Cosmonaut
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Posts posted by Cosmonaut
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What about Pompeii?
Thursday Oficial Estimates - http://www.kinometro.ru/kassovye-sbory/show/name/sbori-chetverga-lego-legok
$393 369 for Pompeii, #1, probably will win this weekend.
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My "At Least" Forecast #17 for total gross, February 27:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
The Lego Movie; ~1186; 10mTalk of the devil*; ~950; 4mVampire Academy; ~1000; 2,5mSpiral*; ~800; 0,5mDallas Buyers Club; ~320; 0,5mHer; ~330; 0,5mPhilomena; ~150; 0,5m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Too many movies with the comparable potential, all should pass 0,5m, but i have no idea about final standings.
I did not put a lot of thought over this forecast, Lego figure is from the first long-term prediction, as preview turns out to be pretty weak.-
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Actual$, weekend 20.02-23.02:
1) Pompeii - 5 817 640
2) RoboCop - 1 825 040 (8 732 817)
3) The Pirate Fairy - 1 428 549 (3 966 882)
4) American Hustle - 1 406 317 (4 353 207)
5) The Monuments Men - 1 263 408
6) The Wolf Of Wall Street - 1 115 337 (12 161 443)
7) Viy* - 719 432 (33 759 277)
8) In sports only girls* - 638 430 (6 295 962)
9) Lone Survivor - 578 176
10) Belka and Strelka* - 563 921 (5 558 469)
(-)
13) Kaze tachinu - 291 426
http://kinobusiness.com/kassa/2013/top50.php
Lego preview(2 days) - ~$900k
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Monday
Pompeii - $700k+
Robocop - $160k+
American Hustle - $160k+
The Wolf of Wall Street - $120k+
Lego - $80k+
Kaze tachinu - $40k+
Huge drop for Lego on Monday. Very rough numbers(since the base is official Thursday estimates). Probably won't post Tue-Wed.
Weekend Actual$ and Forecast tomorrow.
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Sunday
Pompeii - $2,4m+
Robocop - $600k+
Lego - $520k+
American Hustle - $480k+
The Wolf of Wall Street - $345k+
(-)
Kaze tachinu - $140k+
2 theaters are still playing Frozen in my city, great hold.
And 2 theaters are showing Kaze tachinu, 1 screening per day, probably going to see it tomorrow.
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Saturday
Pompeii - $2,3m+
Robocop - $560k+
American Hustle - $490k+
The Wolf of Wall Street - $430k+
Lego - $330k+
(-)
Kaze tachinu - $120k+
Maybe even more off, but still, shouldn't be less.
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Friday
Pompeii - $1,1m+
Robocop - $270k+
American Hustle - $260k+
The Wolf of Wall Street - $240k+
(-)
Kaze tachinu - $42k+
Should be something like that, at least no less and standings is right, it's difficult to adjust from ekinobilet numbers, Lego preview starts today, not so wide, but it might earn more than a million this weekend and build WOM.
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Thursday
Pompeii - $814 836 ($1 011 520)
Robocop - $224 782 ($7 157 652)
American Hustle - $191 395 ($3 132 858)
Monuments Men - $157 534
The Wolf of Wall Street - $139 780 ($11 089 703)
The Pirate Fairy - $95 532 ($2 629 459)
Lone Survivor - $94 318 ($108 781)
(-)
Kaze tachinu - $36 527
http://www.kinometro.ru/kassovye-sbory/show/name/sbori-chetverga-pompei
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Help! Could anyone tell me if the imax version of Smaug is in 2.35:1 or 16:9(full screen) ratio?
It's Scope, 2.39:1(2.35:1 ratio long gone)
There are only 1.89:1(few, some OM) and 2.39:1(most, Hobbit incl.) in Digital "IMAX", same for 15/70mm, except it can be up to 1.43:1(CF), most movies are still in Scope. More than that, there are plenty of digital "IMAX" theaters with 2,39:1 AR screens.
IMAX today is 99% fake.
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Kaze Tachinu is The Wind Rises right?
Yep.
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My "At Least" Forecast #16 for total gross, February 20:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
Pompeii; ~1500; 13mThe Monuments Men; ~1035; 4mLone Survivor; ~520; 2mKaze tachinu; ~180; 0,5m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
$270k+ Tuesday for Wolf($260k+ on Monday).
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Actual$, weekend 13.02-16.02:
1) RoboCop - 5 679 749
2) The Wolf Of Wall Street - 2 872 076 (10 219 497)
3) Viy* - 2 530 189 (32 438 494)
4) American Hustle - 2 316 859
5) The Pirate Fairy - 2 134 997
6) In sports only girls* - 1 627 727 (5 214 032)
7) Belka and Strelka* - 1 534 901 (4 754 250)
8) Winter's Tale - 1 239 223
9) Nymphomaniac - 644 690
10) Unreal Love* - 608 608
http://kinobusiness.com/kassa/2013/top50.php
Some cumes:
Gravity - 7 690 (21 618 008)
47 Ronin - 2 490 (26 271 229)
Blue Jasmine - 713 (1 120 439)
Jack Ryan: SR - 427 (3 655 329)
Last Vegas - 147 (8 084 210)
(-)
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - 23 560 907
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Weekend estimates
1. RoboCop 5,710,587
2. The Wolf of Wall Street 3,140,000 - 10,480,000
3. Viy 2,546,030 - 32,841,435
4. American Hustle 2,332,856
5. The Pirate Fairy 2,146,145
....Winter's Tale 1,240,000
....Nymphomaniac Part 1 640,000
After big drop on Thursday Wolf did amazingly well.
Amazing results, indeed, $2,3m for AH, woah, nobody expected such strong result.
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Saturday
Robocop - $1,9m+
Wolf - $1m+
Viy* - $880k+
American Hustle - $460k+
1 USD - 35,25(!) RUB
At least $5,4m OW for Robocop, not bad, considering the ratings...
$1,3m+ OW for AH is also quite good.
We should wait for actuals to find out whether Wolf is over or under $3m, but nevertheless not bad too.
Another Kinometro forecast for totals - http://www.kinometro.ru/analytics/show/name/pompei_nakanune
Pompeii - ~$13m
The Monuments Men - ~$4,3m
Lone Survivor - ~$2,3m
Lego previews start Feb. 22, though commercials of Peabody, which comes out March 6, is already on TV, and i haven't seen any Lego spots still.
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Ekinobilet started updating their numbers few times a day(before they update only once), it's practically impossible to adjust/estimate, but it should be no less than this:
Friday
Robocop - $1,2m+
Wolf - $750k+
Viy* - $530k+
Winter's Tale - $450k+
American Hustle - $330k+
1 USD - 34,86 RUB
Everything grew nuts on Friday, i don't know what's happening, maybe Juni with Rentrak numbers will clarify.
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Thursday Oficial Estimates:
Robocop - $848 677
Wolf - $318 011
American Hustle - $261 287
http://www.kinometro.ru/kassovye-sbory/show/name/sbori-chetverga-robokop-i-afera
That's better, but still ...
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Thursday openers estimate:Robocop - $785k+American Hustle - $125k+Winter's Tale - $113k+Nymphomaniac - $100k+(with previews)The Pirate Fairy - $84k+Unreal Love* - $35k+(-)Wolf - $280k+Viy* - $225k+Now even $10m for Robocop is a long shot.Overall, very weak..., strong result of Nymphomaniac, though.
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Wednesday
Wolf - $565k+
Viy* - $530k+
Kinometro forecast for this weekend:
1) Robocop - $4,6m
2) Wolf - $2,87m -49%
I hope Wolf does more than $3m, but it's clear that the runtime is not helping, though I'm personally would like to see 4hr version)))
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Paris 14h:
La belle et la bête 1 803Fail?
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My "At Least" Forecast #15 for total gross, February 13:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
Robocop; ~1000; 12mAmerican Hustle; ~1000; 3,5mThe Pirate Fairy; ~500; 3mWinter's Tale; ~800; 2,5mUnreal Love*; ~1000; 2mNymphomaniac; ~200; 1m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Tuesday:
Wolf is still on top with $550k+
Viy* - $520k+
Saw La belle et la bête trailer yesterday on a big screen, looks amazing, great visuals and soundtrack, i expect no less than $8m for it, coming out along with Noah on March 27
Dub is exceptionally good.
TV spots of Pompeii(Feb. 20) is up and running, unlike Robocop(I haven't seen any) it might have a shot at $15m+.
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Actual$, weekend 6.02-9.02:
1) Viy* - 6 866 091 (28 262 689)
2) The Wolf Of Wall Street - 5 669 139
3) Belka and Strelka* - 2 807 575
4) In sports only girls* - 2 756 559
5) The Physician - 791 682
6) That Awkward Moment - 537 928
7) I, Frankenstein - 511 296 (11 205 981)
8) Devil's Due - 305 559 (1 468 659)
9) Champions* - 284 367 (5 144 306)
10) August - 247 631 (804 062)
(-)
13) Frozen - 49 784 (33 278 719)
http://kinobusiness.com/kassa/2013/top50.php
Monday:
Wolf is back on top with $545k+
$500k+ for Viy*
Monday drop is not that harsh, but it is ~70%, so i don't think $15m+ is likely now, though $12m(my prediction) is locked for sure, should top AH easily this weekend(and weekends to come).
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Should be much higher than 4.2 mln.
Yep, no less than $5,7m.
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$2m+ Saturday for Wolf, Viy* is ahead, though, with $2,7m+, overall it seems like at least $5,5m+ weekend for Wolf and $7m+ for Viy.
$15m-$20m total for Robocop
Very unlikely now.
$25m for Lego.
Not gonna happen.
My prediction is still the same:
~$10m in Russia.
Btw, Kinometro released their forecast for next weekend releases total:
1) Robocop - ~$11,4m
2) American Hustle - ~$3,7m
3) The Pirate Fairy - ~$3,1m
4) Winter's Tale - ~$2,3m
5) Unreal Love* - ~$1,7m
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Openers Wednesday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $1,25m+
2) Devil's Due - $95k+
3) August - $50k+
$200k+ for I, Frankenstein, $130k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35,45(!!!) RUB
Openers Friday(ekinobilet):
1) The Wolf of Wall Street - $1m+
2) In sports only girls* - $385k+(plus $140k+ for previews)
3) Belka and Strelka* - $115k+
4) That Awkward Moment - $66k+
5) The Physician - $63k+
$900k+ for Viy*
1 USD = 34,96 RUB
*Local
Cutting % back again, to ~45 now, don't want to overestimate.
Wolf has got 4 full screens in some theaters, but only 4 shows per day on each one due to 3 hr runtime, definetely can see $1m OD though.
Yeah, baby, nobody expected Wolf to beat Viy*, very strong result.
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Russia Box Office
in International Box Office
Posted
Pompeii and Lego are close on Saturday, but Pompeii has the upper hand thx to weekdays, so it's likely to win.Peabody commercials are kinda silly for my taste, maybe Lego still has a shot at 10m mark, although exchange rate is not helping, so it's unlikely.