PSA would be .72 million and then 790 regular screens of regular 1,600 average would give it 1.26 million and almost 2.5 for the weekend. THis was my original prediction of 2.5 but I never did this analysis to get to that prediction but it feels good to know that that prediction would have had evidence to back it up ;-) The point is, I really like to get to where the box office will be at ASAP so I can look into the future weeks and visualize of model of where film will be shaping. WWZ is still a big part of this and I would like to see it to make 205 domestic. Any knowledge of IMAX screens would be helpful. Thanks =)